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Deshaun Watson or Patrick Mahomes II

Who Should I Start? - Week 1


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Player Summaries Comparison
 
Experts' Pick
 
 
vs. HOU, Thu 8pm EDT
at KC, Thu 8pm EDT
 
 
Default player image

Expert
Recommendation


Updated: Sep 29th, 2020
99%
Recommended by
185 of 187 experts
1%
Recommended by
2 of 187 experts
Add Player
Most Accurate Experts 
    
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Rankings 
    
ECR# 1# 5-
Best Rank# 1# 1-
Worst Rank# 3# 12-
    
Matchup 
    
Opponent vs. HOU at KC-
Matchup RatingThis is a 5 star matchup. QBs perform better than their average vs HOUThis is a 2 star matchup. QBs perform a little worse than their average vs KC-
    
    
Stats Allowed   
Pass Comp23.621.8
Pass Yds256.5236.2
Pass TD1.91.8
    
Fantasy Points 
    
Season Total417.9376.4-
Avg Game24.623.5-
2019 Average24.623.5-
    
Misc 
    
Injury Alert-
WeatherIndoor-
    
Expert Ranks 
Patrick Mahomes IIDeshaun WatsonAdd Player
    
Scott AtkinsS. Atkins
FullTime Fantasy
09/29
#1#6-
    
Husein ShabazzH. Shabazz
SleeperWire
09/13
#2#6-
    
Michael TomlinM. Tomlin
Fantasy Six Pack
09/13
#2#6-
    
Steven SpaccarotelliS. Spac...
SleeperWire
09/13
#1#7-
    
Nathan JahnkeN. Jahnke
Pro Football Focus
09/13
#1#5-
    
Joe BondJ. Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
09/13
#2#5-
    
Marc CavigliaM. Cavi...
Bruno Boys
09/13
#1#5-
    
Patrick ThormanP. Thorman
Establish the Run
09/10
#1#5-
    
Justin GeorgeJ. George
Take Your League
09/10
#1#4-
    
Wolf of Roto StreetW. of R...
Roto Street Journal
09/13
#1#5-
    
Nick HumphreysN. Hump...
Fantasy Victors
09/10
#1#5-
    
Kevin HansonK. Hanson
EDSFootball
09/10
#1#5-
    
Michael HauffM. Hauff
Gridiron Experts
09/13
#1#5-
    
Raju ByfieldR. Byfield
Win My Fantasy League
09/13
#2#3-
    
Mike WrightM. Wright
The Fantasy Footballers
09/13
#1#8-
    
Matthew HillM. Hill
DataForce Fantasy Football
09/13
#1#5-
    
Sean KoernerS. Koerner
The Action Network
09/13
#1#4-
    
Jamie CalandroJ. Cala...
Fantasy Team Advice
09/13
#2#3-
    
Andy HollowayA. Holl...
The Fantasy Footballers
09/13
#1#5-
    
Anthony CervinoA. Cervino
Gridiron Experts
09/13
#1#5-
    
Jason MooreJ. Moore
The Fantasy Footballers
09/13
#2#5-
    
Jacob W. DunneJ. W. D...
New Life Fantasy
09/09
#1#3-
    
Todd D ClarkT. D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
09/13
#1#3-
    
