Who Should I Draft?

Tyreek Hill or Michael Thomas

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Experts' Pick
 
  Tyreek Hill
WR - KC
Tyreek Hill
Michael Thomas
WR - NO
Michael Thomas
 
 
Expert
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Recommended by
113 of 157 experts
28%
Recommended by
44 of 157 experts
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Rankings 
    
ECR# 5# 7-
Best Rank# 1# 1-
Worst Rank# 36# 15-
    
Fantasy Points 
    
Season Total241.0190.5-
Avg Game15.111.9-
Avg Projection194.8185.3-
    
Schedule 
    
SOS Rank3216-
    
Misc 
    
Injury Alert-
    
Expert Ranks 
Tyreek HillMichael ThomasAdd Player
    
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  Tyreek Hill
WR - KC
Tyreek Hill
Michael Thomas
WR - NO
Michael Thomas
2019 Schedule 
Week 1 at JAC vs. HOU
Week 2 at OAK at LAR
Week 3 vs. BAL at SEA
Week 4 at DET vs. DAL
Week 5 vs. IND vs. TB
Week 6 vs. HOU at JAC
Week 7 at DEN at CHI
Week 8 vs. GB vs. ARI
Week 9 vs. MINBYE WEEK
Week 10 at TEN vs. ATL
Week 11 at LAC at TB
Week 12BYE WEEK vs. CAR
Week 13 vs. OAK at ATL
Week 14 at NE vs. SF
Week 15 vs. DEN vs. IND
Week 16 at CHI at TEN
Week 17 vs. LAC at CAR
  Tyreek Hill
WR - KC
Tyreek Hill
Michael Thomas
WR - NO
Michael Thomas
Receiving
   
