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Baker Mayfield or Matthew Stafford

Who Should I Start? - Week 12

Can't Decide? Leave it up to the Fantasy Gods

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Player Summaries Comparison
 
Experts' Pick
 
 
vs. HOU, Thu 12pm EST
at JAC, Sun 1pm EST
 
 
Expert
Recommendation

Updated: Nov 29th, 2020
95%
Recommended by
149 of 157 experts
5%
Recommended by
8 of 157 experts
Add Player
Most Accurate Experts 
    
Top ExpertsTop QB ExpertsTop Player Experts See who the Most Accurate Experts would start
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Rankings 
    
ECR# 17# 22-
Best Rank# 16# 13-
Worst Rank# 32# 27-
    
Matchup 
    
Opponent vs. HOU at JAC-
Matchup RatingThis is a 3 star matchup. QBs perform close to their average vs HOUThis is a 5 star matchup. QBs perform better than their average vs JAC-
    
    
Stats Allowed   
Pass Comp19.818.8
Pass Yds215.6217.1
Pass TD1.51.6
    
Fantasy Points 
    
Season Total189.4132.7-
Avg Game17.213.3-
Avg Projection17.815.1-
Week 117.67.1-
    
Misc 
    
Injury Alert-
WeatherIndoor69 F, Mostly Cloudy-
    
Expert Ranks 
Matthew StaffordBaker MayfieldAdd Player
    
Rudy GambleR. Gamble
Razzball
4 m
#15#22-
    
Scott PianowskiS. Pian...
Yahoo! Sports
19 m
#19#23-
    
Richard KingR. King
King Fantasy Sports
37 m
#20#24-
    
Nick MarianoN. Mariano
RotoBaller
47 m
#19#24-
    
Lawrence JacksonL. Jackson
Fantasy Football Lord
53 m
#17#23-
    
Rich PiazzaR. Piazza
Fantasy Shed
1 h
#15#24-
    
Sean KoernerS. Koerner
The Action Network
2 h
#17#24-
    
Dan HarrisD. Harris
FantasyPros
2 h
#17#23-
    
Pierre CamusP. Camus
RotoBaller
2 h
#18#22-
    
Donkey TeethD. Teeth
Razzball
3 h
#20#25-
    
Tal MalachovskyT. Mala...
The Fantasy Scout
3 h
#13#29-
    
Pat FitzmauriceP. Fitz...
The Football Girl
3 h
#19#21-
    
John HestermanJ. Hest...
Dynasty League Football
3 h
#16#24-
    
Dennis SosicD. Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
4 h
#20#22-
    
Marc CavigliaM. Cavi...
Bruno Boys
4 h
#16#24-
    
Matthew HillM. Hill
DataForce Fantasy Football
4 h
#18#23-
    
Andrew SeifterA. Seifter
FantasyPros
4 h
#23#24-
    
Neema HodjatN. Hodjat
Real GM
4 h
#13#15-
    
Zach GreubelZ. Greubel
Gridiron Experts
4 h
#17#21-
    
Christopher DellC. Dell
Betting Predators
5 h
#23#26-
    
Greg SmithG. Smith
TwoQBs
5 h
#27#23-
    
Michael PetropoulosM. Petr...
BRoto Fantasy
5 h
#19#27-
    
Joe BondJ. Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
5 h
#18#22-
    
Patrick ThormanP. Thorman
Establish the Run
6 h
#19#23-
    
Kevin WheelerK. Wheeler
The Draft Zone
6 h
#14#23-
    
Bart WheelerB. Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
6 h
#21#23-
    
Jacob W. DunneJ. W. D...
New Life Fantasy
6 h
#18#27-
    
Mauricio GutierrezM. Guti...
Estadio Fantasy
6 h
#18#23-
    
John PaulsenJ. Paulsen
4for4.com
7 h
#21#23-
    
Jared SmolaJ. Smola
Draft Sharks
7 h
#17#23-
    
Andy BehrensA. Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
8 h
#16#25-
    
Brandon MurchisonB. Murc...
RotoBaller
8 h
#18#25-
    
Liz LozaL. Loza
Yahoo! Sports
8 h
#16#23-
    
Ryan SkolrudR. Skolrud
SkullKing Sports
8 h
#17#22-
    
Dalton Del DonD. Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
8 h
#16#19-
    
