Derrick Henry Week 11 Outlook - Titans at Ravens

By Mike Tagliere (FantasyPros), Thu, Nov 19th 2020, 8:44am EST

Just like Tannehill, we have a trend with Henry. He played 71-plus percent of the snaps in each of the first three games but has watched that number fall as the year goes on. Over the last three weeks, he's played just 56.8 percent of the snaps. How is this affecting fantasy? Well, he saw 17 targets in their first six games but has seen just three targets over the last three. If he doesn't score, he's not getting into RB1 territory. While the Colts were a tough matchup, this week doesn't get much better. Based on Football Outsiders' DVOA metric which accounts for the level of competition they've played, the Ravens are the league's third-toughest run defense. In fact, they're one of just three teams who are ranked higher than the Colts. With that being said, they're going to be shorthanded this week, as they're missing their top two interior lineman, Calais Campbell and Brandon Williams. While Campbell is a new player on the Ravens this year, Williams has been a major cog up the middle of the field for years. On the 552 snaps with him on the field last year, the Ravens allowed 4.12 yards per carry. On the 474 snaps without him, they allowed 5.31 yards per carry. The last time Henry played the Ravens (in the playoffs last year), he crushed them for 195 yards on 30 carries. After reading this, you should have a bit more hope playing Henry as your RB1 this week.