Patrick Mahomes II Week 6 Outlook - Chiefs at Bills

By Mike Tagliere (FantasyPros), Thu, Oct 15th 2020, 10:11am EDT

Last week wasn't a good one for Mahomes. While it may have been worse for their defense, Mahomes continually looked like he was trying to make a highlight-reel play rather than playing his game. He'll be okay but he needs to get back to the basics of pocket passing, or we'll see more games with 51 percent completion rates. He was pressured 47 percent of the time against the Raiders, but he held onto the ball for an average of 3.71 seconds, which was the highest mark in the NFL. On the year, he's averaged 2.94 seconds, so he held onto the ball a bit too long. The Bills pressure-rate hasn't been very good, as they ranked 18th in the category and have yet to pressure a quarterback more than 32 percent of the time in each of their last four games. We just watched a Titans team that hadn't practiced all week put 42 points up on this defense, though not having Tre'Davious White is a big deal. The only quarterback who hasn't scored at least 22 fantasy points against the Bills is Sam Darnold, and that was way back in Week 1. Are they imploding? Don't forget this was a defense that didn't allow a single quarterback more than 22.7 fantasy points against them in 2019 and allowed just two top-12 quarterback performances all season. It's worth noting that just one quarterback this year has averaged more than 7.07 yards per attempt against them, but three quarterbacks have been able to throw for 311-plus yards due to some volume. On top of that, they've allowed 20.4 fantasy points on the ground to quarterbacks. If they can't get pressure to Mahomes, they're in trouble. Start Mahomes as you normally would, as the Bills don't appear to be the same defense they were in 2019.