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Tom Brady or Joe Burrow

Who Should I Draft?


Player Summaries Comparison
 
Experts' Pick
 
 
Joe Burrow
QB - CIN
Joe Burrow
Joe Burrow
QB - CIN
Tom Brady
QB - TB
Tom Brady
Tom Brady
QB - TB
 
 
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Expert
Percent


65%
Recommended by
69 of 106 experts
35%
Recommended by
37 of 106 experts
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Rankings 
    
ECR# 7# 8-
Best Rank# 3# 4-
Worst Rank# 12# 16-
    
Fantasy Points 
    
Season Total395.4419.7-
Avg Game19.822.1-
Avg Projection315.2334.9-
    
Schedule 
    
SOS Rank2922-
    
Misc 
    
Injury Alert-
    
Expert Ranks 
Joe BurrowTom BradyAdd Player
    
Joey Wright J. Wright
Front Yard Fantasy Front Yard Fantasy
4 h
#10#8-
    
Jon Jeune J. Jeune
Fantasy Football Diagnostics Fantasy Football D...
12 h
#9#7-
    
Scott Pianowski S. Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports Yahoo! Sports
14 h
#4#7-
    
Benjamin Klotz B. Klotz
Touchdown Squad Touchdown Squad
15 h
#7#10-
    
Austin Lee A. Lee
365 Fantasy Football 365 Fantasy Football
18 h
#9#11-
    
Joe Pisapia J. Pisapia
FantasyPros FantasyPros
23 h
#6#5-
    
Michael Tomlin M. Tomlin
Fantasy Six Pack Fantasy Six Pack
24 h
#6#9-
    
Aaron Larson A. Larson
FantasyPros FantasyPros
1 d
#8#13-
    
Clayton Cadieux C. Cadieux
Fantasy Football From Up North Fantasy Football F...
1 d
#7#10-
    
Jaime Eisner J. Eisner
The Draft Network The Draft Network
1 d
#10#4-
    
Dalton Del Don D. Del Don
Yahoo! Sports Yahoo! Sports
2 d
#8#9-
    
Site Rankings S. Rankings
Gridiron Experts Gridiron Experts
2 d
#4#12-
    
Blake Fincher B. Fincher
Fantasy Football Cafe Fantasy Football Cafe
2 d
#5#9-
    
Connor Rigg C. Rigg
Dynasty Nerds Dynasty Nerds
2 d
#9#8-
    
Guilherme Gianni G. Gianni
Fantasy Futebolista Fantasy Futebolista
2 d
#5#11-
    
Michael Beller M. Beller
The Athletic The Athletic
2 d
#8#7-
    
Alex Caruso A. Caruso
Footballguys Footballguys
2 d
#8#9-
    
Matthew Hill M. Hill
DataForce Fantasy Football DataForce Fantasy ...
3 d
#5#10-
    
Derek Brown D. Brown
FantasyPros FantasyPros
3 d
#6#8-
    
Adam Stark A. Stark
Everyday Fantasy Football Everyday Fantasy F...
3 d
#10#9-
    
Richard Savill R. Savill
Fantasy Six Pack Fantasy Six Pack
3 d
#4#14-
    
Nick Spencer N. Spencer
Fantasy Six Pack Fantasy Six Pack
3 d
#8#7-
    
Jamey Eisenberg J. Eisenberg
CBS Sports CBS Sports
3 d
#10#8-
    
Dave Kluge D. Kluge
Footballguys Footballguys
3 d
#8#7-
    
Liz Loza L. Loza
Yahoo! Sports Yahoo! Sports
3 d
#5#10-
    
Dave Richard D. Richard
CBS Sports CBS Sports
3 d
#10#6-
    
Wyatt Bertolone W. Bertolone
JWB Fantasy Football JWB Fantasy Football
3 d
#7#9-
    
Nick Zylak N. Zylak
Fantasy Football Advice Fantasy Football A...
3 d
#6#10-
    
Billy Mansell B. Mansell
IDP Army IDP Army
4 d
#6#9-
    
Huseyin Aksu H. Aksu
Fantasy Couch Fantasy Couch
4 d
#5#8-
    
Andy Behrens A. Behrens
Yahoo! Sports Yahoo! Sports
4 d
#4#6-
    
Justin Lampkin J. Lampkin
Clock Management Fantasy Football Clock Management F...
4 d
#3#11-
    
