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Justin Herbert or Tom Brady

Who Should I Start? - Week 1


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Player Summaries Comparison
 
Experts' Pick
 
 
Tom Brady
QB - TB
Tom Brady
Tom Brady
QB - TB
at NO, Sun 4pm EDT
at CIN, Sun 4pm EDT
 
 
Default player image

Expert
Recommendation


Updated: Sep 29th, 2020
100%
Recommended by
186 of 186 experts
0%
Recommended by
0 of 186 experts
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Rankings 
    
ECR# 13# 35-
Best Rank# 3# 34-
Worst Rank# 25# 55-
    
Matchup 
    
Opponent at NO at CIN-
Matchup RatingThis is a 3 star matchup. QBs perform close to their average vs NOThis is a 5 star matchup. QBs perform better than their average vs CIN-
    
    
Stats Allowed   
Pass Comp20.821.3
Pass Yds217241.2
Pass TD1.82
    
Fantasy Points 
    
Season Total389.9342.8-
Avg Game21.722.9-
2019 Average21.722.9-
    
Misc 
    
Injury Alert-
Weather-
    
Expert Ranks 
Tom BradyJustin HerbertAdd Player
    
Scott AtkinsS. Atkins
FullTime Fantasy
09/29
#4-
    
Husein ShabazzH. Shabazz
SleeperWire
09/13
#11-
    
Michael TomlinM. Tomlin
Fantasy Six Pack
09/13
#12-
    
Steven SpaccarotelliS. Spac...
SleeperWire
09/13
#16-
    
Nathan JahnkeN. Jahnke
Pro Football Focus
09/13
#12-
    
Joe BondJ. Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
09/13
#12-
    
Marc CavigliaM. Cavi...
Bruno Boys
09/13
#13-
    
Patrick ThormanP. Thorman
Establish the Run
09/10
#11#40-
    
Justin GeorgeJ. George
Take Your League
09/10
#16-
    
Wolf of Roto StreetW. of R...
Roto Street Journal
09/13
#7-
    
Nick HumphreysN. Hump...
Fantasy Victors
09/10
#13-
    
Kevin HansonK. Hanson
EDSFootball
09/10
#13-
    
Michael HauffM. Hauff
Gridiron Experts
09/13
#13-
    
Raju ByfieldR. Byfield
Win My Fantasy League
09/13
#15-
    
Mike WrightM. Wright
The Fantasy Footballers
09/13
#18#34-
    
Matthew HillM. Hill
DataForce Fantasy Football
09/13
#10-
    
Sean KoernerS. Koerner
The Action Network
09/13
#14-
    
Jamie CalandroJ. Cala...
Fantasy Team Advice
09/13
#10-
    
Andy HollowayA. Holl...
The Fantasy Footballers
09/13
#11#36-
    
Anthony CervinoA. Cervino
Gridiron Experts
09/13
#12#35-
    
Jason MooreJ. Moore
The Fantasy Footballers
09/13
#13-
    
Jacob W. DunneJ. W. D...
New Life Fantasy
09/09
#8-
    
Todd D ClarkT. D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
09/13
#12-
    
Elvin RyanE. Ryan
The Pregame HQ
09/10
#15-
    
Jacob GibbsJ. Gibbs
SportsLine
09/13
#12-
    
Matt BrandonM. Brandon
Matt Brandon
08/10
#8#37-
    
Craig PhillipsC. Phil...
FF Prophet
09/13
#13-
    
Dennis SosicD. Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
09/13
#13-
    
Seth MillerS. Miller
Crossroads Fantasy Football
09/13
#9#35-
    
Kyle RichardsonK. Rich...
The Fantasy Headliners
09/13
#11#35-
    
Ryan SkolrudR. Skolrud
SkullKing Sports
09/13
#11-
    
Adrian AlpansequeA. Alpa...
Estadio Fantasy
09/09
