D'Andre Swift Week 3 Outlook - Bears at Falcons

By Mike Tagliere (FantasyPros), Thu, Sep 24th 2020, 10:22am EDT

Through two weeks, here are the snap counts between these three: Swift 54, Peterson 39, Johnson 39. Gross. Here are the opportunity counts: Peterson 24, Swift 18, Johnson 16. Again, gross. Even worse is that Swift and Johnson have gotten two carries inside the 10-yard-line while Peterson has just one, which seems like it should be Peterson's role. This is going to be an ugly backfield to predict every week, though Swift should eventually establish himself as the top option. The Cardinals have surprisingly not allowed a running back more than 56 yards on the ground through two weeks. They limited Raheem Mostert to just 56 yards on 15 carries, though he did rattle off 95 yards and a touchdown through the air. Swift is clearly the preferred receiving option, as he's been in on 39 pass snaps, while Peterson and Johnson have combined for 33. Running backs have accounted for 50 percent of fantasy production against the Cardinals, which ranks as the third-highest in the league, so if the Lions are going to come anywhere close to their 24.5-point implied total, someone is likely to have value. Swift would be my choice, but as you can see, there's no guarantee. Treat him as a low-end RB3 and hope he finds his way into the end zone or sees quite a few targets. Peterson is getting the most touches but if he's not locked into goal-line work, he won't offer much upside at all. He's nothing more than a RB4 who's got a limited ceiling. I wouldn't want to start Johnson considering the 8.0 opportunities per game.