Pat Fitzmaurice P. Fitzmaurice
FantasyPros FantasyPros
4 d
#4#10-
    
Mauricio Gutierrez M. Gutierrez
Estadio Fantasy Estadio Fantasy
4 d
#6#8-
    
Des Bieler D. Bieler
The Washington Post The Washington Post
4 d
#8#11-
    
Drew DeLuca D. DeLuca
QB List QB List
4 d
#7#16-
    
Tom Strachan T. Strachan
NFL Best Ball NFL Best Ball
4 d
#7#8-
    
Daniel Mader D. Mader
Belly Up Sports Belly Up Sports
4 d
#8#5-
    
Mark Ringo M. Ringo
Sleepers and Busts Sleepers and Busts
5 d
#11#5-
    
David Heilman D. Heilman
Gridiron Ratings Gridiron Ratings
5 d
#7#8-
    
Pierre Camus P. Camus
RotoBaller RotoBaller
5 d
#5#8-
    
Tommy Molioo T. Molioo
The Undroppables The Undroppables
5 d
#6#7-
    
Tim Jablonski T. Jablonski
The Hateful 8 The Hateful 8
5 d
#8#9-
    
Jacob W. Dunne J. W. Dunne
Triple Play Fantasy Triple Play Fantasy
6 d
#9#12-
    
Steven Pintado S. Pintado
The Fantasy Coaches The Fantasy Coaches
6 d
#3#10-
    
Adam Murfet A. Murfet
5 Yard Rush 5 Yard Rush
7 d
#12#3-
    
Tim Metzler T. Metzler
FantasyPros FantasyPros
7 d
#5#7-
    
Matthew Freedman M. Freedman
FantasyPros FantasyPros
1 w
#8#11-
    
Kyle Williams K. Williams
Fantasy Six Pack Fantasy Six Pack
1 w
#10#6-
    
Jacob Hubman J. Hubman
The Fantasy Headliners The Fantasy Headli...
1 w
#7#8-
    
Brandon Funston B. Funston
The Athletic The Athletic
1 w
#6#10-
    
Smitty S.
SleeperU SleeperU
1 w
#3#12-
    
Michael Fabiano M. Fabiano
Sports Illustrated Sports Illustrated
1 w
#7#6-
    
Anthony Cervino A. Cervino
FF Faceoff FF Faceoff
1 w
#5#8-
    
Nate Marcum N. Marcum
Fantasy In Frames Fantasy In Frames
1 w
#6#12-
    
Nathan Groot Nibbelink N. Groot Ni...
JWB Fantasy Football JWB Fantasy Football
1 w
#10#7-
    
Bo McBrayer B. McBrayer
Going For 2 Going For 2
1 w
#6#13-
    
Jeff Boggis J. Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire Fantasy Football E...
1 w
#11#5-
    
Jeff Bell J. Bell
Footballguys Footballguys
1 w
#8#7-
    
Luke Sawhook L. Sawhook
Dynasty Nerds Dynasty Nerds
1 w
#9#5-
    
John Paulsen J. Paulsen
4for4.com 4for4.com
1 w
#9#7-
    
Adrian Alpanseque A. Alpanseque
Estadio Fantasy Estadio Fantasy
1 w
#8#10-
    
Site Rankings S. Rankings
FFToday FFToday
1 w
#8#4-
    
Tyler Orginski T. Orginski
JWB Fantasy Football JWB Fantasy Football
1 w
#8#9-
    
John Hesterman J. Hesterman
Dynasty League Football Dynasty League Foo...
2 w
#8#9-
    
Andrew Erickson A. Erickson
FantasyPros FantasyPros
2 w
#8#7-
    
Tim Brosnan T. Brosnan
Tim's Fantasy Tips Tim's Fantasy Tips
2 w
#6#9-
    
Michael Hauff M. Hauff
FF Faceoff FF Faceoff
2 w
#6#4-
    
Francisco (Chato) Romero F. (Chato) ...
Estadio Fantasy Estadio Fantasy
2 w
#6#10-
    
Jacob Gibbs J. Gibbs
SportsLine SportsLine
2 w
#7#8-
    
Mike Maher M. Maher
FantasyPros FantasyPros
3 w
#6#8-
    
David Mendelson D. Mendelson
Triple Play Fantasy Triple Play Fantasy
3 w
#12#7-
    
Andrew Seifter A. Seifter
FantasyPros FantasyPros
3 w
#5#6-
    
Matt Donnelly M. Donnelly
Dynasty Vipers Dynasty Vipers
3 w
#4#6-
    
Seth Miller S. Miller
Crossroads Fantasy Football Crossroads Fantasy...
3 w
#10#5-
    
