Jaylen Waddle Week 15 Outlook - Dolphins at Texans

By Derek Brown (FantasyPros), Thu, Dec 12th 2024, 1:05pm EST

Since Week 8, Waddles has had only two games where he's had at least 12 fantasy points and 60 receiving yards (Weeks 12 & 14). It has been a rough season for Waddle, and really not because he has been bad, but because Miami hasn't featured him in the passing game. That distinction has gone to Jonnu Smith. Across his last seven games, he has only two red zone targets. That's blasphemous for a player with Waddle's talent. Houston has two massive outlier games this season (Weeks 1 & 11) where they utilized two high with at least 82.3% of their defensive snaps. I can't rule out that they deploy this approach in Week 15, but I lean that they will stick to the formula they have used in their 11 other games. In the other 11 games they have had this season, they have utilized single-high with 60.9% of their defensive snaps. Since Week 8, against single-high, Waddle has had a 13% target share and 15.3% first-read share despite still producing 2.02 YPRR and 0.126 FD/RR. Waddle remains a volatile WR3/flex play for Week 15. Since Week 9, Houston has held perimeter wide receivers to the tenth-fewest receiving yards per game and the third-fewest PPR points per target.