Gus Edwards Week 12 Outlook - Chargers at Bills
By Mike Tagliere (FantasyPros), Wed, Nov 25th 2020, 7:19pm EST
It happened. The Ravens have finally moved to JK Dobbins as their primary ball carrier. He played a season-high 64 percent of the snaps and touched the ball a career-high 17 times against the Titans. Prior to that game, Dobbins hadn't touched the ball more than seven times with all three running backs in the lineup (for the full game). Unfortunately, that doesn't matter, as he was hit with COVID and is out for this week, as is Mark Ingram. That leaves us Edwards and Hill. The matchup... isn't great. Not only are the Steelers limiting opposing skill-position players to a league-low 62.1 PPR points per game but running backs have accounted for just 28.0 percent of that production, the fifth-lowest percentage in the league. The 173.9 PPR points they've allowed to running backs is just 0.1 more points than the Saints have allowed, making them the second-toughest matchup in the league. The lack of production through the air is what drags that number down, as they have allowed 4.14 yards per carry, which isn't deadly. It's also why we watched Dobbins have some success against them back in Week 8 when he totaled a career-high 113 yards on 15 carries. The Ravens hardly throw to their running backs, which fits what's happened against the Steelers, as they've only seen a running back target on 14.8 percent of pass attempts this year (second-lowest number in NFL). We're expecting a big touch-share for Edwards this week and we're going to need it with running backs averaging just 23.3 touches per game against the Steelers, which is the lowest mark in the league. Ingram was out the last time these two teams played, and Edwards totaled 87 yards and a touchdown on 16 carries despite Dobbins getting some work. Knowing Edwards is the workhorse here, he should be in the mid-to-low-end RB2 range in what is a tough matchup, but one that he's ready for. Hill is likely going to get 5-8 touches in this tough matchup, so he's not a recommended play.