Elvin RyanE. Ryan
The Pregame HQ
09/10
#1#4-
    
Jacob GibbsJ. Gibbs
SportsLine
09/13
#1#4-
    
Matt BrandonM. Brandon
Matt Brandon
08/10
#1#5-
    
Craig PhillipsC. Phil...
FF Prophet
09/13
#2#5-
    
Dennis SosicD. Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
09/13
#2#4-
    
Seth MillerS. Miller
Crossroads Fantasy Football
09/13
#1#3-
    
Kyle RichardsonK. Rich...
The Fantasy Headliners
09/13
#1#5-
    
Ryan SkolrudR. Skolrud
SkullKing Sports
09/13
#1#5-
    
Adrian AlpansequeA. Alpa...
Estadio Fantasy
09/09
#1#7-
    
Mike RigzM. Rigz
Gridiron Experts
09/13
#3#5-
    
Seth KleinS. Klein
Fantrax
09/13
#1#6-
    
Rudy GambleR. Gamble
Razzball
09/13
#1#7-
    
Kevin WheelerK. Wheeler
The Draft Zone
09/13
#1#5-
    
Mick CiallelaM. Cial...
Fantrax
09/10
#1#5-
    
Dan YanotchkoD. Yano...
EDSFootball
09/13
#1#3-
    
Scott SprattS. Spratt
Football Outsiders
09/13
#3#5-
    
David BiggsD. Biggs
Drink Five
09/10
#1#5-
    
Steven PintadoS. Pintado
The Fantasy Coaches
09/10
#1#8-
    
Rich PiazzaR. Piazza
Fantasy Shed
09/09
#2#6-
    
Pat FitzmauriceP. Fitz...
The Football Girl
09/10
#2#5-
    
Muntradamus M.
Beast Dome
09/13
#1#7-
    
Staff RankingsS. Rank...
Roto Ranks
09/13
#1#5-
    
Heath CummingsH. Cumm...
CBS Sports
09/13
#1#4-
    
Jake ArthurJ. Arthur
Colts.com
09/13
#2#5-
    
Dylan ChappineD. Chap...
Wolf Sports
09/13
#1#9-
    
Brandon FunstonB. Funston
The Athletic
09/13
#1#3-
    
Andy VandaA. Vanda
Take Your League
09/12
#2#3-
    
Jonathan StoneJ. Stone
The Hateful 8
09/13
#1#5-
    
Zachary HanshewZ. Hanshew
FantasyPros
09/13
#1#7-
    
Matt De LimaM. De Lima
Sports Illustrated
09/13
#3#5-
    
Jody SmithJ. Smith
FantasyData
09/10
#1#5-
    
Jake CielyJ. Ciely
The Athletic
09/12
#2#6-
    
Jeff RatcliffeJ. Ratc...
FTN
09/13
#2#5-
    
Brian StraitB. Strait
FTLS Fantasy Football
09/13
#1#3-
    
Tal MalachovskyT. Mala...
The Fantasy Scout
09/13
#2#3-
    
Bill EnrightB. Enright
Sports Illustrated
09/13
#1#5-
    
Kevin TompkinsK. Tomp...
Fighting Chance Fantasy
09/13
#1#5-
    
Adam PfeiferA. Pfeifer
FTN
09/08
#1#5-
    
Donkey TeethD. Teeth
Razzball
09/10
#1#4-
    
Jason WillanJ. Willan
Gridiron Experts
09/13
#1#5-
    
Site RankingsS. Rank...
FullTime Fantasy
09/13
#1#6-
    
Greg SmithG. Smith
TwoQBs
09/13
#2#6-
    
Matthew FreedmanM. Free...
The Action Network
09/10
#2#6-
    
Tozzi BrothersT. Brot...
Legion Report
09/09
#1#5-
    
Wilmar ChavesW. Chaves
Hablemos de Football
09/12
#1#5-
    
Mauricio GutierrezM. Guti...
Estadio Fantasy
09/12
#2#5-
    
Robert WaziakR. Waziak
The Fantasy Footballers
09/10
#2#4-
    
Christopher DellC. Dell
Betting Predators
09/13
#1#5-
    
Jason PetropoulosJ. Petr...
BRoto Fantasy
09/13
#1#4-
    
