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Drew Brees or Derek Carr

Who Should I Start? - Week 1


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Player Summaries Comparison
 
Experts' Pick
 
 
Drew Brees
QB - NO
Drew Brees
Drew Brees
QB - NO
vs. TB, Sun 4pm EDT
Derek Carr
QB - LV
Derek Carr
Derek Carr
QB - LV
at CAR, Sun 1pm EDT
 
 
Default player image

Expert
Recommendation


Updated: Sep 29th, 2020
99%
Recommended by
184 of 186 experts
1%
Recommended by
2 of 186 experts
Add Player
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Rankings 
    
ECR# 6# 20-
Best Rank# 2# 12-
Worst Rank# 24# 32-
    
Matchup 
    
Opponent vs. TB at CAR-
Matchup RatingThis is a 4 star matchup. QBs perform a litter better than their average vs TBThis is a 2 star matchup. QBs perform a little worse than their average vs CAR-
    
    
Stats Allowed   
Pass Comp26.624.9
Pass Yds246.6239.1
Pass TD1.81.8
    
Fantasy Points 
    
Season Total215.4281.0-
Avg Game18.017.6-
2019 Average18.017.6-
    
Misc 
    
Injury Alert-
Weather-
    
Expert Ranks 
Drew BreesDerek CarrAdd Player
    
Scott AtkinsS. Atkins
FullTime Fantasy
09/29
#5#16-
    
Husein ShabazzH. Shabazz
SleeperWire
09/13
#3#23-
    
Michael TomlinM. Tomlin
Fantasy Six Pack
09/13
#5#20-
    
Steven SpaccarotelliS. Spac...
SleeperWire
09/13
#4#31-
    
Nathan JahnkeN. Jahnke
Pro Football Focus
09/13
#8#19-
    
Joe BondJ. Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
09/13
#6#20-
    
Marc CavigliaM. Cavi...
Bruno Boys
09/13
#7#23-
    
Patrick ThormanP. Thorman
Establish the Run
09/10
#8#24-
    
Justin GeorgeJ. George
Take Your League
09/10
#9#13-
    
Wolf of Roto StreetW. of R...
Roto Street Journal
09/13
#6#23-
    
Nick HumphreysN. Hump...
Fantasy Victors
09/10
#6#20-
    
Kevin HansonK. Hanson
EDSFootball
09/10
#6#20-
    
Michael HauffM. Hauff
Gridiron Experts
09/13
#6#20-
    
Raju ByfieldR. Byfield
Win My Fantasy League
09/13
#7#19-
    
Mike WrightM. Wright
The Fantasy Footballers
09/13
#5#17-
    
Matthew HillM. Hill
DataForce Fantasy Football
09/13
#6#22-
    
Sean KoernerS. Koerner
The Action Network
09/13
#7#17-
    
Jamie CalandroJ. Cala...
Fantasy Team Advice
09/13
#9#27-
    
Andy HollowayA. Holl...
The Fantasy Footballers
09/13
#6#20-
    
Anthony CervinoA. Cervino
Gridiron Experts
09/13
#6#21-
    
Jason MooreJ. Moore
The Fantasy Footballers
09/13
#6#20-
    
Jacob W. DunneJ. W. D...
New Life Fantasy
09/09
#9#27-
    
Todd D ClarkT. D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
09/13
#6#20-
    
