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David Montgomery Week 12 Outlook - Texans at Lions

By Mike Tagliere (FantasyPros), Wed, Nov 25th 2020, 9:25am EST

He should be back in the lineup after now having two full weeks off with his concussion. It hasn't been a season fantasy managers will remember, but since Tarik Cohen went down with his season-ending injury, Montgomery's fantasy finishes have been 15, 14, 24, 21, and 49 (concussion). He's yet to eclipse 89 yards rushing or 45 yards receiving, and his team is almost never in scoring position, but he's getting 17-plus touches every single week, which has value as an RB2. When playing the Packers, running backs outscore quarterbacks by 14.72 fantasy points, which is the second-largest gap in the league. Running backs are averaging a robust 31.3 PPR points against the Packers, which is the second-highest number in the league. On average, wide receivers outscore running backs by 12-14 PPR points per game, but not against the Packers, as that gap is a league-low 2.59 PPR points. Here's the best way to lay it out: The Packers allow 74.3 PPR points per game to skill-position players, and a league-leading 42.1 percent of that goes to running backs. The Packers opponents have targeted their running backs on 23.1 percent of pass attempts, which ranks as the second-highest number in the league. That's led to running backs producing 14.1 PPR points per game through the air alone, which is the most in the NFL. That's crazy when you consider the Saints allow just 17.4 PPR points per game to the position as a whole. It's not just volume, either, as the 1.91 PPR points per target they've allowed is also the most in the league. All in all, the Packers have allowed 156.9 total yards per game to running backs, so knowing Montgomery receives at least 75 percent of their touches/production, he should be in lineups as an RB2.

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