#14#35-
    
Mike RigzM. Rigz
Gridiron Experts
09/13
#7#35-
    
Seth KleinS. Klein
Fantrax
09/13
#13-
    
Rudy GambleR. Gamble
Razzball
09/13
#10#55-
    
Kevin WheelerK. Wheeler
The Draft Zone
09/13
#12#35-
    
Mick CiallelaM. Cial...
Fantrax
09/10
#13-
    
Dan YanotchkoD. Yano...
EDSFootball
09/13
#10-
    
Scott SprattS. Spratt
Football Outsiders
09/13
#4-
    
David BiggsD. Biggs
Drink Five
09/10
#15-
    
Steven PintadoS. Pintado
The Fantasy Coaches
09/10
#14#35-
    
Rich PiazzaR. Piazza
Fantasy Shed
09/09
#12-
    
Pat FitzmauriceP. Fitz...
The Football Girl
09/10
#15#35-
    
Muntradamus M.
Beast Dome
09/13
#12-
    
Staff RankingsS. Rank...
Roto Ranks
09/13
#12#35-
    
Heath CummingsH. Cumm...
CBS Sports
09/13
#13-
    
Jake ArthurJ. Arthur
Colts.com
09/13
#11-
    
Dylan ChappineD. Chap...
Wolf Sports
09/13
#6#35-
    
Brandon FunstonB. Funston
The Athletic
09/13
#12-
    
Andy VandaA. Vanda
Take Your League
09/12
#16-
    
Jonathan StoneJ. Stone
The Hateful 8
09/13
#13#35-
    
Zachary HanshewZ. Hanshew
FantasyPros
09/13
#9-
    
Matt De LimaM. De Lima
Sports Illustrated
09/13
#13#34-
    
Jody SmithJ. Smith
FantasyData
09/10
#12#35-
    
Jake CielyJ. Ciely
The Athletic
09/12
#12-
    
Jeff RatcliffeJ. Ratc...
FTN
09/13
#11-
    
Brian StraitB. Strait
FTLS Fantasy Football
09/13
#9#35-
    
Tal MalachovskyT. Mala...
The Fantasy Scout
09/13
#20#35-
    
Bill EnrightB. Enright
Sports Illustrated
09/13
#13#36-
    
Kevin TompkinsK. Tomp...
Fighting Chance Fantasy
09/13
#11-
    
Adam PfeiferA. Pfeifer
FTN
09/08
#13-
    
Donkey TeethD. Teeth
Razzball
09/10
#7#36-
    
Jason WillanJ. Willan
Gridiron Experts
09/13
#16-
    
Site RankingsS. Rank...
FullTime Fantasy
09/13
#4-
    
Greg SmithG. Smith
TwoQBs
09/13
#13#35-
    
Matthew FreedmanM. Free...
The Action Network
09/10
#17-
    
Tozzi BrothersT. Brot...
Legion Report
09/09
#10-
    
Mauricio GutierrezM. Guti...
Estadio Fantasy
09/12
#13-
    
Robert WaziakR. Waziak
The Fantasy Footballers
09/10
#15-
    
Christopher DellC. Dell
Betting Predators
09/13
#25-
    
Jason PetropoulosJ. Petr...
BRoto Fantasy
09/13
#16-
    
Isaiah SiroisI. Sirois
FantasyPros
09/13
#13-
    
Heath CappsH. Capps
Fake Teams
09/13
#11-
    
Mundo Fantasy MXM. Fant...
Mundo Fantasy
09/11
#13#34-
    
Bart WheelerB. Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
09/13
#16-
    
Elisha TwerskiE. Twerski
numberFire
09/13
#12-
    
Justin DoddsJ. Dodds
SleeperWire
09/09
#10-
    
Tyler OrginskiT. Orgi...
Fantasy Hot Read
09/13
#13#34-
    
Dave MajorD. Major
XN Sports
09/13
#13-
    
Jon CollinsJ. Collins
Fantasy Sports LR
09/12
#12-
    
Donald GibsonD. Gibson
FantasyPros
09/13
#12-
    
Nick MarianoN. Mariano
RotoBaller
09/13
#12-
    
Staff RankingsS. Rank...
Important Nonsense
09/10
#12-
    
Mike TagliereM. Tagl...
FantasyPros
09/13
#17-
    
Tommy MoliooT. Molioo
The Undroppables
09/09
#12-
    
Andrew SeifterA. Seifter
FantasyPros
09/11
#13-
    
