Chris Carson or David Montgomery
Who Should I Start? - Week 15 - Half Point PPR
Experts' Pick | |||
RB - SEA  at CAR, Sun 1pm EST |
RB - CHI  at GB, Sun 1pm EST |
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0% Recommended by 0 of 133 experts |
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| Rankings | |||
| ECR | # 3 | # 21 | - |
| Best Rank | # 1 | # 13 | - |
| Worst Rank | # 7 | # 29 | - |
| Matchup | |||
| Opponent | at CAR | at GB | - |
| Matchup Rating | This is a 5 star matchup. RBs perform better than their average vs CAR | This is a 4 star matchup. RBs perform better than their average vs GB | - |
| Stats Allowed | |||
| Rush Att | 21.5 | 21.4 | |
| Rush Yds | 113.1 | 99.8 | |
| Rush TD | 1.5 | 0.9 | |
| Fantasy Points | |||
| Season Total | 181.6 | 128.8 | - |
| Avg Game | 14.0 | 9.9 | - |
| Avg Projection | 17.6 | 10.3 | - |
| Week 14 | 10.6 | 6.6 | - |
| Misc | |||
| Injury Alert | ‐ | ‐ | - |
| Weather | 56 F, Clear | 17 F, Clear | - |
| Expert Ranks | |||
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Chris Carson | David Montgomery | Add Player |
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13 h | #4 | #29 | - |
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2 d | #3 | #20 | - |
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RB - SEA | RB - CHI | |
| 2019 Schedule | ||
| Week 1 | vs. CIN 15 rush, 46 yds, 1 td 7 tar, 6 rec, 34 yds, 1 td | vs. GB 6 rush, 18 yds, 0 td 1 tar, 1 rec, 27 yds, 0 td |
| Week 2 | at PIT 15 rush, 60 yds, 0 td 3 tar, 3 rec, 27 yds, 0 td | at DEN 18 rush, 62 yds, 1 td 3 tar, 1 rec, 6 yds, 0 td |
| Week 3 | vs. NO 15 rush, 53 yds, 0 td 1 tar, 1 rec, -2 yds, 0 td | at WAS 13 rush, 67 yds, 0 td 3 tar, 3 rec, 14 yds, 0 td |
| Week 4 | at ARI 22 rush, 104 yds, 0 td 4 tar, 4 rec, 41 yds, 0 td | vs. MIN 21 rush, 53 yds, 0 td 5 tar, 3 rec, 14 yds, 0 td |
| Week 5 | vs. LAR 27 rush, 118 yds, 0 td 2 tar, 1 rec, 5 yds, 1 td | at OAK 11 rush, 25 yds, 1 td 1 tar, 1 rec, 11 yds, 0 td |
| Week 6 | at CLE 24 rush, 124 yds, 1 td 4 tar, 4 rec, 35 yds, 0 td | BYE WEEK |
| Week 7 | vs. BAL 21 rush, 65 yds, 0 td 5 tar, 3 rec, 9 yds, 0 td | vs. NO 2 rush, 6 yds, 0 td 2 tar, 2 rec, 13 yds, 0 td |
| Week 8 | at ATL 20 rush, 90 yds, 1 td 1 tar, 0 rec, 0 yds, 0 td | vs. LAC 27 rush, 135 yds, 1 td 5 tar, 4 rec, 12 yds, 0 td |
| Week 9 | vs. TB 16 rush, 105 yds, 0 td 2 tar, 2 rec, 28 yds, 0 td | at PHI 14 rush, 40 yds, 2 td 4 tar, 3 rec, 36 yds, 0 td |
| Week 10 | at SF 25 rush, 89 yds, 1 td 4 tar, 3 rec, 12 yds, 0 td | vs. DET 17 rush, 60 yds, 0 td |
| Week 11 | BYE WEEK | at LAR 14 rush, 31 yds, 0 td 3 tar, 1 rec, 19 yds, 0 td |
| Week 12 | at PHI 8 rush, 26 yds, 0 td 4 tar, 4 rec, 31 yds, 0 td | vs. NYG 13 rush, 22 yds, 0 td 3 tar, 2 rec, 9 yds, 0 td |
| Week 13 | vs. MIN 23 rush, 102 yds, 1 td 2 tar, 1 rec, 7 yds, 0 td | at DET 16 rush, 75 yds, 0 td 2 tar, 2 rec, 12 yds, 1 td |
| Week 14 | at LAR 15 rush, 76 yds, 0 td 4 tar, 3 rec, 15 yds, 0 td | vs. DAL 20 rush, 86 yds, 0 td 1 tar, 0 rec, 0 yds, 0 td |
| Week 15 | at CAR | at GB |
| Week 16 | vs. ARI | vs. KC |
| Week 17 | vs. SF | at MIN |
RB - SEA at CAR, Sun 1pm EST |
RB - CHI at GB, Sun 1pm EST |
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| Rushing | ||
| Rush Attempts | 21.5 | 15.0 |
| Rush Yards | 99.4 | 58.2 |
| Rush TDs | 0.7 | 0.4 |
| Receiving | ||
| Receptions | 2.6 | 1.7 |
| Rec Yards | 19.1 | 13.6 |
| Rec TDs | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| Points | ||
| Fantasy Points | 17.6 | 10.3 |
RB - SEA | RB - CHI | |
| 2019 Points | ||
| Week 1 | 21.1 | 5.0 |
| Week 2 | 8.2 | 13.3 |
| Week 3 | 3.6 | 9.6 |
| Week 4 | 16.5 | 8.2 |
| Week 5 | 18.8 | 10.1 |
| Week 6 | 23.9 | ‐ |
| Week 7 | 8.9 | 0.9 |
| Week 8 | 15.0 | 22.7 |
| Week 9 | 12.3 | 21.1 |
| Week 10 | 17.6 | 6.0 |
| Week 11 | ‐ | 5.5 |
| Week 12 | 7.7 | 4.1 |
| Week 13 | 17.4 | 15.7 |
| Week 14 | 10.6 | 6.6 |
| Week 15 | ‐ | ‐ |
| Week 16 | ‐ | ‐ |
| Week 17 | ‐ | ‐ |
RB - SEA | RB - CHI | |
| 2019 Targets | ||
| Week 1 | 7 | 1 |
| Week 2 | 3 | 3 |
| Week 3 | 1 | 3 |
| Week 4 | 4 | 5 |
| Week 5 | 2 | 1 |
| Week 6 | 4 | ‐ |
| Week 7 | 5 | 2 |
| Week 8 | 1 | 5 |
| Week 9 | 2 | 4 |
| Week 10 | 4 | 0 |
| Week 11 | ‐ | 3 |
| Week 12 | 4 | 3 |
| Week 13 | 2 | 2 |
| Week 14 | 4 | 1 |
| Week 15 | ‐ | ‐ |
| Week 16 | ‐ | ‐ |
| Week 17 | ‐ | ‐ |
RB - SEA at CAR, Sun 1pm EST |
RB - CHI at GB, Sun 1pm EST |
