Who Should I Draft?

Todd Gurley or Michael Thomas

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Experts' Pick
 
  Todd Gurley
RB - LAR
Todd Gurley
Michael Thomas
WR - NO
Michael Thomas
 
 
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Recommendation
63%
Recommended by
99 of 157 experts
37%
Recommended by
58 of 157 experts
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Rankings 
    
ECR# 17# 19-
Best Rank# 2# 8-
Worst Rank# 62# 35-
    
Fantasy Points 
    
Season Total313.1190.5-
Avg Game22.411.9-
    
Schedule 
    
SOS Rank2116-
    
Misc 
    
Injury Alert-
    
Expert Ranks 
Todd GurleyMichael ThomasAdd Player
    
Dave RichardD. Richard
CBS Sports
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Draftwize
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FullTime Fantasy
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FantasyData
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Andy VandaA. Vanda
Take Your League
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Mike WrightM. Wright
The Fantasy Footballers
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Dan ClasgensD. Clas...
Get Sports Info
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Fantasy Team Advice
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The Hateful 8
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Fantasy Shed
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RotoViz
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Yahoo! Sports
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Muntradamus M.
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Legion Report
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RotoViz
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The Fantasy Fix
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Breaking Football
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The Fantasy Headliners
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BRoto Fantasy
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Establish the Run
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The Fantasy Fix
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FF Statistics
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Swollen Dome
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Heath CummingsH. Cumm...
CBS Sports
2 w
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Coach Esser
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#5#20-
    
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Mundo Fantasy
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DailyOverlay
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RTSports
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3 w
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3 w
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Pressbox
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FFToday
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3 w
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3 w
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SleeperU
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WalterFootball
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The Athletic
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Des BielerD. Bieler
The Washington Post
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Craig PhillipsC. Phil...
FF Prophet
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Walton SpurlinW. Spurlin
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Kyle AugustK. August
FF Fellas
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Anthony AmicoA. Amico
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Mike AlexanderM. Alex...
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08/16
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06/01
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SB Nation
05/08
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Sundays Are For Football
01/31
#1#14-
    