Jody SmithJ. Smith
FantasyData
8 h
#16#24-
    
Mike RandleM. Randle
BettingPros
9 h
#14#24-
    
Jacob GibbsJ. Gibbs
SportsLine
9 h
#23#21-
    
Justin DoddsJ. Dodds
Locked In Football
10 h
#15#23-
    
Jason PetropoulosJ. Petr...
BRoto Fantasy
10 h
#15#25-
    
Matthew BoweM. Bowe
Razzball
12 h
#19#21-
    
Andy HollowayA. Holl...
The Fantasy Footballers
12 h
#17#23-
    
Andy VandaA. Vanda
Take Your League
13 h
#21#24-
    
Mike WrightM. Wright
The Fantasy Footballers
13 h
#16#22-
    
Scott EngelS. Engel
RotoBaller
13 h
#15#24-
    
Jamie CalandroJ. Cala...
Fantasy Team Advice
13 h
#19#23-
    
Ken ZalisK. Zalis
Pressbox
13 h
#17#21-
    
Dylan ChappineD. Chap...
Wolf Sports
14 h
#17#24-
    
Jeff BoggisJ. Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
15 h
#17#23-
    
Steven PintadoS. Pintado
The Fantasy Coaches
16 h
#17#24-
    
Justin WeigalJ. Weigal
FantasySharks
16 h
#18#21-
    
Jon CollinsJ. Collins
Fantasy Sports LR
16 h
#18#22-
    
Andrew EricksonA. Eric...
Pro Football Focus
17 h
#20#14-
    
Justin SablichJ. Sablich
5th Down Fantasy
18 h
#17#25-
    
Mike TagliereM. Tagl...
FantasyPros
19 h
#16#22-
    
Site ProjectionsS. Proj...
numberFire
20 h
#6#20-
    
Chris MeaneyC. Meaney
FTN
1 d
#16#23-
    
Seth KleinS. Klein
Fantrax
1 d
#20#22-
    
SmittyS.
SleeperU
1 d
#17#22-
    
Des BielerD. Bieler
The Washington Post
1 d
#17#23-
    
Huseyin AksuH. Aksu
Fantasy Couch
1 d
#19#31-
    
David ZachD. Zach
FantasyPros
1 d
#18#23-
    
Nick ZylakN. Zylak
Fantasy Football Advice
1 d
#16#24-
    
Dave RichardD. Richard
CBS Sports
1 d
#18-
    
Chris KennedyC. Kennedy
The Fantasy Headliners
1 d
#17#23-
    
1 d
#17#26-
    
Geoff LambertG. Lambert
Going For 2
1 d
#17#23-
    
Jason MooreJ. Moore
The Fantasy Footballers
1 d
#16#23-
    
Kevin TompkinsK. Tomp...
Fighting Chance Fantasy
1 d
#16#20-
    
Dan McLellanD. McLe...
WBLZ Media
1 d
#18#23-
    
Mike KruegerM. Krueger
FFToday
1 d
#19#31-
    
Walter CherepinskyW. Cher...
WalterFootball
1 d
#32#13-
    
Mike RigzM. Rigz
Gridiron Experts
1 d
#17#22-
    
Richard SavillR. Savill
Fantasy Six Pack
1 d
#17#23-
    
Staff RankingsS. Rank...
Important Nonsense
1 d
#17#23-
    
Matthew BetzM. Betz
BallBlast
1 d
#14#21-
    
Seth MillerS. Miller
Crossroads Fantasy Football
1 d
#15#23-
    
Jamey EisenbergJ. Eise...
CBS Sports
1 d
#20-
    
Kelly SmelserK. Smelser
Punch Drunk Wonderland
1 d
#17#23-
    
