Who Should I Draft?

Tyreek Hill or Doug Baldwin

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Experts' Pick
 
  Tyreek Hill
WR - KC
Tyreek Hill
Doug Baldwin
WR - SEA
Doug Baldwin
 
 
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Recommended by
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Rankings 
    
ECR# 11# 15-
Best Rank# 2# 7-
Worst Rank# 26# 29-
    
Fantasy Points 
    
Season Total164.2150.3-
Avg Game10.99.4-
Avg Projection153.5142.3-
    
Schedule 
    
SOS Rank3219-
    
Misc 
    
Injury Alert-
    
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Tyreek HillDoug BaldwinAdd Player
    
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  Tyreek Hill
WR - KC
Tyreek Hill
Doug Baldwin
WR - SEA
Doug Baldwin
2018 Schedule 
Week 1 at LAC at DEN
Week 2 at PIT at CHI
Week 3 vs. SF vs. DAL
Week 4 at DEN at ARI
Week 5 vs. JAC vs. LAR
Week 6 at NE at OAK
Week 7 vs. CINBYE WEEK
Week 8 vs. DEN at DET
Week 9 at CLE vs. LAC
Week 10 vs. ARI at LAR
Week 11 at LAR vs. GB
Week 12BYE WEEK at CAR
Week 13 at OAK vs. SF
Week 14 vs. BAL vs. MIN
Week 15 vs. LAC at SF
Week 16 at SEA vs. KC
Week 17 vs. OAK vs. ARI
  Tyreek Hill
WR - KC
Tyreek Hill
Doug Baldwin
WR - SEA
Doug Baldwin
Receiving
   
