Derrick Henry Week 13 Outlook - Cowboys at Ravens

By Mike Tagliere (FantasyPros), Thu, Dec 3rd 2020, 8:24am EST

I told you winter was coming. He leads the NFL with seven 100-yard games on the ground, while Dalvin Cook is the only other running back with more than four such performances. If the Titans wanted to, Henry could've rushed for 250-plus yards last week in the blowout win over the Colts. As we talked about last week, Henry gets better as the season goes on, and we're now in December, which is his time to shine. Of the production the Browns have allowed to skill-position players, running backs have only accounted for 27.9 percent of it, which is less than all but four other teams. Henry isn't involved much in the passing game, but it's worth noting that running backs have received just 15.6 percent of targets against the Browns, which is the fifth-lowest mark in football. Because of all that, the Browns have allowed the 10th-fewest fantasy points per game to running backs, but here's the thing... they've faced the fourth-least amount of weighted opportunity to them. When you factor in efficiency, they've allowed the 15th-most fantasy points per weighted opportunity, so it's far from a must-avoid matchup. There have been three running backs who've finished with more than 16 carries against them (James Robinson, Josh Jacobs, James Conner), and each of them finished with at least 100 yards on the ground. Henry is the No. 1 player in fantasy football right now and should be in lineups every week. In DFS, I'd prefer to keep Henry as a tournament play considering his lack of involvement in the passing game, but I won't argue if you wanted to play him in cash.