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Derek Carr or Tom Brady

Who Should I Start? - Week 11

Can't Decide? Leave it up to the Fantasy Gods

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Player Summaries Comparison
 
Experts' Pick
 
 
Tom Brady
QB - TB
Tom Brady
Tom Brady
QB - TB
vs. LAR, Mon 8pm EST
Derek Carr
QB - LV
Derek Carr
Derek Carr
QB - LV
vs. KC, Sun 8pm EST
 
 
Expert
Recommendation

Updated: Nov 22nd, 2020
90%
Recommended by
147 of 164 experts
10%
Recommended by
17 of 164 experts
Add Player
Most Accurate Experts 
    
Top ExpertsTop QB ExpertsTop Player Experts See who the Most Accurate Experts would start
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Rankings 
    
ECR# 11# 14-
Best Rank# 8# 12-
Worst Rank# 13# 20-
    
Matchup 
    
Opponent vs. LAR vs. KC-
Matchup RatingThis is a 1 star matchup. QBs perform worse than their average vs LARThis is a 3 star matchup. QBs perform close to their average vs KC-
    
    
Stats Allowed   
Pass Comp16.817.9
Pass Yds149.8184.7
Pass TD0.81.2
    
Fantasy Points 
    
Season Total211.5172.7-
Avg Game21.217.3-
Avg Projection17.816.6-
Week 1031.87.2-
    
