Kyler Murray or Philip Rivers
Who Should I Start? - Week 1
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Experts' Pick | |||
Kyler Murray QB - ARI  Kyler Murray QB - ARI at SF, Sun 4pm EDT |
Philip Rivers QB - IND  Philip Rivers QB - IND at JAC, Sun 1pm EDT |
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Expert |
99% Recommended by 184 of 186 experts |
1% Recommended by 2 of 186 experts |
Add Player |
| Most Accurate Experts | |||
| Top ExpertsTop QB ExpertsTop Player Experts |  See who the Most Accurate Experts would startUpgrade Now | ||
| Rankings | |||
| ECR | # 10 | # 23 | - |
| Best Rank | # 4 | # 11 | - |
| Worst Rank | # 19 | # 32 | - |
| Matchup | |||
| Opponent | at SF | at JAC | - |
| Matchup Rating | This is a 2 star matchup. QBs perform a little worse than their average vs SF | This is a 4 star matchup. QBs perform a litter better than their average vs JAC | - |
| Stats Allowed | |||
| Pass Comp | 21.3 | 23.1 | |
| Pass Yds | 207.9 | 264.4 | |
| Pass TD | 1.6 | 2.1 | |
| Fantasy Points | |||
| Season Total | 390.7 | 251.0 | - |
| Avg Game | 24.4 | 15.7 | - |
| 2019 Average | 24.4 | 15.7 | - |
| Misc | |||
| Injury Alert | ‐ | ‐ | - |
| Weather | ‐ | Indoor | - |
| Expert Ranks | |||
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Kyler Murray | Philip Rivers | Add Player |
09/29 | #9 | #22 | - |
09/13 | #14 | #24 | - |
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09/08 | #12 | #23 | - |
09/10 | #5 | #26 | - |
09/13 | #11 | #24 | - |
09/13 | #12 | #22 | - |
09/13 | #7 | #22 | - |
09/10 | #5 | #14 | - |
09/09 | #11 | #21 | - |
09/12 | #11 | #25 | - |
09/10 | #12 | #24 | - |
09/13 | #8 | #29 | - |
09/13 | #11 | #26 | - |
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09/13 | #12 | #23 | - |
09/11 | #7 | #25 | - |
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09/09 | #11 | #19 | - |
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09/13 | #11 | #22 | - |
09/10 | #9 | #26 | - |
09/13 | #8 | #24 | - |
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09/11 | #10 | #23 | - |
09/09 | #13 | #19 | - |
09/13 | #10 | #21 | - |
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09/09 | #14 | #26 | - |
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09/12 | #11 | #25 | - |
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09/07 | #11 | #16 | - |
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09/07 | #11 | #24 | - |
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09/13 | #11 | #23 | - |
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09/13 | #11 | #22 | - |
09/11 | #12 | #20 | - |
09/12 | #11 | #18 | - |
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09/12 | #8 | #25 | - |
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09/12 | #8 | #28 | - |
09/13 | #18 | #14 | - |
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09/04 | #11 | #18 | - |
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09/13 | #11 | #23 | - |
09/13 | #14 | #27 | - |
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09/10 | #9 | #26 | - |
09/09 | #11 | #23 | - |
09/01 | #10 | #11 | - |
09/09 | #8 | #18 | - |
09/10 | #11 | #17 | - |
09/13 | #9 | #21 | - |
09/10 | #10 | #20 | - |
09/08 | #14 | #24 | - |
09/12 | #10 | #23 | - |
09/12 | #8 | #22 | - |
09/11 | #12 | #23 | - |
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09/13 | #10 | #23 | - |
09/10 | #13 | #23 | - |
09/10 | #11 | #23 | - |
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09/10 | #19 | #18 | - |
09/10 | #6 | #23 | - |
09/10 | #11 | #15 | - |
09/10 | #12 | #15 | - |
09/09 | #10 | #22 | - |
09/09 | #10 | #23 | - |
09/08 | #10 | #25 | - |
09/08 | #5 | #26 | - |
09/07 | #13 | #25 | - |
09/10 | #9 | #24 | - |
Kyler Murray QB - ARI Kyler Murray QB - ARI | Philip Rivers QB - IND Philip Rivers QB - IND | |
