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Antonio Gibson Week 12 Outlook - Cardinals at Patriots

By Mike Tagliere (FantasyPros), Wed, Nov 25th 2020, 7:18pm EST

The positive gamescript played right into Gibson's role last week, as he was able to accumulate 16 carries that amounted to 94 yards and a touchdown. The downside is that they felt the need to give Peyton Barber eight carries. To this point, Washington has hesitated to give Gibson the workload that fantasy managers crave. He's topped 13 carries just twice all season, though it's important to note that both those games came over their last four games. In Alex Smith's three starts, McKissic has totaled 17 carries and 33 targets, which is more than enough opportunity to be in the fantasy conversation every week. For those keeping track at home, that's a 29.5 percent target share. This should be interesting because the Cowboys have faced a running back target on a league-low 14.0 percent of pass attempts. They're also one of just four teams who've yet to allow a receiving touchdown to a running back. Even when targeted, they've allowed a league-low 4.29 yards per target. In fact, running backs have averaged just 5.2 PPR points per game through the air against the Cowboys, which is easily the lowest mark in the league. Meanwhile, they've faced a massive 26.6 carries per game (2nd in NFL), which bodes well for Gibson's role. That's happened because teams have chosen a run play on 47.8 percent of plays against them, which ranks as the second-highest rate in the league. Gibson had a career day in their first meeting, racking up 20 carries, 128 yards, and a touchdown. He's one of seven running backs who've finished with 70-plus yards on the ground alone against the Cowboys. There have also been three running backs who've scored multiple rushing touchdowns against them. The downside is that Gibson is a road underdog whose team is projected for just 21.5 points, but you have to keep him rolling as a mid-to-high-end RB2 in this matchup. McKissic's matchup is a bit tougher, though it's extremely hard to pass on his role with Smith under center. He's in the low-end RB3 conversation, particularly in PPR formats.

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