Elvin RyanE. Ryan
The Pregame HQ
09/10
#11#16-
    
Jacob GibbsJ. Gibbs
SportsLine
09/13
#7#20-
    
Matt BrandonM. Brandon
Matt Brandon
08/10
#6#24-
    
Craig PhillipsC. Phil...
FF Prophet
09/13
#6#20-
    
Dennis SosicD. Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
09/13
#6#20-
    
Seth MillerS. Miller
Crossroads Fantasy Football
09/13
#8#15-
    
Kyle RichardsonK. Rich...
The Fantasy Headliners
09/13
#6#13-
    
Ryan SkolrudR. Skolrud
SkullKing Sports
09/13
#6#20-
    
Adrian AlpansequeA. Alpa...
Estadio Fantasy
09/09
#5#18-
    
Mike RigzM. Rigz
Gridiron Experts
09/13
#8#22-
    
Seth KleinS. Klein
Fantrax
09/13
#7#15-
    
Rudy GambleR. Gamble
Razzball
09/13
#5#19-
    
Kevin WheelerK. Wheeler
The Draft Zone
09/13
#6#20-
    
Mick CiallelaM. Cial...
Fantrax
09/10
#8#21-
    
Dan YanotchkoD. Yano...
EDSFootball
09/13
#7#20-
    
Scott SprattS. Spratt
Football Outsiders
09/13
#10#30-
    
David BiggsD. Biggs
Drink Five
09/10
#6#19-
    
Steven PintadoS. Pintado
The Fantasy Coaches
09/10
#7#17-
    
Rich PiazzaR. Piazza
Fantasy Shed
09/09
#5#25-
    
Pat FitzmauriceP. Fitz...
The Football Girl
09/10
#6#21-
    
Muntradamus M.
Beast Dome
09/13
#2#22-
    
Staff RankingsS. Rank...
Roto Ranks
09/13
#6#21-
    
Heath CummingsH. Cumm...
CBS Sports
09/13
#12#14-
    
Jake ArthurJ. Arthur
Colts.com
09/13
#8#21-
    
Dylan ChappineD. Chap...
Wolf Sports
09/13
#5#12-
    
Brandon FunstonB. Funston
The Athletic
09/13
#6#14-
    
Andy VandaA. Vanda
Take Your League
09/12
#7#22-
    
Jonathan StoneJ. Stone
The Hateful 8
09/13
#6#20-
    
Zachary HanshewZ. Hanshew
FantasyPros
09/13
#6#16-
    
Matt De LimaM. De Lima
Sports Illustrated
09/13
#6#17-
    
Jody SmithJ. Smith
FantasyData
09/10
#7#23-
    
Jake CielyJ. Ciely
The Athletic
09/12
#5#20-
    
Jeff RatcliffeJ. Ratc...
FTN
09/13
#6#22-
    
Brian StraitB. Strait
FTLS Fantasy Football
09/13
#11#24-
    
Tal MalachovskyT. Mala...
The Fantasy Scout
09/13
#8#23-
    
Bill EnrightB. Enright
Sports Illustrated
09/13
#6#20-
    
Kevin TompkinsK. Tomp...
Fighting Chance Fantasy
09/13
#10#20-
    
Adam PfeiferA. Pfeifer
FTN
09/08
#6#20-
    
Donkey TeethD. Teeth
Razzball
09/10
#9#21-
    
Jason WillanJ. Willan
Gridiron Experts
09/13
#7#12-
    
Site RankingsS. Rank...
FullTime Fantasy
09/13
#7#18-
    
Greg SmithG. Smith
TwoQBs
09/13
#5#26-
    
Matthew FreedmanM. Free...
The Action Network
09/10
#15#20-
    
Tozzi BrothersT. Brot...
Legion Report
09/09
#7#24-
    
Mauricio GutierrezM. Guti...
Estadio Fantasy
09/12
#6#21-
    
Robert WaziakR. Waziak
The Fantasy Footballers
09/10
#8#22-
    
Christopher DellC. Dell
Betting Predators
09/13
#24#19-
    
Jason PetropoulosJ. Petr...
BRoto Fantasy
09/13
#8#23-
    
Isaiah SiroisI. Sirois
FantasyPros