Isaiah SiroisI. Sirois
FantasyPros
09/13
#2#6-
    
Heath CappsH. Capps
Fake Teams
09/13
#1#5-
    
Mundo Fantasy MXM. Fant...
Mundo Fantasy
09/11
#2#4-
    
Bart WheelerB. Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
09/13
#1#5-
    
Elisha TwerskiE. Twerski
numberFire
09/13
#1#4-
    
Justin DoddsJ. Dodds
SleeperWire
09/09
#2#7-
    
Tyler OrginskiT. Orgi...
Fantasy Hot Read
09/13
#1#3-
    
Dave MajorD. Major
XN Sports
09/13
#2#5-
    
Jon CollinsJ. Collins
Fantasy Sports LR
09/12
#1#5-
    
Donald GibsonD. Gibson
FantasyPros
09/13
#1#6-
    
Nick MarianoN. Mariano
RotoBaller
09/13
#1#5-
    
Staff RankingsS. Rank...
Important Nonsense
09/10
#1#4-
    
Mike TagliereM. Tagl...
FantasyPros
09/13
#1#3-
    
Tommy MoliooT. Molioo
The Undroppables
09/09
#1#5-
    
Andrew SeifterA. Seifter
FantasyPros
09/11
#1#4-
    
Neema HodjatN. Hodjat
Real GM
09/09
#1#4-
    
Andy SingletonA. Sing...
Expand The Boxscore
09/13
#2#5-
    
Ryan NoonanR. Noonan
FTN
09/13
#1#3-
    
Eric MoodyE. Moody
FantasyData
09/13
#2#6-
    
Dominick PetrilloD. Petr...
Fantasy Hot Read
09/09
#1#6-
    
Tim JablonskiT. Jabl...
The Hateful 8
09/13
#1#5-
    
Matthew BoweM. Bowe
Razzball
09/13
#1#5-
    
Clayton CadieuxC. Cadieux
Fantasy Football From Up North
09/12
#1#4-
    
Chris KennedyC. Kennedy
The Fantasy Headliners
09/13
#2#6-
    
Jacob HubmanJ. Hubman
The Fantasy Headliners
09/13
#1#3-
    
Dan McLellanD. McLe...
WBLZ Media
09/10
#2#3-
    
Jose Ramon LlacaJ. Ramo...
Estadio Fantasy
09/07
#1#5-
    
Justin SablichJ. Sablich
5th Down Fantasy
09/13
#1#4-
    
Staff RankingsS. Rank...
QB List
09/12
#2#3-
    
Nick ZylakN. Zylak
Fantasy Football Advice
09/13
#1#4-
    
Matt SchaufM. Schauf
Draft Sharks
09/10
#1#6-
    
Michael PetropoulosM. Petr...
BRoto Fantasy
09/09
#1#5-
    
Jared SmolaJ. Smola
Draft Sharks
09/13
#1#6-
    
Jeff PaurJ. Paur
RTSports
09/10
#1#5-
    
Richard SavillR. Savill
Fantasy Six Pack
09/12
#1#6-
    
Derek LoflandD. Lofland
FantasyPros
09/09
#1#5-
    
Brandon MurchisonB. Murc...
RotoBaller
09/13
#1#12-
    
Mike RandleM. Randle
BettingPros
09/10
#1#6-
    
Scott SmithS. Smith
RotoViz
09/13
#1#5-
    
Doug NorrieD. Norrie
Daily Fantasy Sports Rankings
09/13
#2#5-
    
Mike HarmonM. Harmon
Swollen Dome
09/13
#1#4-
    
Chet GreshamC. Gresham
DK Nation
09/10
#2#5-
    
Matthew BetzM. Betz
BallBlast
09/13
#1#5-
    
Dan HarrisD. Harris
FantasyPros
09/13
#1#4-
    
Jordan RainsJ. Rains
Expand The Boxscore
09/13
#1#5-
    
Ken ZalisK. Zalis
Pressbox
09/08
#2#5-
    
Kelly SmelserK. Smelser
Punch Drunk Wonderland
09/13
#1#5-
    
Lukas KacerL. Kacer
The Fantasy Stock Exchange
09/13
#2#5-
    
Dalton Del DonD. Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
09/13
#1#5-
    