Neema HodjatN. Hodjat
Real GM
09/09
#11-
    
Andy SingletonA. Sing...
Expand The Boxscore
09/13
#13#34-
    
Ryan NoonanR. Noonan
FTN
09/13
#13-
    
Eric MoodyE. Moody
FantasyData
09/13
#13-
    
Dominick PetrilloD. Petr...
Fantasy Hot Read
09/09
#12-
    
Tim JablonskiT. Jabl...
The Hateful 8
09/13
#13-
    
Matthew BoweM. Bowe
Razzball
09/13
#11-
    
Clayton CadieuxC. Cadieux
Fantasy Football From Up North
09/12
#13-
    
Chris KennedyC. Kennedy
The Fantasy Headliners
09/13
#13-
    
Jacob HubmanJ. Hubman
The Fantasy Headliners
09/13
#10-
    
Dan McLellanD. McLe...
WBLZ Media
09/10
#16-
    
Jose Ramon LlacaJ. Ramo...
Estadio Fantasy
09/07
#10-
    
Justin SablichJ. Sablich
5th Down Fantasy
09/13
#15-
    
Staff RankingsS. Rank...
QB List
09/12
#12-
    
Nick ZylakN. Zylak
Fantasy Football Advice
09/13
#13#34-
    
Matt SchaufM. Schauf
Draft Sharks
09/10
#12-
    
Michael PetropoulosM. Petr...
BRoto Fantasy
09/09
#13-
    
Jared SmolaJ. Smola
Draft Sharks
09/13
#13-
    
Jeff PaurJ. Paur
RTSports
09/10
#6-
    
Richard SavillR. Savill
Fantasy Six Pack
09/12
#8-
    
Derek LoflandD. Lofland
FantasyPros
09/09
#13-
    
Brandon MurchisonB. Murc...
RotoBaller
09/13
#18-
    
Mike RandleM. Randle
BettingPros
09/10
#13-
    
Scott SmithS. Smith
RotoViz
09/13
#15-
    
Doug NorrieD. Norrie
Daily Fantasy Sports Rankings
09/13
#11-
    
Mike HarmonM. Harmon
Swollen Dome
09/13
#11-
    
Chet GreshamC. Gresham
DK Nation
09/10
#12-
    
Matthew BetzM. Betz
BallBlast
09/13
#12-
    
Dan HarrisD. Harris
FantasyPros
09/13
#14-
    
Jordan RainsJ. Rains
Expand The Boxscore
09/13
#10#35-
    
Ken ZalisK. Zalis
Pressbox
09/08
#13-
    
Kelly SmelserK. Smelser
Punch Drunk Wonderland
09/13
#13-
    
Lukas KacerL. Kacer
The Fantasy Stock Exchange
09/13
#9-
    
Dalton Del DonD. Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
09/13
#19-
    
Kyle AugustK. August
Fantasy Football Smackdown
09/13
#15-
    
Lawrence JacksonL. Jackson
Fantasy Football Lord
09/13
#14-
    
Des BielerD. Bieler
The Washington Post
09/13
#12-
    
Francisco (Chato) RomeroF. (Cha...
Estadio Fantasy
09/13
#12#34-
    
Scott PianowskiS. Pian...
Yahoo! Sports
09/13
#14-
    
Scott WhitfieldS. Whit...
Roto Rankings
09/13
#10-
    
09/10
#12-
    
Frank StampflF. Stampfl
CBS Sports
09/13
#13-
    
Mike MacGregorM. MacG...
Draft Buddy
09/12
#12-
    
Andrew EricksonA. Eric...
Pro Football Focus
09/13
#9-
    
Thor AkerleyT. Akerley
Fantasy Team Advice
09/13
#11-
    
Davis MattekD. Mattek
RotoExperts
09/13
#12-
    
Jacob WayneJ. Wayne
Lineups
09/09
#13-
    
Liz LozaL. Loza
Yahoo! Sports
09/13
#14-
    
Gerson AguirreG. Aguirre
Going For 2
09/07
#13#34-
    
Alex BlickleA. Blickle
Fantasy Team Advice
09/13
#11-
    
Jeff BoggisJ. Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
09/13
#13-
    
09/13
#13-
    
Justin WeigalJ. Weigal
FantasySharks
09/13
#9-
    
Zach BrunnerZ. Brunner
FlurrySports
09/13
#15-
    
Matt CampM. Camp
Bleacher Report
