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Chris Carson or Nick Chubb

Who Should I Start? - Week 15 - Half Point PPR

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Chris CarsonC. Carson
RB - SEA
Chris Carson
at CAR, Sun 1pm EST
Nick ChubbN. Chubb
RB - CLE
Nick Chubb
at ARI, Sun 4pm EST
 
 
Expert
Recommendation

Updated: Dec 15th, 2019
97%
Recommended by
129 of 133 experts
3%
Recommended by
4 of 133 experts
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Rankings 
    
ECR# 3# 8-
Best Rank# 1# 3-
Worst Rank# 7# 12-
    
Matchup 
    
Opponent at CAR at ARI-
Matchup RatingThis is a 5 star matchup. RBs perform better than their average vs CARThis is a 4 star matchup. RBs perform better than their average vs ARI-
    
    
Stats Allowed   
Rush Att21.522.7
Rush Yds113.197.9
Rush TD1.50.4
    
Fantasy Points 
    
Season Total181.6205.7-
Avg Game14.015.8-
Avg Projection17.614.8-
Week 1410.612.2-
    
Misc 
    
Injury Alert-
Weather58 F, ClearIndoor-
    
Expert Ranks 
Chris CarsonNick ChubbAdd Player
    
Andy SingletonA. Sing...
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  Chris CarsonC. Carson
RB - SEA
Chris Carson
Nick ChubbN. Chubb
RB - CLE
Nick Chubb
2019 Schedule 
Week 1 vs. CIN
15 rush, 46 yds, 1 td
7 tar, 6 rec, 34 yds, 1 td
vs. TEN
17 rush, 75 yds, 0 td
4 tar, 3 rec, 10 yds, 0 td
Week 2 at PIT
15 rush, 60 yds, 0 td
3 tar, 3 rec, 27 yds, 0 td
at NYJ
18 rush, 62 yds, 1 td
4 tar, 4 rec, 36 yds, 0 td
Week 3 vs. NO
15 rush, 53 yds, 0 td
1 tar, 1 rec, -2 yds, 0 td
vs. LAR
23 rush, 96 yds, 0 td
7 tar, 4 rec, 35 yds, 0 td
Week 4 at ARI
22 rush, 104 yds, 0 td
4 tar, 4 rec, 41 yds, 0 td
at BAL
20 rush, 165 yds, 3 td
4 tar, 3 rec, 18 yds, 0 td
Week 5 vs. LAR
27 rush, 118 yds, 0 td
2 tar, 1 rec, 5 yds, 1 td
at SF
16 rush, 87 yds, 0 td
1 tar, 1 rec, 12 yds, 0 td
Week 6 at CLE
24 rush, 124 yds, 1 td
4 tar, 4 rec, 35 yds, 0 td
vs. SEA
20 rush, 122 yds, 2 td
6 tar, 5 rec, 17 yds, 0 td
Week 7 vs. BAL
21 rush, 65 yds, 0 td
5 tar, 3 rec, 9 yds, 0 td
BYE WEEK
Week 8 at ATL
20 rush, 90 yds, 1 td
1 tar, 0 rec, 0 yds, 0 td
at NE
20 rush, 131 yds, 0 td
1 tar, 1 rec, 7 yds, 0 td
Week 9 vs. TB
16 rush, 105 yds, 0 td
2 tar, 2 rec, 28 yds, 0 td
at DEN
20 rush, 65 yds, 0 td
5 tar, 4 rec, 26 yds, 0 td
Week 10 at SF
25 rush, 89 yds, 1 td
4 tar, 3 rec, 12 yds, 0 td
vs. BUF
20 rush, 116 yds, 0 td
4 tar, 2 rec, 5 yds, 0 td
Week 11BYE WEEK vs. PIT
27 rush, 92 yds, 0 td
1 tar, 0 rec, 0 yds, 0 td
Week 12 at PHI
8 rush, 26 yds, 0 td
4 tar, 4 rec, 31 yds, 0 td
vs. MIA
21 rush, 106 yds, 1 td
3 tar, 3 rec, 58 yds, 0 td
Week 13 vs. MIN
23 rush, 102 yds, 1 td
2 tar, 1 rec, 7 yds, 0 td
at PIT
16 rush, 58 yds, 0 td
2 tar, 1 rec, 21 yds, 0 td
Week 14 at LAR
15 rush, 76 yds, 0 td
4 tar, 3 rec, 15 yds, 0 td
vs. CIN
15 rush, 106 yds, 0 td
1 tar, 1 rec, 11 yds, 0 td
Week 15 at CAR at ARI
Week 16 vs. ARI vs. BAL
Week 17 vs. SF at CIN
  Chris CarsonC. Carson
RB - SEA
Chris Carson
at CAR, Sun 1pm EST
Nick ChubbN. Chubb
RB - CLE
Nick Chubb
at ARI, Sun 4pm EST
Rushing
   