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| Expert | ||
| Kevin Wheeler Draftwize | Chris Carson has handled 23.3 touches per game and played over 80% of Seahawks snaps in 6-of-8 contests when Rashaad Penny either misses or is limited. Carolina ranks dead last in YPC and yards per game allowed & has given up the most explosive runs over the last 2 months. per RotoWorld | |
| Zach Brunner FantasyPros | The recent knock to Chris Carson's fantasy value was the risk of losing snaps and touches to electric RB Rashaad Penny. After the unfortunate, season-ending injury to Penny on Sunday, Carson is back getting the full share of the backfield work in Seattle. This could not have come at a better time, with the fantasy playoffs here and Carson having a solid matchup against the Carolina Panthers. The Carolina run defense has been terrible all season long. They give up a league-high 5.3 yards per carry (tied with Jacksonville), and they have surrendered league-highs in rushing touchdowns (24) and first down percentage on rushes (28.5%). Over the past five weeks, the Panthers have surrendered the third-most fantasy points to RBs (30.0). Over these five games, they have allowed 5.96 yards per RB carry and have given up a league-high 10 touchdowns to the position. Coming off a loss and fighting for the top seed in the NFC, look for the Seahawks to establish the run and their offensive identity early. If there was ever a week to put your fantasy team's trust in Chris Carson, it's this one. | The Packers are a bottom 10 defense against RBs and the Bears have given Montgomery his touches lately. His floor is a flex option this week, but he has high RB2 upside, if he gets red zone work this week. |
| Mike Tagliere FantasyPros | So much for Carson losing the grip on the starting job. Rashaad Penny injured his ACL early in the first quarter against the Rams, allowing Carson to rack-up 19 touches in the losing effort. There's not a better spot to bounce-back for the entire Seahawks offense than heading out to play the Panthers, a team that's allowed at least 29 points to each of their last four opponents. Injuries on the defensive line haven't helped, but they've been torched by running backs all season, allowing a league-leading 30.0 PPR points per game to the position. They've allowed 21.8 of those points per game on the ground (no other team has allowed more than 18.4), which is right in Carson's wheelhouse. Let's do the math: Carson averages 18.9 carries per game while the Panthers allow 5.34 yards per carry. Carson has totaled at least 15 carries in 12-of-13 games while the Panthers have allowed a rushing touchdown every 14.0 carries. It doesn't take a mathematician to know that Carson's set-up for a crush spot in Week 15. He needs to be in lineups as an elite RB1 play this week. | Keeping our sample size recent, we'll look at the touch splits over the last four weeks between these two. Montgomery has received 68 touches (63 carries, 5 receptions) while Cohen has received 43 touches (21 carries, 22 receptions). So, we're looking at a 61/39 split, though opportunity is closer to 55/45 when you consider the fact that targets are worth more than carries. The Packers are a team you can run the ball on, though the question is about gamescript. The Packers almost refuse to blow teams out, allowing opposing running backs to rack up the touches, as they've faced an average of 28.6 per game. They've allowed a massive 4.89 yards per carry but just 5.39 yards per target to running backs, so it's one that clearly favors Montgomery's role. The worst a running back has finished against the Packers with 12-plus carries is RB26, which is obviously high-end RB3 territory. There have been six running backs who've finished in the top-12 against the Packers, and oddly enough, four of them were on losing teams. Knowing Montgomery has totaled at least 13 carries and 15 touches in each of the last seven games, he should be in lineups as a middling RB2 who's getting all goal-line work for the Bears. |
| Derek Lofland FantasyPros | The Panthers allow the most points to fantasy running backs, Carson should see a ton of carries with backup RB Rashaad Penny out for the season. | The Packers are 28th against fantasy running backs, Montgomery has a great matchup on the road in Week 15. |
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