09/13
#5#18-
    
Heath CappsH. Capps
Fake Teams
09/13
#7#21-
    
Mundo Fantasy MXM. Fant...
Mundo Fantasy
09/11
#14#19-
    
Bart WheelerB. Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
09/13
#8#15-
    
Elisha TwerskiE. Twerski
numberFire
09/13
#5#19-
    
Justin DoddsJ. Dodds
SleeperWire
09/09
#5#26-
    
Tyler OrginskiT. Orgi...
Fantasy Hot Read
09/13
#8#18-
    
Dave MajorD. Major
XN Sports
09/13
#6#19-
    
Jon CollinsJ. Collins
Fantasy Sports LR
09/12
#6#21-
    
Donald GibsonD. Gibson
FantasyPros
09/13
#5#23-
    
Nick MarianoN. Mariano
RotoBaller
09/13
#7#25-
    
Staff RankingsS. Rank...
Important Nonsense
09/10
#8#21-
    
Mike TagliereM. Tagl...
FantasyPros
09/13
#10#22-
    
Tommy MoliooT. Molioo
The Undroppables
09/09
#6#15-
    
Andrew SeifterA. Seifter
FantasyPros
09/11
#6#16-
    
Neema HodjatN. Hodjat
Real GM
09/09
#9#20-
    
Andy SingletonA. Sing...
Expand The Boxscore
09/13
#6#19-
    
Ryan NoonanR. Noonan
FTN
09/13
#10#18-
    
Eric MoodyE. Moody
FantasyData
09/13
#5#20-
    
Dominick PetrilloD. Petr...
Fantasy Hot Read
09/09
#4#21-
    
Tim JablonskiT. Jabl...
The Hateful 8
09/13
#6#20-
    
Matthew BoweM. Bowe
Razzball
09/13
#7#21-
    
Clayton CadieuxC. Cadieux
Fantasy Football From Up North
09/12
#6#21-
    
Chris KennedyC. Kennedy
The Fantasy Headliners
09/13
#5#17-
    
Jacob HubmanJ. Hubman
The Fantasy Headliners
09/13
#4#14-
    
Dan McLellanD. McLe...
WBLZ Media
09/10
#6#21-
    
Jose Ramon LlacaJ. Ramo...
Estadio Fantasy
09/07
#8#24-
    
Justin SablichJ. Sablich
5th Down Fantasy
09/13
#8#21-
    
Staff RankingsS. Rank...
QB List
09/12
#6#19-
    
Nick ZylakN. Zylak
Fantasy Football Advice
09/13
#8#21-
    
Matt SchaufM. Schauf
Draft Sharks
09/10
#3#15-
    
Michael PetropoulosM. Petr...
BRoto Fantasy
09/09
#6#24-
    
Jared SmolaJ. Smola
Draft Sharks
09/13
#4#18-
    
Jeff PaurJ. Paur
RTSports
09/10
#7#19-
    
Richard SavillR. Savill
Fantasy Six Pack
09/12
#2#23-
    
Derek LoflandD. Lofland
FantasyPros
09/09
#8#21-
    
Brandon MurchisonB. Murc...
RotoBaller
09/13
#8#21-
    
Mike RandleM. Randle
BettingPros
09/10
#5#20-
    
Scott SmithS. Smith
RotoViz
09/13
#8#17-
    
Doug NorrieD. Norrie
Daily Fantasy Sports Rankings
09/13
#9#25-
    
Mike HarmonM. Harmon
Swollen Dome
09/13
#9#24-
    
Chet GreshamC. Gresham
DK Nation
09/10
#6#26-
    
Matthew BetzM. Betz
BallBlast
09/13
#7#21-
    
Dan HarrisD. Harris
FantasyPros
09/13
#6#19-
    
Jordan RainsJ. Rains
Expand The Boxscore
09/13
#9#19-
    
Ken ZalisK. Zalis
Pressbox
09/08
#6#24-
    
Kelly SmelserK. Smelser
Punch Drunk Wonderland
09/13
#6#20-
    
Lukas KacerL. Kacer
The Fantasy Stock Exchange
09/13
#6#20-
    
Dalton Del DonD. Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
09/13
#6#21-
    