| 2020 Schedule | ||
| Week 1 | at SF | at JAC |
| Week 2 | vs. WAS | vs. MIN |
| Week 3 | vs. DET | vs. NYJ |
| Week 4 | at CAR | at CHI |
| Week 5 | at NYJ | at CLE |
| Week 6 | at DAL | vs. CIN |
| Week 7 | vs. SEA | BYE WEEK |
| Week 8 | BYE WEEK | at DET |
| Week 9 | vs. MIA | vs. BAL |
| Week 10 | vs. BUF | at TEN |
| Week 11 | at SEA | vs. GB |
| Week 12 | at NE | vs. TEN |
| Week 13 | vs. LAR | at HOU |
| Week 14 | at NYG | at LV |
| Week 15 | vs. PHI | vs. HOU |
| Week 16 | vs. SF | at PIT |
| Week 17 | at LAR | vs. JAC |
Kyler Murray QB - ARI Kyler Murray QB - ARI | Philip Rivers QB - IND Philip Rivers QB - IND | |
| 2020 Points | ||
| Week 1 | 27.3 | 16.8 |
| Week 2 | 33.1 | 11.9 |
| Week 3 | 24.7 | 12.7 |
| Week 4 | 23.1 | 11.2 |
| Week 5 | 27.3 | 7.6 |
| Week 6 | 28.9 | 25.7 |
| Week 7 | 38.1 | ‐ |
| Week 8 | ‐ | 22.3 |
| Week 9 | 37.9 | 8.1 |
| Week 10 | 30.9 | 16.3 |
| Week 11 | 20.3 | 22.4 |
| Week 12 | 8.9 | 18.8 |
| Week 13 | 17.4 | 19.2 |
| Week 14 | 18.5 | 17.8 |
| Week 15 | 34.1 | 17.0 |
| Week 16 | 16.4 | 11.8 |
| Week 17 | 3.8 | 11.4 |
| Total | 390.7 | 251.0 |
| Average | 24.4 | 15.7 |
Kyler Murray QB - ARI Kyler Murray QB - ARI at SF, Sun 4pm EDT |
Philip Rivers QB - IND Philip Rivers QB - IND at JAC, Sun 1pm EDT |
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| Expert | ||
| Isaiah Sirois FantasyPros | Rivers is a high-end QB2 this week in his easy matchup against the Jaguars. Jacksonville hasn't performed well against either the run or the pass, and this is a great chance for Rivers to get his career in Indy off to a good start. I'm confident that the Colts will win this game, but that may also cap Rivers' upside -- if they score too many points too quickly, the Colts could pivot and run out the clock, limiting Rivers' upside. | |
| Zachary Hanshew FantasyPros | The Niners defense wasn't a world-beater in 2019 to opposing QBs, but the unit still ranked inside the top-10 in fewest points allowed to the position. Murray got off to an electric start as a rookie last season and got upgrades in DeAndre Hopkins and Kenyan Drake to help him succeed as a sophomore. He should be in for a big year, but it might be best to temper expectations a little in this tough spot. | Rivers will make his Colts debut Sunday against what projects to be one of the worst defenses in the NFL. Though last season's poor showing has many counting him out, Rivers will get the benefit of an elite offensive line, a strong running game, and a respectable group of receivers, making him worth a shot in deeper or 2QB leagues. |
| Mike Tagliere FantasyPros | It's hard to fully trust Murray after closing out the season on a low note, as he didn't top 16.36 fantasy points in each of the last five games), but Murray had two of his best games against the 49ers defense. Odd, right? In the two games against them, he completed 41-of-57 passes for 391 yards and four touchdowns, while rushing for 101 yards and a touchdown. And that was before he had DeAndre Hopkins added to his stable of receivers. The 49ers aren't the same team, either. We watched Richard Sherman wear down during the playoffs (32 years old now), and then they traded away interior lineman DeForest Buckner to the Colts. Don't get me wrong, they're still going to be a very good defense, but I don't think they're getting close to the miniscule 5.90 yards per attempt they allowed last year. It sounds crazy, but there were just two quarterbacks all season who averaged more than 7.4 yards per attempt against the 49ers. Where Murray can benefit (and likely will) is on the ground, as the 49ers allowed the third-most rushing yards and the fifth-most fantasy points to quarterbacks on the ground. Knowing they've had a