Ellis Johnson E. Johnson
True North Fantasy Football True North Fantasy...
3 w
#7-
    
Bart Wheeler B. Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football Hail to Fantasy Fo...
3 w
#6#10-
    
Kyle Krajewski K. Krajewski
First Seed Sports First Seed Sports
3 w
#13#8-
    
Craig Phillips C. Phillips
FF Prophet FF Prophet
3 w
#8#7-
    
Kevin Wheeler K. Wheeler
The Draft Zone The Draft Zone
3 w
#6#8-
    
Zach Greubel Z. Greubel
Gridiron Experts Gridiron Experts
3 w
#5#9-
    
Joe Bond J. Bond
Fantasy Six Pack Fantasy Six Pack
3 w
#6#9-
    
Dennis Sosic D. Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack Fantasy Six Pack
4 w
#6#7-
    
Richard Cooling R. Cooling
5 Yard Rush 5 Yard Rush
4 w
#9#7-
    
Brandon Murchison B. Murchison
RotoBaller RotoBaller
4 w
#6#8-
    
Jody Smith J. Smith
FullTime Fantasy FullTime Fantasy
4 w
#8#5-
    
Raju Byfield R. Byfield
Win My Fantasy League Win My Fantasy League
4 w
#6#7-
    
Wolf of Roto Street W. of Roto ...
Roto Street Journal Roto Street Journal
4 w
#7#6-
    
Dominick Petrillo D. Petrillo
The Athletic The Athletic
05/25
#6#5-
    
Andersen Pickard A. Pickard
Prime Time Sports Talk Prime Time Sports ...
3 w
#8#5-
    
Brad Evans B. Evans
Bally Sports Bally Sports
05/24
#5#8-
    
Walter Cherepinsky W. Cherepinsky
WalterFootball WalterFootball
1 w
#6#8-
    
Scott Engel S. Engel
The Game Day The Game Day
05/25
#10#9-
    
Ryan Weisse R. Weisse
Footballguys Footballguys
05/17
#6#8-
    
Fantasy BR F. BR
Fantasy BR Fantasy BR
05/16
#6#9-
    
Matt Olson M. Olson
The Pigskin Pow Wow The Pigskin Pow Wow
05/14
#5#8-
    
Derek Lofland D. Lofland
FantasyPros FantasyPros
05/24
#3#10-
    
Kevin Hanson K. Hanson
EDSFootball EDSFootball
05/11
#6#8-
    
Justin Sablich J. Sablich
5th Down Fantasy 5th Down Fantasy
05/10
#5#11-
    
Richard King R. King
King Fantasy Sports King Fantasy Sports
3 w
#8#7-
    
Mick Ciallela M. Ciallela
Fantrax Fantrax
05/06
#6#9-
    
Tommy Garrett T. Garrett
Pro Football Network Pro Football Network
05/03
#6#11-
    
Matt Harmon M. Harmon
Yahoo! Sports Yahoo! Sports
05/02
#8#6-
    
Rich Piazza R. Piazza
Fantasy Shed Fantasy Shed
05/01
#5#10-
    
Jordan Rains J. Rains
The IDP Army The IDP Army
2 d
#6#11-
    
Jorge B. Edwards J. B. Edwards
Fantasy In Frames Fantasy In Frames
1 w
#10#7-
    
Player Game Logs Comparison
 
Joe Burrow
QB - CIN
Joe Burrow
Joe Burrow
QB - CIN
Tom Brady
QB - TB
Tom Brady
Tom Brady
QB - TB
2022 Schedule 
Week 1 vs. PIT at DAL
Week 2 at DAL at NO
Week 3 at NYJ vs. GB
Week 4 vs. MIA vs. KC
Week 5 at BAL vs. ATL
Week 6 at NO at PIT
Week 7 vs. ATL at CAR
Week 8 at CLE vs. BAL
Week 9 vs. CAR vs. LAR
Week 10BYE WEEK vs. SEA
Week 11 at PITBYE WEEK
Week 12 at TEN at CLE
Week 13 vs. KC vs. NO
Week 14 vs. CLE at SF
Week 15 at TB vs. CIN
Week 16 at NE at ARI
Week 17 vs. BUF vs. CAR
Week 18 vs. BAL at ATL
Player Projections Comparison
 
Joe Burrow
QB - CIN
Joe Burrow
Joe Burrow
QB - CIN
Tom Brady
QB - TB
Tom Brady
Tom Brady
QB - TB
Passing
   