Receptions76.177.1
Rec Yards1,015.41,001.7
Rec TDs6.47.0
   
Rushing
   
Rush Attempts16.42.0
Rush Yards100.25.6
Rush TDs0.80.0
   
Points
   
Fantasy Points153.5142.3
   
  Tyreek Hill
WR - KC
Tyreek Hill
Doug Baldwin
WR - SEA
Doug Baldwin
2017 Points 
Week 119.86.0
Week 24.94.4
Week 315.016.5
Week 43.57.5
Week 56.83.7
Week 62.5
Week 719.215.2
Week 81.85.4
Week 913.316.8
Week 109.5
Week 118.410.0
Week 125.42.0
Week 1330.58.4
Week 147.513.8
Week 1514.80.6
Week 1610.89.5
Week 1721.0
  Tyreek Hill
WR - KC
Tyreek Hill
Doug Baldwin
WR - SEA
Doug Baldwin
2017 Targets 
Week 184
Week 269
Week 3815
Week 463
Week 568
Week 67
Week 7812
Week 8610
Week 9412
Week 106
Week 1176
Week 12113
Week 1397
Week 1466
Week 1564
Week 1676
Week 175
  Tyreek Hill
WR - KC
Tyreek Hill
Doug Baldwin
WR - SEA
Doug Baldwin
Expert 
Derek Lofland
Fantasy Football Maniax
Hill had a breakout year in his second season averaging 11.1 fantasy points per game. He could be even better if the Chiefs go with QB Patrick Mahomes II. While Mahomes II has little experience, he has a much stronger arm than QB Alex Smith and that could help Hill be an even better deep threat.Baldwin averaged 9.1 fantasy points per game and if the Seahawks can improve their offensive line play, his production could go higher in 2018. The only concern is a knee issue that Baldwin claims will never be 100% this season. That is a big red flag for a soon to be 30-year old player, but he will see too many targets to be less than a WR2 this year.
Andrew Gould
FantasyPros
Hill handled more volume than anticipated with 75 receptions for 1,183 yards and seven TDs. Yet each score stretched at least 30 yards, as he vanished inside the red zone with two touches. Patrick Mahomes has the arm to make more deep magic, but he won't match Alex Smith's precision. Sammy Watkins will also threaten Hill's pedestrian 19.3 % target share, so don't touch the 5'10" playmaker at his bloated No. 28 overall ADP. Antonio Brown and Julio Jones are the only other wideouts besides Baldwin who have ended the past three years among the position's top 12. He has gone from value to risk because of a preseason knee injury, but he once again looks like a fine third- or fourth-round selection with an encouraging Week 1 prognosis.
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
If you want to worry about new additions (WR Watkins) or big-play sustainability, that's your prerogative. I will happily take any discount you want to give me for the biggest home-run threat in the gameSays his knee will only be at 80-85% this season - that's a bit of a concern, but expect the WR technician to power through it, and handle one of the healthiest target shares in the league
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
Last season, Tyreek broke out for 1,183 yards and 7 TDs, but he didn't catch a single red-zone TD. That can't continue. Add in Sammy Watkins and downgrade from QB and we are looking at a major drop off in production from season to season.Russell Wilson has been tremendous each and every year since he took over, and once again, Baldwin is far and away his top target. He should catch 70+ passes for the fourth consecutive season and continue his high TD-rate (29 TDs in 3 seasons). He isn't reliable game to game, however, and is dealing with a knee injury otherwise he would be up in the second tier of fantasy receivers.
Jody Smith
FantasyPros
Has clicked very well with Pat Mahomes this preseason, including a welcomed presence in the red zone. Could move up a tad when we hear definitive word on his availability for Week 1
Christopher Ventra
RotoExperts
 *Injured - Likely Ready For WK 1*
Mike Tagliere
FantasyPros
It's clear that Tyreek Hill is among the most efficient wide receivers in the game, as his 11.3 yards per target in 2017 ranked first in the league among those with 70 or more targets. Not just that, but the closest player to him was Marvin Jones at 10.3 YPT (a whopping 9 percent difference). That number came up quite a bit from his 2016 total that was at 7.1 yards per target, so you might want to dial back those large expectations. The addition of Sammy Watkins isn't going to help him gain a higher target share, either, as they paid Watkins a generous $50 million. As high as you might be on Pat Mahomes, it's going to be incredibly hard for him to top Alex Smith's MVP-caliber 2017 season. There's regression coming for Hill, but his price does not reflect that. If you can snag him in the fourth-round, that's when you should feel okay with the risk. While everyone seems to be foaming at the mouth to draft Rashaad Penny, it's Baldwin who is the most valuable asset on the Seahawks roster. It's rare to find a wide receiver who is as underappreciated as Baldwin, who has now finished as a top-13 wide receiver in each of the last three seasons. Not only has he averaged 1,062.7 yards in that span, but he's scored 29 touchdowns, and that was with Jimmy Graham on the roster. I shouldn't have to remind you that Graham is gone, and the Seahawks didn't add a wide receiver of significance to replace Paul Richardson. Baldwin is a low-end WR1 with upside. You should know that Baldwin suffered some sort of knee injury at the start of training camp and is expected to miss the preseason games. While he doesn't necessarily need the work as a veteran, it's added risk to his fantasy appeal.
Staff Rankings
QB List
The fastest man in fantasy, Tyreek Hill paid handsomely those who drafted him, recording nearly 1,200 yards and seven touchdowns while adding in a punt return touchdown and some rushing yards from trick plays. Why then is Hill stuck at #14 on the rankings you ask? Two reasons: there's a new sheriff in Kansas City named Patrick Mahomes, and Brett Veach (the Chiefs GM, and yes I had to look it up) is coocoo for Cocoa Puffs. To go alongside the speedy Hill, Veach spent $48 million for three years of the perennially overrated Sammy Watkins. So not only does Hill now have to worry about forming a report with the rookie Mahomes, but he'll have Watkins and Chris Conley chomping at his heels for the targets that resident mad-man Travis Kelce doesn't get. Know the upside is real, but draft accordingly."The Guy" in the Seattle receiving corps has been putting up big numbers for 3 seasons now and is poised to do so once again in 2018. The departure of Paul Richardson, and major additions to the Seattle offensive line give Baldwin a great shot at blowing away his relative down 2017 and regaining his spot among the top 10 receivers in fantasy. At the very least, Baldwin remains a key red zone target for Russell Wilson and a pass-happy Seattle offense now without overrated tight end Jimmy Graham.
Kevin Roberts
Breaking Football
Hill can take any touch to the house but Watkins being added and a big QB change could complicate mattersHe's basically all Russell Wilson has so you have to consider his upside this year. That being said, he's already hurt so rust/injury have to be a concern
Kevin Wheeler
NFL Mock
Last year, Tyreek Hill (WR8) became the ONLY receiver since 2000 to finish as a fantasy WR1 (top-12) while seeing fewer than 20% of team targets and fewer than 10% of red-zone targets in his WR1 single-season. @GrahamBarfield He's very good, but he also had as many red zone targets as Virgil Green last year. All of his touchdowns were 30+ yards. Incredibly hard to sustain what he did last year, let alone with another able pass-catcher in the offense now. @LateRoundQB Small, but fast as lightening in an offensive scheme that fits his athleticism. He benefits greatly from the addition of Watkins pulling away any shut-down corners. At 24 years old he should be able to hold value for many years. Over the last three seasons, Doug Baldwin is one of four players to post over 3,000 receiving yards and 25 touchdowns.
Seth McKinley
FF Fellas
High risk, high reward 
Raju Byfield
Win My Fantasy League
Watkins will undoubtedly eat up some of his target share but the Chiefs promise to be much more explosive in 2018Remains a reliable fantasy option despite talent limitations; one of the elite workers in the NFL