Darren Waller Week 11 Outlook -

By Mike Tagliere (FantasyPros), Thu, Nov 19th 2020, 9:32am EST

Crazy to think there have been just two tight ends you can rely on this year, and both of them are in this game. Unfortunately, Waller hasn't been all that reliable as of late, as he's failed to top 37 yards in each of his last three games, something that had happened just three times in his previous 22 games. He's still seen at least five targets in 8-of-9 games this year, including five with eight-plus targets, so we'll be rolling with the punches. The last time he played the Chiefs (Week 5), Waller walked away with 5/48/1 on seven targets, which came in a game where Carr threw for 347 yards and three touchdowns, something that's unlikely to happen again. Still, we can even go back to last year when Waller finished with 6/63/0 and 7/100/0 against them, so he's fared well regardless, and it was the same scheme. The Chiefs rank as the 11th-toughest matchup in adjusted opponent rank, which factors in the opponents they've played, as tight ends are averaging 6.8 percent fewer points against the Chiefs than they do on average. Looking at DVOA, they rank as the fourth-toughest matchup for tight ends, so it's far from a can't-miss matchup. But considering Waller's history against them, he remains in the sturdy TE1 range.