Kyle AugustK. August
Fantasy Football Smackdown
09/13
#8#19-
    
Lawrence JacksonL. Jackson
Fantasy Football Lord
09/13
#7#18-
    
Des BielerD. Bieler
The Washington Post
09/13
#6#21-
    
Francisco (Chato) RomeroF. (Cha...
Estadio Fantasy
09/13
#6#26-
    
Scott PianowskiS. Pian...
Yahoo! Sports
09/13
#10#20-
    
Scott WhitfieldS. Whit...
Roto Rankings
09/13
#8#25-
    
09/10
#7#19-
    
Frank StampflF. Stampfl
CBS Sports
09/13
#6#16-
    
Mike MacGregorM. MacG...
Draft Buddy
09/12
#10#21-
    
Andrew EricksonA. Eric...
Pro Football Focus
09/13
#13#28-
    
Thor AkerleyT. Akerley
Fantasy Team Advice
09/13
#9#16-
    
Davis MattekD. Mattek
RotoExperts
09/13
#6#21-
    
Jacob WayneJ. Wayne
Lineups
09/09
#6#14-
    
Liz LozaL. Loza
Yahoo! Sports
09/13
#6#20-
    
Gerson AguirreG. Aguirre
Going For 2
09/07
#5#28-
    
Alex BlickleA. Blickle
Fantasy Team Advice
09/13
#10#22-
    
Jeff BoggisJ. Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
09/13
#7#21-
    
09/13
#7#19-
    
Justin WeigalJ. Weigal
FantasySharks
09/13
#5#20-
    
Zach BrunnerZ. Brunner
FlurrySports
09/13
#6#19-
    
Matt CampM. Camp
Bleacher Report
09/13
#6#21-
    
Kyle YatesK. Yates
FantasyPros
09/09
#9#16-
    
Dan ClasgensD. Clas...
Get Sports Info
09/13
#9#23-
    
Jamey EisenbergJ. Eise...
CBS Sports
09/11
#10#15-
    
Andy BehrensA. Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
09/12
#6#22-
    
Drew DeLucaD. DeLuca
NFL Spinzone
09/13
#8#18-
    
Kate MagdziukK. Magd...
BallBlast
09/12
#4#24-
    
Michelle MagdziukM. Magd...
BallBlast
09/10
#3#24-
    
Ben WasleyB. Wasley
The Fantasy First Down
09/13
#5#21-
    
Kyle EnglishK. English
Reality Sports
09/10
#6#26-
    
Dave RichardD. Richard
CBS Sports
09/12
#9#16-
    
Scott EngelS. Engel
RotoBaller
09/12
#10#16-
    
DailyRotoD.
DailyRoto
09/13
#12#13-
    
Aaron LarsonA. Larson
FantasyPros
09/09
#12#21-
    
John PaulsenJ. Paulsen
4for4.com
09/13
#5#21-
    
Jason SablichJ. Sablich
5th Down Fantasy
09/04
#6#25-
    
Site ProjectionsS. Proj...
numberFire
09/13
#14#18-
    
Elliot Berkovits E. Berk...
Packer Report
09/13
#6#20-
    
Ellis JohnsonE. Johnson
True North Fantasy Football
09/13
#8#15-
    
Huseyin AksuH. Aksu
Fantasy Couch
09/13
#14#21-
    
Richard KingR. King
King Fantasy Sports
09/10
#7#18-
    
Chris MeaneyC. Meaney
FTN
09/09