Kyle AugustK. August
Fantasy Football Smackdown
09/13
#1#5-
    
Lawrence JacksonL. Jackson
Fantasy Football Lord
09/13
#2#6-
    
Des BielerD. Bieler
The Washington Post
09/13
#1#5-
    
Francisco (Chato) RomeroF. (Cha...
Estadio Fantasy
09/13
#1#4-
    
Scott PianowskiS. Pian...
Yahoo! Sports
09/13
#1#5-
    
Scott WhitfieldS. Whit...
Roto Rankings
09/13
#2#4-
    
09/10
#1#5-
    
Frank StampflF. Stampfl
CBS Sports
09/13
#1#3-
    
Mike MacGregorM. MacG...
Draft Buddy
09/12
#2#3-
    
Andrew EricksonA. Eric...
Pro Football Focus
09/13
#3#1-
    
Thor AkerleyT. Akerley
Fantasy Team Advice
09/13
#1#4-
    
Davis MattekD. Mattek
SportsGrid
09/13
#1#5-
    
Jacob WayneJ. Wayne
Lineups
09/09
#1#9-
    
Liz LozaL. Loza
Yahoo! Sports
09/13
#1#5-
    
Gerson AguirreG. Aguirre
Going For 2
09/07
#2#4-
    
Alex BlickleA. Blickle
Fantasy Team Advice
09/13
#2#3-
    
Jeff BoggisJ. Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
09/13
#1#6-
    
09/13
#1#5-
    
Justin WeigalJ. Weigal
FantasySharks
09/13
#2#6-
    
Zach BrunnerZ. Brunner
FlurrySports
09/13
#1#5-
    
Matt CampM. Camp
Bleacher Report
09/13
#2#4-
    
Kyle YatesK. Yates
FantasyPros
09/09
#2#6-
    
Dan ClasgensD. Clas...
Get Sports Info
09/13
#1#6-
    
Jamey EisenbergJ. Eise...
CBS Sports
09/11
#1#3-
    
Andy BehrensA. Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
09/12
#1#7-
    
Drew DeLucaD. DeLuca
NFL Spinzone
09/13
#2#4-
    
Kate MagdziukK. Magd...
BallBlast
09/12
#1#3-
    
Michelle MagdziukM. Magd...
BallBlast
09/10
#2#6-
    
Ben WasleyB. Wasley
The Fantasy First Down
09/13
#1#4-
    
Kyle EnglishK. English
Reality Sports
09/10
#2#5-
    
Dave RichardD. Richard
CBS Sports
09/12
#3#2-
    
Scott EngelS. Engel
RotoBaller
09/12
#1#5-
    
DailyRotoD.
DailyRoto
09/13
#2#5-
    
Aaron LarsonA. Larson
FantasyPros
09/09
#1#4-
    
John PaulsenJ. Paulsen
4for4.com
09/13
#2#6-
    
Jason SablichJ. Sablich
5th Down Fantasy
09/04
#1#4-
    
Site ProjectionsS. Proj...
numberFire
09/13
#1#6-
    
Elliot Berkovits E. Berk...
Packer Report
09/13
#1#5-
    
Ellis JohnsonE. Johnson
True North Fantasy Football
09/13
#1#3-
    
Huseyin AksuH. Aksu
Fantasy Couch
09/13
#2#5-
    
Richard KingR. King
King Fantasy Sports
09/10
#1#5-
    
Chris MeaneyC. Meaney
FTN
09/09
#1#5-
    
Mike KruegerM. Krueger
FFToday
09/09
#1#4-
    
Walter CherepinskyW. Cher...
WalterFootball
09/01
#1#4-
    
Pierre CamusP. Camus
RotoBaller
09/10
#1#3-
    
Geoff LambertG. Lambert
Going For 2
09/13
#2#5-
    
John HestermanJ. Hest...
Dynasty League Football
09/10
#2#6-
    
Matt HarmonM. Harmon
Yahoo! Sports
09/08
#1#5-
    
Tim PetropoulosT. Petr...
BRoto Fantasy
09/12
#1#5-
    
Benjamin KlotzB. Klotz
Touchdown Squad
09/12
#1#4-
    
Zach GreubelZ. Greubel
Gridiron Experts
09/11
#1#5-
    
Nicholas YouN. You
The Undroppables
09/11
#2#3-
    
Chris RaybonC. Raybon
The Action Network
09/13
#1#5-
    
Justin BooneJ. Boone
theScore
09/10
#1#5-
    
Dariyan MayburyD. Maybury
Fantasy Football Advice
09/10
#1#5-
    
The FFGhostT. FFGhost
Dynasty League Football
09/10
#1#4-
    
Jonathan HaysJ. Hays
Fantasy Foresight
09/10
#2#5-
    
Kevin ScottK. Scott
The Intersecting
09/10
#1#3-
    
Adam MurfetA. Murfet
5 Yard Rush
09/10
#1#7-
    
John FergusonJ. Ferg...
FantasyData
09/10
#2#6-
    
Frank BonincontriF. Boni...
Fantasy Wire HQ
09/09
#1#5-
    
Blake FincherB. Fincher
Fantasy Football Cafe
09/09
#1#5-
    
Morgan ColbyM. Colby
The Fantasy Champions
09/08
#1#3-
    
SmittyS.
SleeperU
09/08
#1#7-
    
Brad EvansB. Evans
FTN
09/07
#1#4-
    
Kevin RobertsK. Roberts
Breaking Football
09/10
#1#5-
    
Player Game Logs Comparison
 
2020 Schedule 
Week 1 vs. HOU at KC
Week 2 at LAC vs. BAL
Week 3 at BAL at PIT
Week 4 vs. NE vs. MIN
Week 5 vs. LV vs. JAC
Week 6 at BUF at TEN
Week 7 at DEN vs. GB
Week 8 vs. NYJBYE WEEK
Week 9 vs. CAR at JAC
Week 10BYE WEEK at CLE
Week 11 at LV vs. NE
Week 12 at TB at DET
Week 13 vs. DEN vs. IND
Week 14 at MIA at CHI
Week 15 at NO at IND
Week 16 vs. ATL vs. CIN
Week 17 vs. LAC vs. TEN
Player Fantasy Points Comparison
 
