Hunter Henry Week 8 Outlook - Patriots at Bills

By Mike Tagliere (FantasyPros), Thu, Oct 29th 2020, 8:52am EDT

You'd think that with the way Herbert's been playing, that Henry's value would be through the roof. Unfortunately, that hasn't been the case. He's now totaled less than 40 yards in three straight games, including terrific matchups against the Jaguars and Saints. The targets are there, as he's seen at least seven targets in 5-of-6 games, so that's not it. Things should even out over time, but he's been extremely inefficient with his targets to this point. Will a matchup with the Broncos change that? They have allowed a 76.2 percent catch-rate to tight ends, which is among the highest in the league, but those receptions have gone for an average of just 9.72 yards, which is the sixth-lowest mark in football. Despite playing against some very good tight ends (Jonnu Smith, Rob Gronkowski, Eric Ebron, and Travis Kelce), there hasn't been a single tight end who's topped 49 yards against them. Just two of those tight ends topped five targets, which is a number that Henry sees regularly, so we can't automatically say he won't produce. His targets will keep him in the TE1 conversation no matter what, but he's more of a mid-to-low TE1 this week in what's a tough matchup.