09/13
#13-
    
Kyle YatesK. Yates
FantasyPros
09/09
#13-
    
Dan ClasgensD. Clas...
Get Sports Info
09/13
#12-
    
Jamey EisenbergJ. Eise...
CBS Sports
09/11
#14-
    
Andy BehrensA. Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
09/12
#14-
    
Drew DeLucaD. DeLuca
NFL Spinzone
09/13
#16-
    
Kate MagdziukK. Magd...
BallBlast
09/12
#14-
    
Michelle MagdziukM. Magd...
BallBlast
09/10
#17-
    
Ben WasleyB. Wasley
The Fantasy First Down
09/13
#12-
    
Kyle EnglishK. English
Reality Sports
09/10
#15-
    
Dave RichardD. Richard
CBS Sports
09/12
#15-
    
Scott EngelS. Engel
RotoBaller
09/12
#11-
    
DailyRotoD.
DailyRoto
09/13
#16#35-
    
Aaron LarsonA. Larson
FantasyPros
09/09
#13-
    
John PaulsenJ. Paulsen
4for4.com
09/13
#13-
    
Jason SablichJ. Sablich
5th Down Fantasy
09/04
#13#35-
    
Site ProjectionsS. Proj...
numberFire
09/13
#16-
    
Elliot Berkovits E. Berk...
Packer Report
09/13
#12-
    
Ellis JohnsonE. Johnson
True North Fantasy Football
09/13
#11#34-
    
Huseyin AksuH. Aksu
Fantasy Couch
09/13
#15-
    
Richard KingR. King
King Fantasy Sports
09/10
#10#35-
    
Chris MeaneyC. Meaney
FTN
09/09
#10-
    
Walter CherepinskyW. Cher...
WalterFootball
09/01
#9-
    
Mike KruegerM. Krueger
FFToday
09/09
#10-
    
Pierre CamusP. Camus
RotoBaller
09/10
#9-
    
Geoff LambertG. Lambert
Going For 2
09/13
#14#35-
    
John HestermanJ. Hest...
Dynasty League Football
09/10
#12-
    
Matt MacCoyM. MacCoy
Fantasy Team Advice
09/12
#9-
    
Matt HarmonM. Harmon
Yahoo! Sports
09/08
#15-
    
Tim PetropoulosT. Petr...
BRoto Fantasy
09/12
#15-
    
Zach GreubelZ. Greubel
Gridiron Experts
09/11
#13-
    
Nicholas YouN. You
The Undroppables
09/11
#8-
    
Chris RaybonC. Raybon
The Action Network
09/13
#13-
    
Justin BooneJ. Boone
theScore
09/10
#12-
    
Dariyan MayburyD. Maybury
Fantasy Football Advice
09/10
#12-
    
The FFGhostT. FFGhost
Dynasty League Football
09/10
#12-
    
Jonathan HaysJ. Hays
Fantasy Foresight
09/10
#11#35-
    
Kevin ScottK. Scott
The Intersecting
09/10
#9#35-
    
Adam MurfetA. Murfet
5 Yard Rush
09/10
#9-
    
John FergusonJ. Ferg...
FantasyData
09/10
#9-
    
Frank BonincontriF. Boni...
Fantasy Wire HQ
09/09
#12#36-
    
Blake FincherB. Fincher
Fantasy Football Cafe
09/09
#12-
    
Morgan ColbyM. Colby
The Fantasy Champions
09/08
#11-
    
SmittyS.
SleeperU
09/08
#3-
    
Brad EvansB. Evans
FTN
09/07
#12-
    
Kevin RobertsK. Roberts
Breaking Football
09/10
#6-
    
Player Game Logs Comparison
 
Tom Brady
QB - TB
Tom Brady
Tom Brady
QB - TB
2020 Schedule 
Week 1 at NO at CIN
Week 2 vs. CAR vs. KC
Week 3 at DEN vs. CAR
Week 4 vs. LAC at TB
Week 5 at CHI at NO
Week 6 vs. GBBYE WEEK
Week 7 at LV vs. JAC
Week 8 at NYG at DEN
Week 9 vs. NO vs. LV
Week 10 at CAR at MIA
Week 11 vs. LAR vs. NYJ
Week 12 vs. KC at BUF
Week 13BYE WEEK vs. NE
Week 14 vs. MIN vs. ATL
Week 15 at ATL at LV
Week 16 at DET vs. DEN
Week 17 vs. ATL at KC
Player Fantasy Points Comparison
 
