Patrick Mahomes II Week 15 Outlook - Broncos at Chiefs

By Mike Tagliere (FantasyPros), Thu, Dec 12th 2019, 10:44am EST

The 13.9 fantasy points Mahomes scored last week was just the third time in his career he's finished with less than 15.2 fantasy points. Fantasy owners seem to be panicking, though, as Mahomes has now failed to reach 20 fantasy points in seven of his last eight games, which means he's not carrying fantasy teams to victory on his own. This is what everyone talked about this offseason, as regression has settled in, though Mahomes is still very elite. The fact that he's failed to throw more than one touchdown in six of the last eight games is concerning right now, however, as he's about to go into a matchup with the Broncos, a team that's allowed more than one touchdown pass just five times all season. The first time these teams played was in Denver and Mahomes was trending towards a big game, completing 10-of-11 passes for 76 yards and a touchdown before dislocating his kneecap. Mahomes may be catching them at the perfect time, though, as the Broncos have allowed eight passing touchdowns over the last four weeks since their bye, which is a lot considering they allowed just seven passing touchdowns in the nine games before their bye week. They were missing Von Miller for one of those games (Week 13) but got him back last week. Divisional games are always somewhat tough to predict, but knowing the Broncos have allowed each of the last four quarterbacks to play against them finish as the QB5 (Deshaun Watson), QB17 (Philip Rivers), QB9 (Josh Allen), and QB8 (Kirk Cousins), Mahomes needs to remain in lineups as a middling QB1 who still presents a rock-solid floor.