Rush Attempts21.516.9
Rush Yards99.486.2
Rush TDs0.70.6
   
Receiving
   
Receptions2.62.0
Rec Yards19.114.9
Rec TDs0.10.1
   
Points
   
Fantasy Points17.614.8
   
  Chris CarsonC. Carson
RB - SEA
Chris Carson
Nick ChubbN. Chubb
RB - CLE
Nick Chubb
2019 Points 
Week 121.110.0
Week 28.217.8
Week 33.615.1
Week 416.537.8
Week 518.810.4
Week 623.926.4
Week 78.9
Week 815.010.3
Week 912.311.1
Week 1017.613.1
Week 119.2
Week 127.723.9
Week 1317.48.4
Week 1410.612.2
Week 15
Week 16
Week 17
  Chris CarsonC. Carson
RB - SEA
Chris Carson
Nick ChubbN. Chubb
RB - CLE
Nick Chubb
2019 Targets 
Week 174
Week 234
Week 317
Week 444
Week 521
Week 646
Week 75
Week 811
Week 925
Week 1044
Week 111
Week 1243
Week 1322
Week 1441
Week 15
Week 16
Week 17
  Chris CarsonC. Carson
RB - SEA
Chris Carson
at CAR, Sun 1pm EST
Nick ChubbN. Chubb
RB - CLE
Nick Chubb
at ARI, Sun 4pm EST
Expert 
Kevin Wheeler
Draftwize
Chris Carson has handled 23.3 touches per game and played over 80% of Seahawks snaps in 6-of-8 contests when Rashaad Penny either misses or is limited. Carolina ranks dead last in YPC and yards per game allowed & has given up the most explosive runs over the last 2 months. per RotoWorld 
Donald Gibson
FantasyPros
 Chubb - once a top-end RB1 - is now looking more like a strong RB2. He has only scored once in the past seven weeks, and he only has seven total receptions over the past five games. You're probably still starting him, but it isn't as automatic as it was earlier in the year.
Mike Tagliere
FantasyPros
So much for Carson losing the grip on the starting job. Rashaad Penny injured his ACL early in the first quarter against the Rams, allowing Carson to rack-up 19 touches in the losing effort. There's not a better spot to bounce-back for the entire Seahawks offense than heading out to play the Panthers, a team that's allowed at least 29 points to each of their last four opponents. Injuries on the defensive line haven't helped, but they've been torched by running backs all season, allowing a league-leading 30.0 PPR points per game to the position. They've allowed 21.8 of those points per game on the ground (no other team has allowed more than 18.4), which is right in Carson's wheelhouse. Let's do the math: Carson averages 18.9 carries per game while the Panthers allow 5.34 yards per carry. Carson has totaled at least 15 carries in 12-of-13 games while the Panthers have allowed a rushing touchdown every 14.0 carries. It doesn't take a mathematician to know that Carson's set-up for a crush spot in Week 15. He needs to be in lineups as an elite RB1 play this week.Even though they combined for 185 total yards in Week 14, it was a disappointment for fantasy owners, as Chubb failed to find the end zone, and Hunt ended the game with just 11 touches. The offense is sputtering right now as they piece together enough production to keep them in fantasy lineups. For as bad as the Cardinals have been on defense, they haven't allowed very much production on the ground. They've held opposing running backs to just 98.8 rushing yards per game, which is quite remarkable considering they've allowed over 311 passing yards per game. It's not due to their opponents going very pass-heavy, either, as the 58.7 percent pass-rate against them is right in the middle of the league. There is one important note, however. There have been just three running backs who totaled 20 carries against the Cardinals, and each of them finished with 102-plus rushing yards. Chubb has hit that carry mark in eight of the last 11 games. The rough part for Chubb is that he's scored just one touchdown over his last seven games, and he's caught just five passes over the last four games, which makes him a lot more gamescript-dependent than most running backs in the RB1 range. We talked about this last week, but Chubb has been outscored by Hunt in 4-of-5 games in PPR formats. You have to think Chubb's touchdowns catch up to his production at some point, though the fact that the Cardinals have allowed just seven rushing touchdowns to running backs this year clouds the likeliness. Chubb isn't someone to play in cash games, but he does make plenty of sense in tournaments. You're playing him as a low-end RB1 in redraft leagues.
Derek Lofland
FantasyPros
The Panthers allow the most points to fantasy running backs, Carson should see a ton of carries with backup RB Rashaad Penny out for the season.Arizona is just 22nd against fantasy running backs, Chubb has a great matchup on the road this week. He is a low-end RB1 splitting touches with RB Kareem Hunt.
Zach Brunner
FantasyPros
The recent knock to Chris Carson's fantasy value was the risk of losing snaps and touches to electric RB Rashaad Penny. After the unfortunate, season-ending injury to Penny on Sunday, Carson is back getting the full share of the backfield work in Seattle. This could not have come at a better time, with the fantasy playoffs here and Carson having a solid matchup against the Carolina Panthers. The Carolina run defense has been terrible all season long. They give up a league-high 5.3 yards per carry (tied with Jacksonville), and they have surrendered league-highs in rushing touchdowns (24) and first down percentage on rushes (28.5%). Over the past five weeks, the Panthers have surrendered the third-most fantasy points to RBs (30.0). Over these five games, they have allowed 5.96 yards per RB carry and have given up a league-high 10 touchdowns to the position. Coming off a loss and fighting for the top seed in the NFC, look for the Seahawks to establish the run and their offensive identity early. If there was ever a week to put your fantasy team's trust in Chris Carson, it's this one. 
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1Derrick Henry (TEN)RB
2Chris Carson (SEA)RB
3Christian McCaffrey (CAR)RB
4Dalvin Cook (MIN)RB
5Saquon Barkley (NYG)RB
6Leonard Fournette (JAC)RB
7Ezekiel Elliott (DAL)RB
8Nick Chubb (CLE)RB
9Aaron Jones (GB)RB
10Todd Gurley (LAR)RB
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26Julio Jones (ATL)WR
27George Kittle (SF)TE
28Kenny Golladay (DET)WR
29Josh Jacobs (OAK)RB
30Zach Ertz (PHI)TE
1Ronald Acuna Jr. (ATL)LF,CF
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3Mookie Betts (BOS)CF,RF
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5Trevor Story (COL)SS
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22Xander Bogaerts (BOS)SS
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27Kris Bryant (CHC)3B,RF
28Whit Merrifield (KC)1B,2B
29George Springer (HOU)CF,RF
30Paul Goldschmidt (STL)1B
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