Pass Att567.7654.5
Pass Cmp383.4433.6
Pass Yards4,482.94,713.0
Pass TDs30.237.2
Ints12.511.9
   
Rushing
   
Rush Attempts45.927.5
Rush Yards182.053.1
Rush TDs2.31.8
   
Misc
   
Fumbles2.33.2
   
Points
   
Fantasy Points315.2334.9
   
Player Fantasy Points Comparison
 
Joe Burrow
QB - CIN
Joe Burrow
Joe Burrow
QB - CIN
Tom Brady
QB - TB
Tom Brady
Tom Brady
QB - TB
2021 Points 
Week 118.629.2
Week 213.329.6
Week 318.628.7
Week 422.311.1
Week 520.337.7
Week 623.819.0
Week 727.624.4
Week 821.327.2
Week 99.4
Week 1015.0
Week 119.020.3
Week 1217.412.2
Week 1318.629.6
Week 1422.230.1
Week 1512.85.8
Week 1638.114.4
Week 1734.827.4
Week 1825.0
Total395.4419.7
Average19.822.1
Notes for Player Combination
 
Joe Burrow
QB - CIN
Joe Burrow
Joe Burrow
QB - CIN
Tom Brady
QB - TB
Tom Brady
Tom Brady
QB - TB
Expert 
Andrew Erickson
FantasyPros
Joe Burrow finished the regular season as PFF's highest-graded passer (91.2) while also ranking first in super sticky stats like passing grade from a clean pocket (94.6) and passing grade throwing at the intermediate level (95.6). He finished the season as the QB8 averaging just north of 20.5 fantasy points per game. The Bengals quarterback has undoubtedly entered the conversation as one of the league's best real-life NFL passers, but might be slightly overvalued based on early best ball ADP with impending regression. He's the QB6 despite finishing as a top-6 fantasy quarterback just thrice in 2021. No quarterback scored more fantasy points over expectation, which hints that regression will hit Burrow in 2022. The LSU product also rushed for just 118 yards and two TDs. He rushed for fewer yards than Mac Jones, who is notorious for being ranked low across consensus due to his lack of upside as a rusher. However, there is a legitimate path for Burrow's upside to be further unlocked if the Bengals increase their pass rate as they did during his rookie season and down the playoff stretch. Burrow led the NFL in passing attempts per game (40.4) during his rookie season and averaged 38 passing attempts/23.0 fantasy points per game in his final six weeks An uptick in passing volume won't help Burrow's efficiency per se, but his fantasy numbers will be much more stable from week to week. Also can't forget to mention the Bengals revamped their offensive line as they look to not let their franchise quarterback get sacked 70 times - 22 more than the next closest quarterback. 
Derek Lofland
FantasyPros
Burrow had 4,611 passing yards and 34 passing TDs in the 2021 fantasy season and he should be poised for another monster year on one of the most exciting offenses in the NFL that helped lead the Bengals to a Super Bowl appearance. He should benefit from the Bengals signing three veteran offensive lineman in free agency, which was their biggest weakness on offense.Brady led the league with 5,316 yards passing and 43 passing touchdowns, but he does turn 45 years old this year. The biggest concern is that they are going to be running the ball more with a new head coach and Chris Godwin is not a guarantee to be ready in Week 1. Brady is still in the QB1discussion, which is amazing given his age.
Derek Brown
FantasyPros
 At age 44, Tom Brady attempted the most passes in the league (719) and finished with the most passing yards (5,316) and second-most passing touchdowns (43) in any single season of his career. Brady was the QB3 in fantasy points per game. While he might not reach those heights in 2022, he will still be leading one of the NFL's fastest-paced and most talented offenses. If Brady's fountain of youth and avocado milkshakes can hold off father time, he's a top 5-10 option at the position in fantasy.
Wolf of Roto Street
Roto Street Journal
His line has improved from a Bottom-10 Unit to a potential Top-5 unit with an entirely new right side featuring La'El Collins, Alex Cappa, and Ted Karras. This improvement cannot be understated - it's so huge. 
Pat Fitzmaurice
FantasyPros
In his second NFL season, Burrow averaged 8.9 yards per pass attempt. Tom Brady never had a season with a YPA that high, and Aaron Rodgers has reached that number only once. And consider that when Burrow's marvelous season began, he was less than a year removed from surgery to repair a torn ACL and MCL. Burrow also has the superb young WR duo of Ja'Marr Chase and Tee Higgins to make his job easier.He un-retired after little more than a month and will play at age 45. Can he continue to defy Father Time? It seems silly to bet against him at this point.