Chris RaybonC. Raybon
The Action Network
1 d
#17#26-
    
Dominick PetrilloD. Petr...
Fantasy Hot Read
1 d
#18#23-
    
David BiggsD. Biggs
Drink Five
1 d
#16#25-
    
Kevin RobertsK. Roberts
Breaking Football
2 d
#16#23-
    
Frank StampflF. Stampfl
CBS Sports
2 d
#16#23-
    
Elliot Berkovits E. Berk...
Packer Report
2 d
#14#17-
    
Drew DeLucaD. DeLuca
NFL Spinzone
2 d
#16#23-
    
Ryan NoonanR. Noonan
FTN
2 d
#24#23-
    
Kevin HansonK. Hanson
EDSFootball
2 d
#19#21-
    
Matt BrandonM. Brandon
Matt Brandon
2 d
#17#23-
    
Michael FabianoM. Fabiano
Sports Illustrated
2 d
#23#20-
    
Jeff RatcliffeJ. Ratc...
FTN
2 d
#17#24-
    
Justin BooneJ. Boone
theScore
2 d
#17#24-
    
Dave MajorD. Major
XN Sports
2 d
#18#25-
    
Nathan JahnkeN. Jahnke
Pro Football Focus
2 d
#17#23-
    
Anthony CervinoA. Cervino
Gridiron Experts
2 d
#16#22-
    
Elisha TwerskiE. Twerski
numberFire
2 d
#15#23-
    
Jake CielyJ. Ciely
The Athletic
2 d
#15#26-
    
Justin GeorgeJ. George
Take Your League
2 d
#19#26-
    
Gerson AguirreG. Aguirre
Going For 2
3 d
#17#24-
    
Raju ByfieldR. Byfield
Win My Fantasy League
3 d
#18#25-
    
Heath CappsH. Capps
Fake Teams
3 d
#15#24-
    
Steven SpaccarotelliS. Spac...
SleeperWire
3 d
#10#27-
    
Andy SingletonA. Sing...
Expand The Boxscore
3 d
#16#25-
    
Matt SchaufM. Schauf
Draft Sharks
3 d
#16#26-
    
Jake ArthurJ. Arthur
Colts.com
3 d
#16#24-
    
Eric MoodyE. Moody
FantasyData
3 d
#16#24-
    
Brandon FunstonB. Funston
The Athletic
3 d
#15#25-
    
Michael HauffM. Hauff
Gridiron Experts
3 d
#14#26-
    
Robert WaziakR. Waziak
The Fantasy Footballers
3 d
#19#22-
    
Alex BlickleA. Blickle
Fantasy Team Advice
3 d
#17#25-
    
Nick HumphreysN. Hump...
Fantasy Victors
3 d
#16#23-
    
Mick CiallelaM. Cial...
Fantrax
3 d
#17#25-
    
Bill EnrightB. Enright
Sports Illustrated
3 d
#17#25-
    
The FFGhostT. FFGhost
Dynasty League Football
3 d
#16#24-
    
Mike HarmonM. Harmon
Swollen Dome
3 d
#15#27-
    
Craig PhillipsC. Phil...
FF Prophet
3 d
#16#23-
    
Brian StraitB. Strait
FTLS Fantasy Football
3 d
#14#24-
    
Matt De LimaM. De Lima
Sports Illustrated
3 d
#15#26-
    
DailyRotoD.
DailyRoto
3 d
#19#18-
    
Scott SmithS. Smith
RotoViz
3 d
#17#26-
    
Matt CampM. Camp
Bleacher Report
3 d
#18#23-
    
Morgan ColbyM. Colby
The Fantasy Champions
3 d
#15#25-
    
Todd D ClarkT. D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
3 d
#17#25-
    
