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D'Andre Swift Week 4 Outlook - Colts at Bears

By Mike Tagliere (FantasyPros), Thu, Oct 1st 2020, 9:24am EDT

This is a complete mess. There are times you just throw your hands up, and this is one of them. The snap counts through three weeks are Peterson 79, Swift 60, and Johnson 59. The touches are a much larger gap, though, as Peterson has totaled 47, Johnson 19, and Swift 17. It would seem like Peterson would be the obvious play this week, right? Well, the Saints are not a team to run the ball against, and carries have accounted for 91.5 percent of Peterson's touches. The Saints have allowed the eighth-fewest fantasy points per opportunity this year, and that's despite playing against Aaron Jones and Josh Jacobs in two of those games. This is no different than 2019 when they allowed just 3.65 yards per carry on the season. Since the start of last year (19 games), they've allowed just nine rushing touchdowns to running backs on 362 carries (one every 40.2 carries). You'd think Peterson would get those carries on the goal-line, right? Well, no. Peterson has still yet to get a carry inside the five-yard-line, while Johnson and Swift each have one. Peterson would still be the running back of choice if you had to play one, but he's just a low-upside RB3/4 in this matchup. Swift's skillset would work best in this matchup, but after he played just six snaps in Week 3, you cannot trust him. Johnson is stuck in the in-between.

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