  Todd Gurley
RB - LAR
Todd Gurley
Michael Thomas
WR - NO
Michael Thomas
2019 Schedule 
Week 1 at CAR vs. HOU
Week 2 vs. NO at LAR
Week 3 at CLE at SEA
Week 4 vs. TB vs. DAL
Week 5 at SEA vs. TB
Week 6 vs. SF at JAC
Week 7 at ATL at CHI
Week 8 vs. CIN vs. ARI
Week 9BYE WEEKBYE WEEK
Week 10 at PIT vs. ATL
Week 11 vs. CHI at TB
Week 12 vs. BAL vs. CAR
Week 13 at ARI at ATL
Week 14 vs. SEA vs. SF
Week 15 at DAL vs. IND
Week 16 at SF at TEN
Week 17 vs. ARI at CAR
  Todd Gurley
RB - LAR
Todd Gurley
Michael Thomas
WR - NO
Michael Thomas
2018 Points 
Week 120.722.0
Week 229.318.9
Week 319.612.9
Week 421.64.7
Week 529.37.4
Week 634.5
Week 726.612.9
Week 827.58.1
Week 913.927.1
Week 1022.019.0
Week 119.415.2
Week 123.8
Week 1328.54.0
Week 145.89.8
Week 1524.44.9
Week 1616.9
Week 172.9
  Todd Gurley
RB - LAR
Todd Gurley
Michael Thomas
WR - NO
Michael Thomas
2018 Targets 
Week 1517
Week 2313
Week 3610
Week 464
Week 555
Week 65
Week 759
Week 876
Week 9715
Week 1048
Week 1134
Week 126
Week 1358
Week 14713
Week 15139
Week 1613
Week 177
  Todd Gurley
RB - LAR
Todd Gurley
Michael Thomas
WR - NO
Michael Thomas
Expert 
Mike Tagliere
FantasyPros
There are real questions surrounding Gurley as we enter the 2019 season. Not only did C.J. Anderson play over him during the playoffs, but the Rams also traded up to the start of the third-round to select Darrell Henderson, an explosive running back out of Memphis. The Rams also matched an offer sheet the Lions submitted to backup running back Malcolm Brown, meaning the Rams are more worried about Gurley than they're letting on. We all know Gurley comes with plenty of upside, but we also know you can't win your fantasy league in the first-round, but you can definitely help lose it.Three straight top-10 seasons to start your career? Not bad. The Saints are throwing the ball less and less which is why Thomas hasn't contended for the No. 1 spot in the wide receiver rankings, but he's steady and consistent, making him well worth a late first-round selection
Kevin Roberts
Breaking Football
Gurley slides in my rankings due to health, last year's slide and the arrival of talent at his position. H e just may end up being a massive steal in round two (or 3!), but the risk this early is quite clear.MT is about as efficient as they come and plays much of the year indoors with an accurate quarterback. Yeah, he's a top 5 guy.
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
Gurley was having one of the more dominant running back seasons in recent memory before injuring his knee late in the year. His playoff performance only added to fantasy owners' concerns, and the Rams' drafting of Darrell Henderson cemented those worries. His knee issues are reportedly the result of some sort of arthritis, which is obviously concerning. But even with a decreased workload, Gurley's spot as the lead back in an explosive offense makes him a borderline RB1, albeit not one without risk.Thomas has had an unreal efficiency throughout his career, and he's been incredibly consistent. He's never finished a season with fewer than 1,100 yards, and he had a superb 125 catches last year. With a lengthy contract extension taken care of, it should be business as usual for Thomas this year, and he should put up strong WR1 numbers as usual.
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
No. 1 RB in '18 falls down the '19 draft list because of an arthritic knee that is expected to bring about a reduced-workload maintenance plan by the Rams - definition of a high risk/reward pickOnly player in NFL history with 300+ catches over 1st 3 seasons - Had WR-high 85% catch rate on his 147 targets last season (since '92, no other WR with at least 100 targets has eclipsed 80%)
Sean Koerner
The Action Network
 low floor attached to Brees, more weapons around him this year
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
Gurley most certainly slowed down at the end of the year and comes with risk because of the unknown surrounding his knee. With that said, he was so exceptional each of the last two years that even with a 25% drop in production, he would still be an easy top 10 back. He still has more upside than any back including this year's big four so don't hesitate to snag him in the back end of the first round if you are feeling lucky.No one was more efficient with the targets they saw than Thomas last season. In fact, no one in NFL history has been that efficient. There is room for more, of course, if New Orleans decides to pepper him with targets, but they also don't throw much so that might just be wishful thinking.
Derek Lofland
FantasyPros
I never want to hear that my RB1 is managing his arthritic component in his knee and his usage in the postseason last year screamed that knee had some issues. He is still a RB1 in a great scheme, but I think the days of him being the best fantasy running back in the NFL are over, as the Rams will need to manage his touches for him to stay healthy.Thomas had 125 receptions for 1,405 yards and 9 touchdowns last season and he should be heavily targeted again in 2019.
Kyle Yates
The Fantasy Footballers
 Michael Thomas has proven that he has some of the best (if not THE best) hands in the NFL. He's a focal point of the Sean Payton offense and the Saints did little to change that perception this offseason. My only concern is whether or not we've begun to see the beginning of the end of Drew Brees, but whether that's the case or not, Thomas will still be an elite PPR option.
Nick Zylak
Fantasy Football Advice
Unfortunately, I will not have any shares of Todd Gurley this season. It's not that he can't have a good year, it's just that it's not worth the risk. With Darrell Henderson drafted to fill the Alvin Kamara role, his upside is capped. We know he's never again going to see the same sort of volume he has over the past few seasons, so even being in this prolific offense might not be able to save him. There is absolutely a chance that Gurley pays off his ADP and carries your team to the championship. However, it's unlikely, and just not worth the gamble. Unless he falls to the third round I can't justify drafting him.I preach safety in the first 4 rounds...and it doesn get any safer than Michael Thomas He has the more receptions over his first 3 seasons than any player in the history of the NFL. And he's first by 33 receptions! He also has the third most fantasy points ever over that stretch of time, behind just Randy Moss and Odell. Over his first three seasons he's averaged 107/1,262/7.67 TD's, including 125.1405/9 last season, which was the 4th highest approximate value of any WR ever Thomas has also been a model of health, missing just one game in his career. This sort of floor/upside combination shouldn't be available in the early second round. Thomas has finished as the WR 7/6/6 over the last three years, but I think this is the year that he finishes in the top 3. And honestly, he could easily end up as the WR 1