Josh Jacobs Week 4 Outlook - Falcons at Packers

By Mike Tagliere (FantasyPros), Thu, Oct 1st 2020, 9:45am EDT

The only player with more carries than Jacobs through three games is Derrick Henry. His 13 targets do leave a little bit to be desired, but it does rank 13th among running backs, so it's a step in the right direction. With the Raiders down two of their top receiving options, Jacobs should have an even bigger role this week. The Bills have played against just one running back who's totaled more than 13 touches, and that was Darrell Henderson last week who totaled 120 total yards and a touchdown. There were 12 running backs who totaled more than 15 touches against the Bills last year, and in those games, nine running backs finished as top-24 options, including five who finished top-12. If there's one thing we've seen under Sean McDermott, it's that they're willing to allow some production on the ground to running backs. Through 51 games as the head coach, they've allowed 47 rushing touchdowns. The efficiency on carries has been good, too, as they've allowed 4.43 yards per carry this year while allowing 4.37 yards per carry last year. Jacobs is locked into 18 touches in this game and should find his way into the end zone with a team-implied total of 23.5 points. He's a low-end RB1 this week.