#6#19-
    
Walter CherepinskyW. Cher...
WalterFootball
09/01
#14#13-
    
Mike KruegerM. Krueger
FFToday
09/09
#13#29-
    
Pierre CamusP. Camus
RotoBaller
09/10
#10#21-
    
Geoff LambertG. Lambert
Going For 2
09/13
#7#18-
    
John HestermanJ. Hest...
Dynasty League Football
09/10
#5#19-
    
Matt MacCoyM. MacCoy
Fantasy Team Advice
09/12
#6#19-
    
Matt HarmonM. Harmon
Yahoo! Sports
09/08
#7#22-
    
Tim PetropoulosT. Petr...
BRoto Fantasy
09/12
#6#21-
    
Zach GreubelZ. Greubel
Gridiron Experts
09/11
#7#21-
    
Nicholas YouN. You
The Undroppables
09/11
#5#21-
    
Chris RaybonC. Raybon
The Action Network
09/13
#9#22-
    
Justin BooneJ. Boone
theScore
09/10
#6#26-
    
Dariyan MayburyD. Maybury
Fantasy Football Advice
09/10
#6#20-
    
The FFGhostT. FFGhost
Dynasty League Football
09/10
#5#20-
    
Jonathan HaysJ. Hays
Fantasy Foresight
09/10
#8#32-
    
Kevin ScottK. Scott
The Intersecting
09/10
#8#25-
    
Adam MurfetA. Murfet
5 Yard Rush
09/10
#12#27-
    
John FergusonJ. Ferg...
FantasyData
09/10
#7#22-
    
Frank BonincontriF. Boni...
Fantasy Wire HQ
09/09
#6#21-
    
Blake FincherB. Fincher
Fantasy Football Cafe
09/09
#6#20-
    
Morgan ColbyM. Colby
The Fantasy Champions
09/08
#5#21-
    
SmittyS.
SleeperU
09/08
#8#22-
    
Brad EvansB. Evans
FTN
09/07
#6#17-
    
Kevin RobertsK. Roberts
Breaking Football
09/10
#3#20-
    
Player Game Logs Comparison
 
Drew Brees
QB - NO
Drew Brees
Drew Brees
QB - NO
Derek Carr
QB - LV
Derek Carr
Derek Carr
QB - LV
2020 Schedule 
Week 1 vs. TB at CAR
Week 2 at LV vs. NO
Week 3 vs. GB at NE
Week 4 at DET vs. BUF
Week 5 vs. LAC at KC
Week 6BYE WEEKBYE WEEK
Week 7 vs. CAR vs. TB
Week 8 at CHI at CLE
Week 9 at TB at LAC
Week 10 vs. SF vs. DEN
Week 11 vs. ATL vs. KC
Week 12 at DEN at ATL
Week 13 at ATL at NYJ
Week 14 at PHI vs. IND
Week 15 vs. KC vs. LAC
Week 16 vs. MIN vs. MIA
Week 17 at CAR at DEN
Player Fantasy Points Comparison
 
Drew Brees
QB - NO
Drew Brees
Drew Brees
QB - NO
Derek Carr
QB - LV
Derek Carr
Derek Carr
QB - LV
2020 Points 
Week 114.413.6
Week 215.521.7
Week 323.515.4
Week 416.520.4
Week 522.125.0
Week 6
Week 723.720.3
Week 819.612.5
Week 922.714.0
Week 106.97.2
Week 1122.6
Week 121.6
Week 1332.7
Week 1425.8
Week 1520.42.1
Week 1610.123.2
Week 1720.022.9
Total215.4281.0
Average18.017.6
Notes for Player Combination
 
