Who Should I Draft?

Todd Gurley or Chris Carson

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Experts' Pick
 
  Todd Gurley
RB - LAR
Todd Gurley
Chris Carson
RB - SEA
Chris Carson
 
 
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Recommended by
24 of 156 experts
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Rankings 
    
ECR# 11# 12-
Best Rank# 2# 7-
Worst Rank# 28# 28-
    
Fantasy Points 
    
Season Total313.1181.4-
Avg Game22.413.0-
Avg Projection215.1184.7-
    
Schedule 
    
SOS Rank216-
    
Misc 
    
Injury Alert-
    
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Todd GurleyChris CarsonAdd Player
    
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  Todd Gurley
RB - LAR
Todd Gurley
Chris Carson
RB - SEA
Chris Carson
2019 Schedule 
Week 1 at CAR vs. CIN
Week 2 vs. NO at PIT
Week 3 at CLE vs. NO
Week 4 vs. TB at ARI
Week 5 at SEA vs. LAR
Week 6 vs. SF at CLE
Week 7 at ATL vs. BAL
Week 8 vs. CIN at ATL
Week 9BYE WEEK vs. TB
Week 10 at PIT at SF
Week 11 vs. CHIBYE WEEK
Week 12 vs. BAL at PHI
Week 13 at ARI vs. MIN
Week 14 vs. SEA at LAR
Week 15 at DAL at CAR
Week 16 at SF vs. ARI
Week 17 vs. ARI vs. SF
  Todd Gurley
RB - LAR
Todd Gurley
Chris Carson
RB - SEA
Chris Carson
Rushing
   