Misc 
    
Injury Alert-
Weather67 F, ClearIndoor-
    
Expert Ranks 
Tom BradyDerek CarrAdd Player
    
Chris RaybonC. Raybon
The Action Network
1 d
#13#15-
    
Donkey TeethD. Teeth
Razzball
1 d
#12#16-
    
Sean KoernerS. Koerner
The Action Network
1 d
#10#14-
    
Wolf of Roto StreetW. of R...
Roto Street Journal
1 d
#11#16-
    
Patrick ThormanP. Thorman
Establish the Run
1 d
#11#15-
    
Seth KleinS. Klein
Fantrax
1 d
#11#17-
    
Marc CavigliaM. Cavi...
Bruno Boys
1 d
#10#15-
    
Kevin HansonK. Hanson
EDSFootball
1 d
#13#12-
    
Rudy GambleR. Gamble
Razzball
1 d
#8#18-
    
Andy HollowayA. Holl...
The Fantasy Footballers
1 d
#10#16-
    
Jared SmolaJ. Smola
Draft Sharks
1 d
#10#17-
    
Dave MajorD. Major
XN Sports
1 d
#11#14-
    
Brandon FunstonB. Funston
The Athletic
1 d
#15#12-
    
Dennis SosicD. Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
1 d
#11#15-
    
Andy SingletonA. Sing...
Expand The Boxscore
1 d
#11#15-
    
Garret PriceG. Price
Dynasty Nerds
1 d
#11#14-
    
The FFGhostT. FFGhost
Dynasty League Football
1 d
#11#15-
    
Robert WaziakR. Waziak
The Fantasy Footballers
1 d
#11#14-
    
Nick MarianoN. Mariano
RotoBaller
1 d
#8#14-
    
Brandon MurchisonB. Murc...
RotoBaller
1 d
#12#13-
    
Dan YanotchkoD. Yano...
EDSFootball
1 d
#14#6-
    
Nathan JahnkeN. Jahnke
Pro Football Focus
1 d
#11#15-
    
Joe BondJ. Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
1 d
#11#14-
    
Justin BooneJ. Boone
theScore
1 d
#11#14-
    
Justin DoddsJ. Dodds
Locked In Football
1 d
#11#14-
    
Michael HauffM. Hauff
Gridiron Experts
1 d
#12#21-
    
Raju ByfieldR. Byfield
Win My Fantasy League
1 d
#12#17-
    
Neema HodjatN. Hodjat
Real GM
1 d
#12#13-
    
Richard KingR. King
King Fantasy Sports
1 d
#16#17-
    
Todd D ClarkT. D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
1 d
#9#16-
    
Ken ZalisK. Zalis
Pressbox
1 d
#11#15-
    
Bart WheelerB. Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
1 d
#11#16-
    
Jacob WayneJ. Wayne
Lineups
1 d
#11#15-
    
1 d
#9#14-
    
Chet GreshamC. Gresham
DK Nation
1 d
#11#14-
    
David BiggsD. Biggs
Drink Five
1 d
#11#13-
    
Isaiah SiroisI. Sirois
FantasyPros
1 d
#10#20-
    
Tal MalachovskyT. Mala...
The Fantasy Scout
1 d
#12#9-
    
Muntradamus M.
Beast Dome
1 d
#2#18-
    
Pat FitzmauriceP. Fitz...
The Football Girl
1 d
#11#15-
    
Jeff RatcliffeJ. Ratc...
FTN
1 d
#11#14-
    
Mike WrightM. Wright
The Fantasy Footballers
1 d
#11#15-
    
Alex BlickleA. Blickle
Fantasy Team Advice
1 d
#10#12-
    
Matt BrandonM. Brandon
Matt Brandon
1 d
#11#14-
    
Jacob GibbsJ. Gibbs
SportsLine
1 d
#12#15-
    
Jonathan StoneJ. Stone
The Hateful 8
1 d
#10#14-
    
