Taysom Hill Week 13 Outlook - Saints at Falcons

By Mike Tagliere (FantasyPros), Thu, Dec 3rd 2020, 10:33am EST

A pair of starts for Hill... a pair of rushing touchdowns in each game. As expected, his passing totals weren't as good in a non-Falcons game, as he threw for just 78 yards on 16 pass attempts with one interception. His rushing touchdowns certainly helped salvage his day, but it was hardly a confidence-inspiring game. Speaking of the Falcons, you'd have to go all the way back to Week 4 to find the last time the Falcons allowed more than 27 points to their opponent. They're playing better under Raheem Morris, though that doesn't mean they're a matchup to avoid. Despite holding the Raiders to just three points, they've still allowed more fantasy points per offensive snap (1.62) than any other team in the NFL. Quarterbacks have fared extremely well against the Falcons, as evidenced by the 23.7 points per game they've allowed to them, which ranks behind only the Seahawks. They've allowed a robust 306.9 passing yards per game, which stems from the fact that they're one of just three teams who've allowed more than 8.0 yards per pass attempt. On top of that, they've allowed a league-high six rushing touchdowns to quarterbacks. The 5.83 yards per rushing attempt to them also ranks as the third-highest mark in the NFL. Net result: They've allowed more fantasy points on the ground to quarterbacks than any other team in the league. We've already seen this matchup just two short weeks ago when Hill cruised to the tune of 18-of-23 passing for 233 yards while rushing for 49 yards and two touchdowns. Despite not starting until two weeks ago, Hill has rushed for 35-plus yards in five straight games. To finish as a top-five quarterback last year, it took an average of 25.3 fantasy points, which is a number that five quarterbacks (six if you combine Trubisky/Foles) have hit against the Falcons. Hill should be considered a high-floor, mid-to-low-end QB1.