Rush Attempts218.4239.6
Rush Yards1,009.41,113.4
Rush TDs9.98.2
   
Receiving
   
Receptions46.327.3
Rec Yards423.9220.8
Rec TDs2.61.0
   
Points
   
Fantasy Points215.1184.7
   
  Todd Gurley
RB - LAR
Todd Gurley
Chris Carson
RB - SEA
Chris Carson
2018 Points 
Week 120.75.9
Week 229.32.4
Week 319.618.4
Week 421.6
Week 529.312.7
Week 634.55.9
Week 726.6
Week 827.518.4
Week 913.94.0
Week 1022.0
Week 119.412.3
Week 1212.3
Week 1328.510.8
Week 145.815.0
Week 1524.420.8
Week 1623.6
Week 1718.9
  Todd Gurley
RB - LAR
Todd Gurley
Chris Carson
RB - SEA
Chris Carson
2018 Targets 
Week 155
Week 231
Week 362
Week 46
Week 551
Week 650
Week 75
Week 872
Week 970
Week 104
Week 1130
Week 122
Week 1354
Week 1470
Week 15136
Week 160
Week 171
  Todd Gurley
RB - LAR
Todd Gurley
Chris Carson
RB - SEA
Chris Carson
Expert 
Mike Tagliere
FantasyPros
There are real questions surrounding Gurley as we enter the 2019 season. Not only did C.J. Anderson play over him during the playoffs, but the Rams also traded up to the start of the third-round to select Darrell Henderson, an explosive running back out of Memphis. The Rams also matched an offer sheet the Lions submitted to backup running back Malcolm Brown, meaning the Rams are more worried about Gurley than they're letting on. We all know Gurley comes with plenty of upside, but we also know you can't win your fantasy league in the first-round, but you can definitely help lose it.There are a lot of reasons to like Carson. Looking at how he finished the season, it's hard to not like him. From Week 12 on, he finished as the No. 4 fantasy running back behind only Christian McCaffrey, Derrick Henry, and Saquon Barkley. While Rashaad Penny is still there (and a former first-round pick), Mike Davis exited town, leaving behind plenty of touches for Penny. While Carson may not have the upside of others who are used in the pass-game consistently, he should be a solid RB2 provided he's healthy. This, of course, is a concern after hearing Carson "had a little work done" on his knee this offseason, so stay tuned for updates
Kevin Roberts
Breaking Football
Gurley slides in my rankings due to health, last year's slide and the arrival of talent at his position. H e just may end up being a massive steal in round two (or 3!), but the risk this early is quite clear.It sounds like Carson is far and away the top guy in Seattle. He lacks flash, but he was the 15th best fantasy back in 2018. We can't ignore that.
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
Gurley was having one of the more dominant running back seasons in recent memory before injuring his knee late in the year. His playoff performance only added to fantasy owners' concerns, and the Rams' drafting of Darrell Henderson cemented those worries. His knee issues are reportedly the result of some sort of arthritis, which is obviously concerning. But even with a decreased workload, Gurley's spot as the lead back in an explosive offense makes him a borderline RB1, albeit not one without risk.Carson wasn't even expected to be the starting running back last year, let alone be a reliable weekly running back option in fantasy like he was. But after 1,151 yards and nine touchdowns, he came into camp this year as the clear starter. That role has only been solidified, with Rashaad Penny reportecly falling further behind Carson in the Seahawks' eyes according to beat writers. With Mike Davis gone, Carson's role could grow even more. If he can get more involved in the passing game, he could have RB1 upside, but draft him as a reliable RB2 for now.
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
Gurley most certainly slowed down at the end of the year and comes with risk because of the unknown surrounding his knee. With that said, he was so exceptional each of the last two years that even with a 25% drop in production, he would still be an easy top 10 back. He still has more upside than any back including this year's big four so don't hesitate to snag him in the back end of the first round if you are feeling lucky.Carson is the ultimate boom or bust running back this season. Seattle may very well lead the league in carries again this season and Carson is about as efficient as they come. The concern, however, is that his knee will cause Carson to miss a few games or that Penny will play so well that he cuts into the workload. These are enough to keep him outside RB1 territory but barely.
Kevin Wheeler
Draftwize
 SEA RBs scored 352 FP (Std), 385 (half-PPR), 418 (PPR) last year. If Carson sees 67% = 236 (RB6 last year), 258 (RB6), 280 (RB6) If he sees 60% = 211 (RB8), 231 (RB9), 251 (RB9) 55% = 194 (RB11), 212 (RB12), 230 (RB12) Last year he scored 53%, 51% and 49% respectively. @4for4_John In 2018, the Seahawks had the highest run ratio with 55.6%. It was the highest in the #NFL since 2012 when the Seahawks led the league with 56.96%. Surprisingly enough though, Chris Carson didn't have a top five game in 0.5 formats will Week 16. @TheFFRealist
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
No. 1 RB in '18 falls down the '19 draft list because of an arthritic knee that is expected to bring about a reduced-workload maintenance plan by the Rams - definition of a high risk/reward pickR. Penny apologists need to understand that Carson is exactly the kind of between the tackles, chain-moving workhorse that SEA wants to hitch its wagon to - and now it wants to use him more in the passing game too
Derek Lofland
FantasyPros
I never want to hear that my RB1 is managing his arthritic component in his knee and his usage in the postseason last year screamed that knee had some issues. He is still a RB1 in a great scheme, but I think the days of him being the best fantasy running back in the NFL are over, as the Rams will need to manage his touches for him to stay healthy.The big concern for Carson is going to be 2018 first round pick Rashaad Penny's role in the offense. The Seattle offense runs the ball enough to support two running backs, but Carson is hardly a guarantee to keep the bell cow role for the entire 2019 season.
Jason Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
 Only six RBs had more rushes than Carson last season - behind Zeke, Barkley, DJ, Gurley, AP, and Jordan Howard (Very unlikely a lot of those guys make that list this year). In Seattle, Carson only received 55% of the team's carries. In comparison, Penny and Davis saw 19% and 26% last year. With Davis gone and not a real third option, why are we assuming Penny is going to take all of Davis' work? Or that He'll take Carson's job? If this becomes a 60-65/35-40 split, Carson will see MORE work than he saw last year. He's a steal at his ADP.
Sean Koerner
The Action Network
 knee surgery is OK. may hold Penny off again. massive upside still in heavy run scheme Brian Schottenheimer
Nick Zylak
Fantasy Football Advice
Unfortunately, I will not have any shares of Todd Gurley this season. It's not that he can't have a good year, it's just that it's not worth the risk. With Darrell Henderson drafted to fill the Alvin Kamara role, his upside is capped. We know he's never again going to see the same sort of volume he has over the past few seasons, so even being in this prolific offense might not be able to save him. There is absolutely a chance that Gurley pays off his ADP and carries your team to the championship. However, it's unlikely, and just not worth the gamble. Unless he falls to the third round I can't justify drafting him.Chris Carson put together an excellent second season last year, posting a 247/1151/9 stat line and finishing as the RB 15 in half ppr scoring. Had he played a full 16 weeks then he likely would have finished as a RB 1. This season I do expect him to get less carries. The Seahawks used a first round pick on Penny, and they're going to use him. He was better than people think last season, and teams love to be right with their early round picks. That by no means makes Carson a bad pick. The Seattle is going to run the ball a ton, so he can still pay off his ADP even if Penny gets a lot of work. I just prefer waiting and grabbing Penny later in drafts if I'm targeting this backfield.