Justin SablichJ. Sablich
5th Down Fantasy
1 d
#10#18-
    
Dylan ChappineD. Chap...
Wolf Sports
1 d
#8#13-
    
Jake CielyJ. Ciely
The Athletic
1 d
#10#15-
    
Anthony CervinoA. Cervino
Gridiron Experts
1 d
#12#14-
    
Mike RandleM. Randle
BettingPros
1 d
#12#16-
    
Scott SmithS. Smith
RotoViz
1 d
#11#16-
    
Jamie CalandroJ. Cala...
Fantasy Team Advice
1 d
#10#17-
    
Seth MillerS. Miller
Crossroads Fantasy Football
1 d
#15#14-
    
Kevin WheelerK. Wheeler
The Draft Zone
1 d
#11#16-
    
Matthew HillM. Hill
DataForce Fantasy Football
1 d
#11#19-
    
Scott SprattS. Spratt
Football Outsiders
1 d
#12#18-
    
Mike HarmonM. Harmon
Swollen Dome
1 d
#9#15-
    
Jody SmithJ. Smith
FantasyData
1 d
#12#20-
    
Jake ArthurJ. Arthur
Colts.com
1 d
#10#11-
    
Drew DeLucaD. DeLuca
NFL Spinzone
1 d
#11#14-
    
Scott PianowskiS. Pian...
Yahoo! Sports
1 d
#11#13-
    
Dan HarrisD. Harris
FantasyPros
1 d
#11#14-
    
Elisha TwerskiE. Twerski
numberFire
1 d
#10#16-
    
Matthew FreedmanM. Free...
The Action Network
1 d
#12#22-
    
Mike TagliereM. Tagl...
FantasyPros
1 d
#12#14-
    
Zach GreubelZ. Greubel
Gridiron Experts
1 d
#11#15-
    
Andy VandaA. Vanda
Take Your League
1 d
#14#17-
    
Jason MooreJ. Moore
The Fantasy Footballers
1 d
#10#13-
    
David ZachD. Zach
FantasyPros
1 d
#9#13-
    
Thor AkerleyT. Akerley
Fantasy Team Advice
1 d
#13#14-
    
Chris KennedyC. Kennedy
The Fantasy Headliners
1 d
#11#14-
    
Bill EnrightB. Enright
Sports Illustrated
1 d
#11#15-
    
Ryan SkolrudR. Skolrud
SkullKing Sports
1 d
#8#15-
    
Jacob W. DunneJ. W. D...
New Life Fantasy
1 d
#10#12-
    
Brian StraitB. Strait
FTLS Fantasy Football
1 d
#12#16-
    
Tyler OrginskiT. Orgi...
Fantasy Hot Read
1 d
#11#16-
    
Pierre CamusP. Camus
RotoBaller
1 d
#18#10-
    
Tim JablonskiT. Jabl...
The Hateful 8
1 d
#11#15-
    
Jacob HubmanJ. Hubman
The Fantasy Headliners
1 d
#11#15-
    
Matt De LimaM. De Lima
Sports Illustrated
1 d
#12#16-
    
Justin WeigalJ. Weigal
FantasySharks
1 d
#12#15-
    
Matt MacCoyM. MacCoy
Fantasy Team Advice
1 d
#11#18-
    
Frank StampflF. Stampfl
CBS Sports
1 d
#11#14-
    
Christopher DellC. Dell
Betting Predators
1 d
#19#15-
    
Zachary HanshewZ. Hanshew
FantasyPros
1 d
#20#22-
    
Dominick PetrilloD. Petr...
Fantasy Hot Read
1 d
#8#17-
    
Donald GibsonD. Gibson
FantasyPros
1 d
#11#16-
    
Huseyin AksuH. Aksu
Fantasy Couch
1 d
#10#15-
    
Mick CiallelaM. Cial...
Fantrax
1 d
#12#19-
    
Andrew EricksonA. Eric...
Pro Football Focus
1 d
#13#16-
    
Jason WillanJ. Willan
Gridiron Experts
1 d
#11#17-
    
Site RankingsS. Rank...
Sports Illustrated
1 d
#12#15-
    
Husein ShabazzH. Shabazz
SleeperWire