Drew Brees
QB - NO
Drew Brees
Drew Brees
QB - NO
vs. TB, Sun 4pm EDT
Derek Carr
QB - LV
Derek Carr
Derek Carr
QB - LV
at CAR, Sun 1pm EDT
Expert 
Zachary Hanshew
FantasyPros
It's no secret that 2020 could be Brees' swan song, and he figures to go out competing for a title. Brees isn't the volume passer he was in his heyday, but he's one of the most accurate passers to ever play the game and can still pick apart opposing defenses at will, even if his attempts are down. He may fall just shy of a QB1 finish in 2020, but he should be a no-brainer start against the Buccaneers defense which allowed the third-most passing yards to opposing quarterbacks in 2019.Two poor defenses square off in a game with a 48 over/under that could easily be a shootout. Carr won't be a popular play this week, but he's got plenty of upside against a vaunted Panthers defense and is likely available on your waiver wire.
Mike Tagliere
FantasyPros
Now entering what he dubbed as his final season, Brees will look to start the year off with a bang against a Bucs team that's now led by Tom Brady. The Bucs pass defense played better down the stretch, though the strength of this team's defense is clearly stopping the run. They allowed just 907 rushing yards last year, while no other team allowed fewer than 1,039 yards. The Bucs didn't have many changes on defense, either. They added Antoine Winfield at safety, which should help the back end, as that's one area they were severely lacking. We know Brees as a quarterback who typically throws for 300 yards, right? Well, he's hit the 300-yard mark just once in his last seven games against the Bucs. In the lone game against an Arians-led team, he completed 28-of-35 passes for 228 yards and three touchdowns, so it's not like you should be too worried. Brees also has an additional weapon at his disposal this season with Emmanuel Sanders being added. I don't think the Bucs have an answer for Michael Thomas, which is where we should see Brees go early and often. With how tough the Bucs are against the run, Brees should be expected to carry the Saints to victory here. With a team total of 26.8 points, he's not a bad bet for low-end QB1 production.He's got a whole new surrounding cast, though it certainly would've helped if he'd had some time to work with them against real competition. It also would've helped us project them. The Panthers defense was straight-up middle of the pack last year from an efficiency standpoint and the performances against them backed that up. No one finished higher than the QB7, though just two quarterbacks finished worse than QB22. It's a new defense there under Phil Snow, a coordinator with minimal experience in the NFL. He was a linebackers coach with the Lions back in 2006-2008 but has been in college since then. The Panthers defense lost so many players this offseason, it's hard to imagine the starters that'll be out there. Here's the list of starters from 2019 that are gone: LB Luke Kuechly, CB James Bradberry, S Eric Reid, DL Gerald McCoy, DL Dontari Poe, DL Vernon Butler, EDGE Mario Addison, and EDGE Bruce Irvin. That led to the Panthers drafting five defensive players in the first five rounds of the draft. It's going to take some time for the rookies to acclimate to the NFL. I'm expecting the Raiders to ride Josh Jacobs this week, which limits Carr's ceiling, which never really is that high anyway, especially on the road where he's thrown more than two touchdowns just six times during his six-year career. He's a fine floor play for those looking for 15 points but there are likely streamers out there who are just as safe with a higher ceiling.
Jacob Wayne
Lineups
Tampa Bay struggled to deal with the Saints' passing offense last season with either Drew Brees or Teddy Bridgewater at QB - in two games, one start for each guy, they averaged about 24 fantasy points. Brees will benefit from the addition of Emmanuel Sanders as the veteran receiver will help draw some defensive attention away from the All-Pro Michael Thomas. This game has one of the higher projected combined point totals on the week and should provide a friendly environment for fantasy production.The Panthers were actually a pretty solid passing defense last season as they ranked top-12 for both passing touchdowns against and passer rating against and also finished with the 2nd-most sacks. After losing Luke Kuechly and James Bradberry over the offseason, though, the Panthers will be reliant on plenty of rookies and unproven players. Derek Carr had 19+ fantasy points on five separate occasions last season and will benefit from the added talent in the pass-catching corps, particularly rookies Bryan Edwards and Henry Ruggs. The Panthers are likely going to struggle defensively out of the gate and I expect Carr to take advantage.
Kyle Yates
FantasyPros
Brees is back for another season and he's got a loaded receiving corps at his disposal. Brees is an enticing start this week in what should be a high-scoring affair against Tom Brady and the Bucs. Points should be going up on the board in this one and Brees should be in your starting lineup. 
Isaiah Sirois
FantasyPros
 Carr is a mid-tier QB2 this week. Yes, he has a bevy of new weapons in Las Vegas, as the team drafted both Bryan Edwards to Henry Ruggs, but I don't know if the offense will work things out by Week 1. What's worse for Carr's outlook is that the Panthers allowed opposing offenses to run all over them last year. That means the Raiders may not need to pass, reducing Carr's upside.
Derek Lofland
FantasyPros
The Bucs allowed the 9th most points to fantasy quarterbacks last year, but their defense was consistently put in bad positions with Jameis Winston throwing 30 interceptions. This is a new look Bucs team with Tom Brady, but I still think Brees is a QB1 at home.