Tim JablonskiT. Jabl...
The Hateful 8
3 d
#16#24-
    
Staff RankingsS. Rank...
QB List
3 d
#20#25-
    
Mundo Fantasy MXM. Fant...
Mundo Fantasy
3 d
#15-
    
Garret PriceG. Price
Dynasty Nerds
3 d
#15#23-
    
Derek LoflandD. Lofland
FantasyPros
3 d
#16#24-
    
Michelle MagdziukM. Magd...
BallBlast
3 d
#18#27-
    
Thor AkerleyT. Akerley
Fantasy Team Advice
3 d
#17#24-
    
Dan YanotchkoD. Yano...
EDSFootball
3 d
#12#26-
    
Jason WillanJ. Willan
Gridiron Experts
3 d
#23#25-
    
Michael TomlinM. Tomlin
Fantasy Six Pack
3 d
#16#24-
    
Doug NorrieD. Norrie
Daily Fantasy Sports Rankings
3 d
#14#24-
    
Jeff PaurJ. Paur
RTSports
3 d
#22#24-
    
Mike MacGregorM. MacG...
Draft Buddy
3 d
#17#20-
    
Scott WhitfieldS. Whit...
Roto Rankings
3 d
#19#23-
    
Donald GibsonD. Gibson
FantasyPros
3 d
#11#26-
    
Scott SprattS. Spratt
Football Outsiders
3 d
#12#28-
    
Tyler OrginskiT. Orgi...
Fantasy Hot Read
3 d
#16#25-
    
Jonathan StoneJ. Stone
The Hateful 8
3 d
#16#24-
    
Matthew FreedmanM. Free...
The Action Network
3 d
#10#21-
    
Kyle YatesK. Yates
FantasyPros
3 d
#18#23-
    
Tozzi BrothersT. Brot...
Legion Report
3 d
#21#22-
    
Ben WasleyB. Wasley
The Fantasy First Down
3 d
#17#27-
    
John FergusonJ. Ferg...
FantasyData
3 d
#16#24-
    
Adam PfeiferA. Pfeifer
FTN
3 d
#15#21-
    
Isaiah SiroisI. Sirois
FantasyPros
3 d
#19#24-
    
Peter RogersP. Rogers
Fake Teams
3 d
#16#20-
    
Dan ClasgensD. Clas...
Get Sports Info
3 d
#17#25-
    
Frank BonincontriF. Boni...
Fantasy Wire HQ
3 d
#17#24-
    
Zach BrunnerZ. Brunner
FlurrySports
3 d
#16#25-
    
Wolf of Roto StreetW. of R...
Roto Street Journal
4 d
#20#23-
    
Matt MacCoyM. MacCoy
Fantasy Team Advice
4 d
#17#25-
    
Zachary HanshewZ. Hanshew
FantasyPros
4 d
#23#22-
    
Matt HarmonM. Harmon
Yahoo! Sports
5 d
#16#23-
    
Chet GreshamC. Gresham
DK Nation
5 d
#17#23-
    
Player Game Logs Comparison
 
2020 Schedule 
Week 1 vs. CHI
24/42, 297 pass yds, 1 td, 1 int
5 rush, 23 yds, 0 td
at BAL
21/39, 189 pass yds, 1 td, 1 int
2 rush, 3 yds, 0 td
Week 2 at GB
20/33, 244 pass yds, 2 td, 1 int
1 rush, 4 yds, 0 td
vs. CIN
16/23, 219 pass yds, 2 td, 1 int
3 rush, 5 yds, 0 td
Week 3 at ARI
22/31, 270 pass yds, 2 td, 0 int
1 rush, -3 yds, 0 td
vs. WAS
16/23, 156 pass yds, 2 td, 0 int
1 rush, 1 yds, 0 td
Week 4 vs. NO
17/31, 206 pass yds, 3 td, 1 int
3 rush, 21 yds, 0 td
at DAL
19/30, 165 pass yds, 2 td, 0 int
3 rush, 6 yds, 0 td
Week 5BYE WEEK vs. IND
21/37, 247 pass yds, 2 td, 2 int
2 rush, 17 yds, 0 td
Week 6 at JAC
19/31, 223 pass yds, 1 td, 1 int
5 rush, 14 yds, 0 td
at PIT
10/18, 119 pass yds, 1 td, 2 int
1 rush, 5 yds, 0 td
Week 7 at ATL
25/36, 340 pass yds, 1 td, 0 int
1 rush, 8 yds, 0 td
at CIN
22/28, 297 pass yds, 5 td, 1 int
1 rush, -1 yds, 0 td
Week 8 vs. IND
24/42, 336 pass yds, 3 td, 1 int
1 rush, 10 yds, 0 td
vs. LV
12/25, 122 pass yds, 0 td, 0 int
6 rush, 29 yds, 0 td
Week 9 at MIN
23/32, 211 pass yds, 1 td, 2 int
BYE WEEK
Week 10 vs. WAS
24/33, 276 pass yds, 3 td, 0 int
vs. HOU
12/20, 132 pass yds, 0 td, 0 int
3 rush, 1 yds, 0 td
Week 11 at CAR
18/33, 178 pass yds, 0 td, 0 int
4 rush, 5 yds, 0 td
vs. PHI
12/22, 204 pass yds, 0 td, 0 int
6 rush, 9 yds, 0 td
Week 12 vs. HOU at JAC
Week 13 at CHI at TEN
Week 14 vs. GB vs. BAL
Week 15 at TEN at NYG
Week 16 vs. TB at NYJ
Week 17 vs. MIN vs. PIT
Player Projections Comparison
 
vs. HOU, Thu 12pm EST
at JAC, Sun 1pm EST
Passing
   
Pass Att35.330.6
Pass Cmp22.819.0
Pass Yards272.4229.4
Pass TDs1.91.6
Ints0.70.9
   
Rushing
   
Rush Attempts2.32.4
Rush Yards7.810.2
Rush TDs0.00.1
   
Misc
   
Fumbles0.20.1
   
Points
   
Fantasy Points17.815.1
   
Player Fantasy Points Comparison
 
2020 Points 
Week 117.210.9
Week 217.216.3
Week 318.514.3
Week 423.315.2
Week 517.6
Week 613.37.3
Week 718.430.8
Week 823.47.8
Week 910.4
Week 1023.05.4
Week 117.67.1
Week 1217.1
Week 13
Week 14
Week 15
Week 16
Week 17
Total189.4132.7
Average17.213.3
Notes for Player Combination
 