1 d
#12#17-
    
Justin GeorgeJ. George
Take Your League
1 d
#14#10-
    
Steven SpaccarotelliS. Spac...
SleeperWire
1 d
#11#15-
    
Ben WasleyB. Wasley
The Fantasy First Down
1 d
#11#15-
    
Jason PetropoulosJ. Petr...
BRoto Fantasy
1 d
#20#16-
    
Matthew BetzM. Betz
BallBlast
1 d
#12#13-
    
Nick ZylakN. Zylak
Fantasy Football Advice
1 d
#10#16-
    
Adam PfeiferA. Pfeifer
FTN
1 d
#11#16-
    
Rich PiazzaR. Piazza
Fantasy Shed
1 d
#11#12-
    
Mike MacGregorM. MacG...
Draft Buddy
1 d
#11#14-
    
Andrew SeifterA. Seifter
FantasyPros
1 d
#11#16-
    
Heath CappsH. Capps
Fake Teams
1 d
#17#11-
    
Derek LoflandD. Lofland
FantasyPros
1 d
#9#14-
    
Craig PhillipsC. Phil...
FF Prophet
1 d
#11#16-
    
Tozzi BrothersT. Brot...
Legion Report
1 d
#13#14-
    
Morgan ColbyM. Colby
The Fantasy Champions
1 d
#12#15-
    
Michelle MagdziukM. Magd...
BallBlast
1 d
#11#15-
    
Greg SmithG. Smith
TwoQBs
1 d
#13#20-
    
John HestermanJ. Hest...
Dynasty League Football
1 d
#11#14-
    
Chris MeaneyC. Meaney
FTN
1 d
#11#15-
    
Tim PetropoulosT. Petr...
BRoto Fantasy
1 d
#14#11-
    
Mauricio GutierrezM. Guti...
Estadio Fantasy
1 d
#11#17-
    
Ryan NoonanR. Noonan
FTN
1 d
#11#15-
    
Michael PetropoulosM. Petr...
BRoto Fantasy
1 d
#17#13-
    
Nick HumphreysN. Hump...
Fantasy Victors
1 d
#11#14-
    
Mike RigzM. Rigz
Gridiron Experts
1 d
#11#15-
    
Doug NorrieD. Norrie
Daily Fantasy Sports Rankings
1 d
#11#19-
    
Jonathan HaysJ. Hays
Fantasy Foresight
1 d
#14#21-
    
Jeff PaurJ. Paur
RTSports
1 d
#11#19-
    
Gerson AguirreG. Aguirre
Going For 2
1 d
#11#15-
    
Elliot Berkovits E. Berk...
Packer Report
1 d
#11#14-
    
Liz LozaL. Loza
Yahoo! Sports
1 d
#11#12-
    
Staff RankingsS. Rank...
QB List
1 d
#13#17-
    
Jeff BoggisJ. Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
1 d
#11#15-
    
Lawrence JacksonL. Jackson
Fantasy Football Lord
1 d
#11#12-
    
Jamey EisenbergJ. Eise...
CBS Sports
1 d
#13#11-
    
Kate MagdziukK. Magd...
BallBlast
1 d
#16#26-
    
Steven PintadoS. Pintado
The Fantasy Coaches
1 d
#11#15-
    
John FergusonJ. Ferg...
FantasyData
1 d
#11#15-
    
Matt CampM. Camp
Bleacher Report
1 d
#11#16-
    
Dan ClasgensD. Clas...
Get Sports Info
1 d
#11#15-
    
Andy BehrensA. Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
2 d
#13#17-
    
Kyle YatesK. Yates
FantasyPros
2 d
#11#15-
    
John PaulsenJ. Paulsen
4for4.com
2 d
#11#14-
    
Dave RichardD. Richard
CBS Sports
2 d
#13#19-
    
Site ProjectionsS. Proj...
numberFire
2 d
#11#15-
    
Kevin TompkinsK. Tomp...
Fighting Chance Fantasy
2 d
#14#12-
    
Dalton Del DonD. Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
2 d
#13#18-
    