Receptions81.4111.7
Rec Yards1,274.11,347.9
Rec TDs8.88.5
   
Rushing
   
Rush Attempts12.60.0
Rush Yards93.00.0
Rush TDs1.00.0
   
Points
   
Fantasy Points194.8185.3
   
  Tyreek Hill
WR - KC
Tyreek Hill
Michael Thomas
WR - NO
Michael Thomas
2018 Points 
Week 129.322.0
Week 215.018.9
Week 35.612.9
Week 45.64.7
Week 58.77.4
Week 632.2
Week 713.612.9
Week 87.08.1
Week 98.527.1
Week 1025.719.0
Week 1133.515.2
Week 123.8
Week 135.04.0
Week 1414.59.8
Week 154.14.9
Week 169.116.9
Week 1723.62.9
  Tyreek Hill
WR - KC
Tyreek Hill
Michael Thomas
WR - NO
Michael Thomas
2018 Targets 
Week 1817
Week 2613
Week 3510
Week 4134
Week 575
Week 612
Week 7109
Week 846
Week 9515
Week 10108
Week 11144
Week 126
Week 1368
Week 141413
Week 1579
Week 16913
Week 1777
  Tyreek Hill
WR - KC
Tyreek Hill
Michael Thomas
WR - NO
Michael Thomas
Expert 
Mike Tagliere
FantasyPros
It appears the NFL will not suspend Hill for the off-the-field incidents that took place this offseason, which means he's back in the conversation as a second-round pick. He continues to defy the laws of efficiency and while it's normal to expect regression, he's proved us wrong in each of the last two seasons. He is the exception to the rule and an outlier in production. He won't be as consistent as the top-tier options, but he'll single-handedly win you weeks.Three straight top-10 seasons to start your career? Not bad. The Saints are throwing the ball less and less which is why Thomas hasn't contended for the No. 1 spot in the wide receiver rankings, but he's steady and consistent, making him well worth a late first-round selection
Kevin Roberts
Breaking Football
Hill isn't a PPR god, but he can save your week with one play. He's just a monster in KC's stacked offense. With his off-field scare seemingly over, he's back to being a top-10 lock.MT is about as efficient as they come and plays much of the year indoors with an accurate quarterback. Yeah, he's a top 5 guy.
Dan Harris
FantasyPros
With Patrick Mahomes as his quarterback last year, Hill was incredible, with 1,479 receiving yards and 12 touchdowns. His outstanding speed makes him a threat to unleash a big play at any given moment, and there are few reasons to doubt his on-field performance. The NFL is not planning to suspend Hill for now unless new evidence comes out that changes the equation. And, as we've seen in the past with Ray Rice and Kareem Hunt, that always remains a possibility. That's enough to drop Hill slightly in wide receiver rankings, but not outside of the WR1 range.Thomas has had an unreal efficiency throughout his career, and he's been incredibly consistent. He's never finished a season with fewer than 1,100 yards, and he had a superb 125 catches last year. With a lengthy contract extension taken care of, it should be business as usual for Thomas this year, and he should put up strong WR1 numbers as usual.
Brandon Funston
The Athletic
Top fantasy WR in '18 has scored an insane 24 of 34 career TDs from 25+ yards out (16 from 50+ yards) - After dodging NFL suspension, a little KC offensive regression only concern for Hill owners nowOnly player in NFL history with 300+ catches over 1st 3 seasons - Had WR-high 85% catch rate on his 147 targets last season (since '92, no other WR with at least 100 targets has eclipsed 80%)
Derek Lofland
FantasyPros
Hill was the top-ranked fantasy receiver in 2018 and he should be in the conversation again in 2019 with strong-armed QB Patrick Mahomes II running the offense.Thomas had 125 receptions for 1,405 yards and 9 touchdowns last season and he should be heavily targeted again in 2019.
Michael Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
Now that he will not be suspended, he becomes a sure fire WR1 again. Was more inconsistent than you would like last season, but has the highest ceiling of any receiver. 
Jason Petropoulos
BRoto Fantasy
The #1 WR in True Target Value, Hill's targets from Mahomes were more valuable than any other WR-QB connection last season. He's just too fast and too good to be held down. They'll be weeks where he disappoints and weeks where he wins your matchup basically single-handedly. He's a rollercoaster, but his highs are higher than anyone else's in the league. 
Nick Zylak
Fantasy Football Advice
If you guaranteed me a full 16 weeks of Tyreek Hill, then I'd probably rank him first among WR's. The problem is you can't. There's a chance that more information gets released about his abuse allegation, forcing Goodell to suspend him. I think it's unlikely, but it's certainly possible. Because of that, he's too risky to draft in the first round, and I wouldn't take him as the first WR off the board. There are much safer options available, and they come with just as much upside.I preach safety in the first 4 rounds...and it doesn get any safer than Michael Thomas He has the more receptions over his first 3 seasons than any player in the history of the NFL. And he's first by 33 receptions! He also has the third most fantasy points ever over that stretch of time, behind just Randy Moss and Odell. Over his first three seasons he's averaged 107/1,262/7.67 TD's, including 125.1405/9 last season, which was the 4th highest approximate value of any WR ever Thomas has also been a model of health, missing just one game in his career. This sort of floor/upside combination shouldn't be available in the early second round. Thomas has finished as the WR 7/6/6 over the last three years, but I think this is the year that he finishes in the top 3. And honestly, he could easily end up as the WR 1
Sean Koerner
The Action Network
 low floor attached to Brees, more weapons around him this year
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
Tyreek was not suspended but the NFL said if any new evidence surfaced, the case would be revisited for suspension so be aware of that caveat. It seems likely, however, that he will play the majority of the season and if he does, you can bet he'll finish top 10, and more likely top 5 even despite a few rough weeks mixed in.No one was more efficient with the targets they saw than Thomas last season. In fact, no one in NFL history has been that efficient. There is room for more, of course, if New Orleans decides to pepper him with targets, but they also don't throw much so that might just be wishful thinking.
Kyle Yates
The Fantasy Footballers
 Michael Thomas has proven that he has some of the best (if not THE best) hands in the NFL. He's a focal point of the Sean Payton offense and the Saints did little to change that perception this offseason. My only concern is whether or not we've begun to see the beginning of the end of Drew Brees, but whether that's the case or not, Thomas will still be an elite PPR option.