Justin Jefferson Week 12 Outlook - Patriots at Vikings

By Derek Brown (FantasyPros), Thu, Nov 24th 2022, 1:05pm EST

Jefferson is a weekly must-start. It doesn't matter the matchup. He's the WR5 in fantasy with a 29.3% target share (eighth) and 38.6% air yard share (eighth). Jefferson is fifth in PFF's receiving grade and fourth in yards per route run (minimum 25 targets). He is also 18th in deep target and first in red zone looks. Since Hockenson's arrival, Jefferson has seen his aDOT rise from 8.9 to 15.2, and his deep target rate climb from 13.2% to 23.3%. Jefferson will run about 74% of his routes against Jonathan Jones (41.4% catch rate, 44.0 passer rating) and Jalen Mills (57.5% catch rate, 77.7 passer rating). Since Week 8, the Patriots have deployed their corners in zone coverage on 55.9-61% of their snaps. Jefferson is second in PFF receiving grade and yards per route run against zone coverage (minimum ten zone targets).