Tom Brady
QB - TB
Tom Brady
Tom Brady
QB - TB
2020 Points 
Week 122.5
Week 29.723.2
Week 323.915.7
Week 433.524.0
Week 514.127.4
Week 614.6
Week 736.938.5
Week 819.123.2
Week 95.423.4
Week 1031.821.5
Week 1114.627.7
Week 1223.717.4
Week 136.4
Week 1415.616.7
Week 1523.428.0
Week 1629.916.7
Week 1731.333.0
Total389.9342.8
Average21.722.9
Notes for Player Combination
 
Tom Brady
QB - TB
Tom Brady
Tom Brady
QB - TB
at NO, Sun 4pm EDT
at CIN, Sun 4pm EDT
Expert 
Zachary Hanshew
FantasyPros
Despite his perceived "fall off" last season, Brady actually finished as a QB1 in 2019 with one of the worst group of skill-position players in the league. Now, he has his old pal Gronk back in his sights along with the dynamic duo of Chris Godwin and Mike Evans and a strong run game. In a great matchup with NO in Week 1, Brady should be a quality play in his first game as a Buccaneer. 
Jacob Wayne
Lineups
Tom Brady will be opening up his tenure with the Buccaneers with a massive showdown against new division rival Saints. New Orleans allowed the 12th-most fantasy points to quarterbacks last year as they often found themselves playing prevent defense late in games. I think both of these teams could open up a little slower than we expect them to and I'm worried about Brady needing time to adjust to his new offense after no preseason and limited training camp. Brady is likely going to finish as a QB1 this year with all of the weapons at his disposal, but there are a handful of quarterbacks I like more than him this week. 
Kyle Yates
FantasyPros
It's going to be insanely strange to see Brady trot out onto the field in a different uniform, but he's absolutely set up to succeed here in Tampa. This game should be a high-scoring affair, which means that fantasy points are going to be going up everywhere. The Saints are a very tough matchup, which knocks Brady down just outside QB1 territory in my rankings, but he's still someone worth looking at in 1QB leagues. 
Mike Tagliere
FantasyPros
It'll be weird seeing Brady with the Bucs uniform on in a real game, but this is what 2020 has brought us. It's not an easy one, though. The Saints defense is one of the best in the league, and they've only gotten better this offseason. They've added safety Malcolm Jenkins, as well as third-round linebacker Zack Baun to their potent defense that allowed just a 61.5 percent completion-rate and 6.92 yards per pass attempt in 2019. Don't forget about the addition at the end of last season either, as Janoris Jenkins was added to the cornerback unit. They did allow 26 passing touchdowns, though a lot of that comes from volume, as they faced 602 pass attempts last year. It is worth noting that the Saints defense allowed 23.2 points per game while at home compared to just 19.8 points per game on the road. Playing in the dome does typically help quarterbacks, and the Saints do score more there, leading to some garbage time stats for opponents. The 49.5-point over/under doesn't suggest this will be a crazy high-scoring contest, though. As a divisional game, it'll probably be tight. Jameis Winston completed 45-of-78 passes for 517 yards and four touchdowns during the two meetings last year, so it's not a must-avoid matchup or anything with Bruce Arians' offensive scheme. Still, there's some downside risk to this being a tough matchup in Brady's first game as a Bucs player. I'd consider him a mid-to-high-end QB2 for this week. I don't really want to play him in tournaments and don't think he's safe enough for cash. 
Derek Lofland
FantasyPros
The Saints were 21st against fantasy quarterbacks last year, it seems strange to say that Brady needs to prove anything at this point in his career. Given how poorly he played at 42-years old, I need to see that he still has enough left in the tank before I am going to rank him as a QB1.