while to gameplan for this game, I'm guessing Kliff Kingsbury will have a few designed runs for the healthy Murray. It's not | Have we hit the point with Rivers where he's on the decline in his career? I mean, not everyone is Tom Brady or Drew Brees playing well into their 40s. Rivers will turn 39 in December, so it's possible we've already witnessed the beginning of the end. Now insert an offseason that includes no real game action to build chemistry with the receivers, and you might have a disaster. If there's hope, it's the Jaguars defense. Actually, if you wanted to find one game where Rivers played extremely well last year, he completed 16-of-22 passes for 314 yards and three touchdowns against them in Week 14. They were bad enough then, but the Jaguars lost Calais Campbell, Yannick Ngakoue, and A.J. Bouye this offseason. Sure, they tried addressing the defense in the draft, but relying on rookies to start is never a great thing, especially with no NFL preseason action. Rivers has experience in Frank Reich's offense (2014-2015), so it's not all new to him. You can also hang your hat on the fact that the Jaguars allowed 10 quarterbacks to post at least 15.1 fantasy points against them last year. The Colts are projected for 26.5 points in this game, so there's a shot he delivers more value, but as is the case with most players on new teams, I'm approaching with caution. He should offer a decent floor as a middling QB2, but this is likely to be a run-heavy gameplan. |
| Jacob Wayne Lineups | Kyler Murray is one of my favorite quarterbacks in the NFL right now and I'm projecting a significant sophomore leap for him after the addition of DeAndre Hopkins. However, the 49ers are a brutal opening matchup as their defense allowed the fewest passing yards and 10th-fewest fantasy points to QBs. Murray's rushing will give him a solid baseline, but the offensive line is going to need some time to gel and the Niners still have one of the best front sevens in football. I expect a couple of turnovers for Murray this week and I would try to look elsewhere at the position. | We've seen Philip Rivers be a strong fantasy weapon in the past and despite playing behind a porous offensive line last year, he still finished as the QB15 on the season. Now, he'll be playing with a coach he had some of his best years with - Frank Reich. The Colts have one of the best offensive lines in the league and a solid group of pass-catchers. The Jaguars were a brutal defense last year and got worse after losing Calais Campbell, A.J. Bouye, and Yannick Ngakouwe. The biggest concern for Rivers this and most weeks this season is going to be game script - the Colts want to get up early and pound the heck out of the ball rather than relying on Rivers to win them games. |
| Kyle Yates FantasyPros | You most likely drafted Murray as the QB5/QB6 off the board, so you're forced into starting him week one against the 49ers defense. This unit lost DeForest Buckner this offseason, but replaced him with Javon Kinlaw in the first round. Murray should be under pressure essentially all game, which forces me to drop him down my rankings a bit. He's still a fine start, but you need to temper expectations. | |
| Derek Lofland FantasyPros | For some reason, even though the 49ers were 10th against fantasy quarterbacks, the rookie had their number last year. Murray tallied 391 yards passing, 101 yards rushing, 4 passing TDs, and 1 rushing TD in 2 games against the 49ers. He should be a solid QB1 in Week 1, especially with DeAndre Hopkins now in the fold. | Rivers goes against a Jags D that was 19th against fantasy quarterbacks and figures to have one of the worst rosters in the NFL this year. Rivers is an upside play on the road in a great matchup. |