2020 Points 
Week 120.421.8
Week 227.515.7
Week 340.018.1
Week 420.220.9
Week 530.726.9
Week 620.632.0
Week 712.024.2
Week 836.6
Week 931.524.2
Week 1014.1
Week 1122.531.4
Week 1231.333.1
Week 1319.320.4
Week 1421.616.6
Week 1525.923.4
Week 1620.226.8
Week 1726.8
Total417.9376.4
Average24.623.5
Notes for Player Combination
 
vs. HOU, Thu 8pm EDT
at KC, Thu 8pm EDT
Expert 
Jacob Wayne
Lineups
The last time we saw Patrick Mahomes on the field against the Texans, he was leading his Chiefs to the biggest comeback in franchise history in the playoffs. Houston had the seventh-worst defense in fantasy points allowed to quarterbacks last year and arguably got worse after losing a couple of veteran players. In his last two Week 1 games, Mahomes threw for a combined 7 touchdowns and 0 interceptions. I expect the reigning Super Bowl MVP to have another jaw-dropping Week 1 stat line that makes him the QB1 on the week.I'm very worried about the Texans this season and it won't be an easy start for them as they play the reigning champion Chiefs in Week 1. Watson's pass-catching talent took a massive hit when DeAndre Hopkins was traded away and the former All-Pro's absence will be felt all over the roster. Will Fuller, Brandin Cooks, and Kenny Stills are an intriguing trio, but you can't really count on any of them to be your #1 guy. I'm fine starting Watson in Week 1 as there should be some garbage time production. As much as I love him as a talent, though, I'm not sure if he can overcome the porous offensive line and lack of pass-catching consistency.
Isaiah Sirois
FantasyPros
Mahomes and the Chiefs head into Thursday Night Football as heavy betting favorites. They have the largest implied point total of the week, as the BettingPros consensus odds indicate that they should score 36.25 points! Mahomes is an easy QB1 option if the Chiefs even approach that number, so you should start him with confidence in his early matchup. While Travis Kelce's health is in question, I'm not going to fade Mahomes as a result.I'm lower than some on Watson this week. Why? My ranking may seem questionable when you consider that the last time he took on the Chiefs, he threw for 388 yards and two scores -- and he even added another one on the ground. But remember, he also had DeAndre Hopkins then, who accounted for 30 percent of his passing yardage. Without a normal preseason to adjust, it might take some time for Watson to gel with new acquisitions Randall Cobb and Brandin Cooks.
Steven Pintado
The Fantasy Coaches
Must Start 
Mike Tagliere
FantasyPros
 Life without DeAndre Hopkins begins for Watson. We don't know what that looks like, as it's never happened. Watson's QB Rating when targeting Hopkins last year? 107.8. When targeting Will Fuller? 96.7. Both are good, but let's not pretend Hopkins didn't draw some coverage away from Fuller and the rest of the receivers. The Chiefs were surprisingly one of the best pass defenses in the league last year, allowing the 12th-fewest fantasy points per game to quarterbacks, which included just a 3.61 percent touchdown rate, 6.62 yards per attempt, and 60.4 percent completion rate. That's the bad news. What might seem like more bad news is Watson's 280-yard, one-touchdown, two-interception performance against them last year, but there's more to it than the stats. I'm not kidding when I say that Fuller dropped three touchdowns. Watson also played well against them in their playoff loss, totaling 388 yards and two touchdowns, though it did take him 52 attempts to get there. It's hard to gameplan against the Texans right now, as you're unsure what their primary choice of attack will be, though if there's one thing I'll bet on, it's that Watson will run more this year, which raises his weekly floor. In the two games against the Chiefs last year, he rushed for 68 yards and three touchdowns. Start him as your QB1 in what should be a high-scoring game. He's a good tournament option in DFS but play it safe in cash lineups until we see more on how losing Hopkins affects his game.
Derek Lofland
FantasyPros
The Texans allowed the 3rd most points to fantasy quarterbacks last year and the Chiefs remain a very dangerous offense. Mahomes should have a monster game in Week 1 at home.Watson had 688 yards passing, 79 yards rushing, 3 passing TDs, and 3 rushing TDs in 2 games against the Chiefs last year. He should be a solid QB1 in a game that figures to be a shootout.