Matthew BoweM. Bowe
Razzball
2 d
#11#17-
    
Eric MoodyE. Moody
FantasyData
2 d
#10#16-
    
Richard SavillR. Savill
Fantasy Six Pack
2 d
#11#15-
    
Jon CollinsJ. Collins
Fantasy Sports LR
2 d
#10#13-
    
Walter CherepinskyW. Cher...
WalterFootball
2 d
#17#15-
    
Mike KruegerM. Krueger
FFToday
2 d
#14#9-
    
Kelly SmelserK. Smelser
Punch Drunk Wonderland
2 d
#11#16-
    
Scott EngelS. Engel
RotoBaller
2 d
#10#24-
    
Mundo Fantasy MXM. Fant...
Mundo Fantasy
3 d
#12#10-
    
Geoff LambertG. Lambert
Going For 2
4 d
#14#15-
    
Matt SchaufM. Schauf
Draft Sharks
4 d
#10#16-
    
Staff RankingsS. Rank...
Important Nonsense
4 d
#11#16-
    
Scott WhitfieldS. Whit...
Roto Rankings
4 d
#11#16-
    
Michael FabianoM. Fabiano
Sports Illustrated
4 d
#11#14-
    
Zach BrunnerZ. Brunner
FlurrySports
4 d
#11#15-
    
Kyle AugustK. August
Fantasy Football Smackdown
4 d
#11#16-
    
Peter RogersP. Rogers
Fake Teams
4 d
#11#14-
    
Frank BonincontriF. Boni...
Fantasy Wire HQ
4 d
#11#16-
    
SmittyS.
SleeperU
5 d
#8#16-
    
Dan McLellanD. McLe...
WBLZ Media
5 d
#11#16-
    
Michael TomlinM. Tomlin
Fantasy Six Pack
5 d
#11#16-
    
Kevin RobertsK. Roberts
Breaking Football
6 d
#12#16-
    
Matt HarmonM. Harmon
Yahoo! Sports
6 d
#11#15-
    
Player Game Logs Comparison
 
Tom Brady
QB - TB
Tom Brady
Tom Brady
QB - TB
Derek Carr
QB - LV
Derek Carr
Derek Carr
QB - LV
2020 Schedule 
Week 1 at NO
23/36, 239 pass yds, 2 td, 2 int
3 rush, 9 yds, 1 td
at CAR
22/30, 239 pass yds, 1 td, 0 int
Week 2 vs. CAR
23/35, 217 pass yds, 1 td, 1 int
1 rush, 0 yds, 0 td
vs. NO
28/38, 284 pass yds, 3 td, 0 int
3 rush, 3 yds, 0 td
Week 3 at DEN
25/38, 297 pass yds, 3 td, 0 int
5 rush, 0 yds, 0 td
at NE
24/32, 261 pass yds, 2 td, 0 int
2 rush, 10 yds, 0 td
Week 4 vs. LAC
30/46, 369 pass yds, 5 td, 1 int
3 rush, -3 yds, 0 td
vs. BUF
32/44, 311 pass yds, 2 td, 0 int
4 rush, 20 yds, 0 td
Week 5 at CHI
25/41, 253 pass yds, 1 td, 0 int
3 rush, 0 yds, 0 td
at KC
22/31, 347 pass yds, 3 td, 1 int
4 rush, 1 yds, 0 td
Week 6 vs. GB
17/27, 166 pass yds, 2 td, 0 int
BYE WEEK
Week 7 at LV
33/45, 369 pass yds, 4 td, 0 int
1 rush, 1 yds, 1 td
vs. TB
24/36, 284 pass yds, 2 td, 1 int
2 rush, 19 yds, 0 td
Week 8 at NYG
28/40, 279 pass yds, 2 td, 0 int
1 rush, -1 yds, 0 td
at CLE
15/24, 111 pass yds, 1 td, 0 int
6 rush, 41 yds, 0 td
Week 9 vs. NO
22/38, 209 pass yds, 0 td, 3 int
at LAC
13/23, 165 pass yds, 2 td, 0 int
2 rush, 14 yds, 0 td
Week 10 at CAR
28/39, 341 pass yds, 3 td, 0 int
2 rush, 2 yds, 1 td
vs. DEN
16/25, 154 pass yds, 0 td, 0 int
4 rush, 10 yds, 0 td
Week 11 vs. LAR vs. KC
Week 12 vs. KC at ATL
Week 13BYE WEEK at NYJ
Week 14 vs. MIN vs. IND
Week 15 at ATL vs. LAC
Week 16 at DET vs. MIA
Week 17 vs. ATL at DEN
Player Projections Comparison
 
Tom Brady
QB - TB
Tom Brady
Tom Brady
QB - TB
vs. LAR, Mon 8pm EST
Derek Carr
QB - LV
Derek Carr
Derek Carr
QB - LV
vs. KC, Sun 8pm EST
Passing
   
Pass Att37.234.2
Pass Cmp24.423.0
Pass Yards273.2255.5
Pass TDs1.91.7
Ints0.60.7
   
Rushing
   
Rush Attempts1.13.8
Rush Yards1.110.7
Rush TDs0.10.1
   
Misc
   
Fumbles0.10.3
   
Points
   
Fantasy Points17.816.6
   
Player Fantasy Points Comparison
 
Tom Brady
QB - TB
Tom Brady
Tom Brady
QB - TB
Derek Carr
QB - LV
Derek Carr
Derek Carr
QB - LV
2020 Points 
Week 122.513.6
Week 29.721.7
Week 323.915.4
Week 433.520.4
Week 514.125.0
Week 614.6
Week 736.920.3
Week 819.112.5
Week 95.414.0
Week 1031.87.2
Week 1122.6
Week 12
Week 13
Week 14
Week 15
Week 16
Week 17
Total211.5172.7
Average21.217.3
Notes for Player Combination
 