vs. HOU, Thu 12pm EST
at JAC, Sun 1pm EST
Expert 
Isaiah Sirois
FantasyPros
 Mayfield has an easy matchup this week, as the Browns will take on the Jaguars. Unfortunately, the Browns don't really need him to do much now that Nick Chubb is back. Mayfield hasn't thrown a passing touchdown since Week 7, and while some of that's due to a string of bad-weather games, I don't expect the Browns to move away from the running game. Mayfield is usually a low-end QB2, but the sheer number of replacement quarterbacks starting this week makes him a mid-tier option.
Mike Tagliere
FantasyPros
The injuries to Kenny Golladay, Danny Amendola, and D'Andre Swift proved to be too much for Stafford and the Lions offense to overcome. The Lions didn't generate a single point and were held to just 185 total yards against the Panthers. It was the first game ever that he's started and the finished with zero points on the board. He'll look to bounce back against a Texans team that's allowed just 18.3 points per game to their opponents over the last three weeks, though it's worth noting their opponents were the Jaguars, Browns, and Patriots. Teams have only chosen to throw the ball on 53.1 percent of plays against the Texans, which is the third-lowest percentage in the league, but it's probably the correct thing given how bad their run defense is. However, with the Lions defense being almost equally as bad, it's possible that the Texans jump out front, which would obviously add value to Stafford's projection. Despite the lack of big volume, the only quarterbacks who've finished with fewer than 17.18 fantasy points against the Texans this year were Kirk Cousins and Baker Mayfield, who combined for just 42 pass attempts. There have been four quarterbacks (including Jake Luton) who've thrown for 300-plus yards against them, so this should be considered a bounce-back spot for Stafford, though getting some offensive weapons back would surely help. He should be posted top-18 numbers in this matchup as a floor, though Stafford hasn't shown much of a ceiling this year, so he stays in high-end QB2 range.I don't care which quarterback we were talking about, but if someone is averaging just 26.5 pass attempts per game, he's not going to be a fantasy asset unless he offers Lamar Jackson-like mobility. It's fair to say Mayfield doesn't. Not just that, but he hasn't been an efficient passer, completing just 60.8 percent of his passes for 7.0 yards per attempt. He has thrown a touchdown on 5.7 percent of his passes, which is above the league average, but again, the lack of volume is limiting him to just 1.5 touchdowns per game. This week's matchup is enticing, though. Passing, rushing, it doesn't matter; the Jaguars have allowed 1.59 PPR points per offensive play to their opponents, which is the second-most in the league, behind only the Falcons. Them and the Jets are the only two teams who are below average against every position. It sure helps that they've allowed a touchdown pass on 6.03 percent of pass attempts, which ranks as the fourth-highest mark in the league. It also helps to know quarterbacks have completed 70.1 percent of their passes against them. They just haven't generated pressure, as evidenced by their league-low 2.52 percent sack-rate. It won't help that they'll be without Josh Allen, their top pass-rusher for this game. We know Mayfield isn't a mobile quarterback, so when you break it down to passes only (no rushing), the Jaguars have allowed a massive 0.548 fantasy points per pass attempt to quarterbacks, which is the third-most in football. Even if Mayfield threw the ball just 30 times, it would amount to 16.4 fantasy points on average, which is a decent mark for streamers. But can we count on 30 pass attempts? That's a number he hasn't hit since way back in Week 5. Mayfield hasn't thrown for more than 247 yards in 9-of-10 games this year, which means he's extremely touchdown-dependent. The Browns should be running the ball in the red zone, which makes Mayfield a low-end QB2 despite the plus matchup.
Kyle Yates
FantasyPros
Stafford came into last week's contest questionable with a thumb injury and it's worth wondering whether or not he should have even played in that game. The Lions put up 0 total points and Stafford only threw for 178 yards on 33 attempts. While this is a great matchup for opposing QBs, you can't look Stafford's way in fantasy football this week. He comes with too much risk.With dealing with the rain last week, Mayfield struggled to get anything done against a solid Eagles defense. He has a much better matchup here against the Jaguars, but there's a strong possibility that the Browns only throw the ball 18 times in this game. Mayfield's in the streaming conversation due to the matchup, but he's certainly a risky start.