Darrell Henderson Jr. Week 11 Outlook -

By Mike Tagliere (FantasyPros), Thu, Nov 19th 2020, 9:32am EST

In case you needed a reminder about why I've been saying to sell your shares of Henderson, last week highlighted my concerns. Sean McVay has legitimately told us he wants to model the Rams run game after Kyle Shanahan's offense in San Francisco. What better way to do that than start a three-way timeshare? The snaps were Brown 29, Henderson 23, and Akers 18, while the touches were Akers 10, Brown 8, and Henderson 8. Yeah, not great. The Bucs have not only seen a minuscule 19.0 carries per game on the ground, but even when running backs get carries, they don't amount to much. They've allowed just 3.01 yards per carry on the season, which is easily the best mark in the NFL and a repeat of what they did last year. Production has been rare to come by on the ground against the Bucs (4th-fewest fantasy points allowed on the ground), but running backs are averaging a rather-high 22.9 percent target share against them, which ranks fourth in the league. That's the reason they've allowed a league-high 66 receptions to the running back position. On the season, Brown has run 170 routes, while Henderson has run 85, and Akers has run 21, so this is clearly a benefit to Brown. The Bucs have allowed 13.4 PPR points per game through the air alone to running backs, which is the third-most in the league. It's odd to say but Brown might have the most value this week, though Henderson is right there, as he's still involved in the passing game a little bit and gets 47.1 percent of the carries inside the five-yard line, but both are just RB3-type options this week. Akers is moving up the board, but given his lack of involvement through the air, he's just a RB4/5.