Tom Brady
QB - TB
Tom Brady
Tom Brady
QB - TB
vs. LAR, Mon 8pm EST
Derek Carr
QB - LV
Derek Carr
Derek Carr
QB - LV
vs. KC, Sun 8pm EST
Expert 
Isaiah Sirois
FantasyPros
 After a hot start to the season, Carr has cooled down over the last three weeks. He has averaged just 11.2 points per game over his last three appearances, and while the Raiders will have to put up tons of points to keep up with the Chiefs, I'm not convinced that they will deliver. Carr scored just 9.6 fantasy points against the Chiefs after their bye week last year, as their defense held the Raiders to just seven points. Carr is a mid-range option at QB2 for me here.
Mike Tagliere
FantasyPros
It was good to see Brady bounce back last week, as no one wants to see the end of an era. He obliterated the Panthers defense for 341 yards and three touchdowns. That was a cake matchup against a team who struggles to get pressure on the quarterback. Meanwhile, the Rams rank as the team with the fourth-highest sack-rate in the league. Don't think last week was a fluke with their defense against Russell Wilson. On the season, they've allowed a league-low 1.21 fantasy points per offensive snap to opponents. By comparison, the Falcons allow 1.72 points per snap. When you factor in the 60-plus plays per game, this is rather significant. The Rams have allowed just 6.36 yards per attempt and a 2.88 percent touchdown-rate, which are both the lowest marks in the NFL. If you were to remove the rushing production that quarterbacks have had against them, the Rams have allowed just 11.96 fantasy points per game to them. The 0.344 fantasy points per actual pass attempt is the lowest in the league, and it's not all that close. Knowing Brady is a pocket passer who offers nothing on the ground outside of a goal-line plunge here and there, this is problematic. They've allowed a league-low nine passing touchdowns against them, which amounts to just one per game. The Rams are also one of just four teams who have a sack-rate of higher than 9.0 percent, which is bad news for Brady, who's struggled mightily under pressure, completing just 46.6 percent of passes and throwing three touchdowns on 88 attempts. Brady is more of a middling QB2 this week who you shouldn't feel the need to play.It's now been three straight games where Carr has thrown the ball 25 times or less. Because of that, he's finished with 14 or less fantasy points in each game. He has a 107.4 QB Rating on the season, but just three 20-point fantasy games to show for it. The Raiders are 6-3, so it's hard to argue with the logic, but that doesn't do fantasy managers any good. He is going to have more pass attempts this week, that's for sure, though what he does with them might be a different story. I can't tell you how many times I've heard, "The Chiefs opponent is going to rack up points because they'll be playing catch up." That has not been the case over the last two years. In fact, the Chiefs rank fourth in fantasy points allowed per offensive play behind only the Rams, Bears, and Colts. Teams do run a few more plays per game against them, which allows a few more points, but they still rank eighth in overall fantasy points allowed. The 6.57 yards per attempt they've allowed ranks as the third-lowest mark in the league. The Chiefs have allowed a massive 230 yards and four touchdowns on the ground to quarterbacks, so if you remove that, they've allowed the third-fewest points through the air. The 0.377 fantasy points per actual pass attempt is the second-lowest number in the league. The good news for Carr is that when these two teams played in Week 5, he finished with a season-high 347 yards and three touchdowns. It was his best fantasy performance of the year. He was one of just three quarterbacks who averaged more than 6.35 yard per attempt against the Chiefs this year. Last year, against a very similar group of players and in the same scheme, Carr finished with 198 yards, one touchdown, and two interceptions in the first game, and then 222 yards, one touchdown, and two interceptions in the second one. So, which Carr do we get this week? I'm not betting on a repeat of his Week 5 performance, but he's been efficient enough this year to warrant consideration as a high-end QB2.
Derek Lofland
FantasyPros
The Rams are 3rd against fantasy quarterbacks, Brady is still a QB1, but this is not his best matchup of the season.Carr had 25.0 fantasy points the last time these teams played, but in his last 3 games he has averaged only 11.23 fantasy points. I think he is more of a QB2 than QB1 given his play in recent weeks.