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Malcolm Brown or Mike Davis

Who Should I Start? - Week 11

Can't Decide? Leave it up to the Fantasy Gods

The Fantasy Gods have spoken. Start {{ state.players[state.winningPlayerIndex].player_name }}

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Player Summaries Comparison
 
Experts' Pick
 
 
Mike Davis
RB - CAR
Mike Davis
Mike Davis
RB - CAR
vs. DET, Sun 1pm EST
Malcolm Brown
RB - LAR
at TB, Mon 8pm EST
 
 
Expert
Recommendation

Updated: Nov 22nd, 2020
100%
Recommended by
156 of 156 experts
0%
Recommended by
0 of 156 experts
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Rankings 
    
ECR# 9# 36-
Best Rank# 6# 28-
Worst Rank# 14# 43-
    
Matchup 
    
Opponent vs. DET at TB-
Matchup RatingThis is a 5 star matchup. RBs perform better than their average vs DETThis is a 1 star matchup. RBs perform worse than their average vs TB-
    
    
Stats Allowed   
Rush Att25.621
Rush Yds115.869.6
Rush TD1.40.7
    
Fantasy Points 
    
Season Total103.474.4-
Avg Game9.48.3-
Avg Projection12.75.4-
Week 104.417.1-
    
Misc 
    
Injury Alert-
Weather48 F, Clear67 F, Clear-
    
Expert Ranks 
Mike DavisMalcolm BrownAdd Player
    
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The Fantasy Footballers
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1 d
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Estadio Fantasy
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Mike RigzM. Rigz
Gridiron Experts
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Doug NorrieD. Norrie
Daily Fantasy Sports Rankings
1 d
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Jonathan HaysJ. Hays
Fantasy Foresight
1 d
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Jeff PaurJ. Paur
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1 d
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Elliot Berkovits E. Berk...
Packer Report
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Yahoo! Sports
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1 d
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Steven PintadoS. Pintado
The Fantasy Coaches
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Andy BehrensA. Behrens
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numberFire
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Eric MoodyE. Moody
FantasyData
2 d
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Richard SavillR. Savill
Fantasy Six Pack
2 d
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Jon CollinsJ. Collins
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2 d
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Walter CherepinskyW. Cher...
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2 d
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Mike KruegerM. Krueger
FFToday
2 d
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Kelly SmelserK. Smelser
Punch Drunk Wonderland
2 d
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Scott EngelS. Engel
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2 d
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Mundo Fantasy
3 d
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Geoff LambertG. Lambert
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4 d
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Matt SchaufM. Schauf
Draft Sharks
4 d
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Important Nonsense
4 d
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Scott WhitfieldS. Whit...
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4 d
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Zach BrunnerZ. Brunner
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4 d
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Kyle AugustK. August
Fantasy Football Smackdown
4 d
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SmittyS.
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Michael TomlinM. Tomlin
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Kevin RobertsK. Roberts
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Player Game Logs Comparison
 
Mike Davis
RB - CAR
Mike Davis
Mike Davis
RB - CAR
Malcolm Brown
RB - LAR
2020 Schedule 
Week 1 vs. LV
0 rush, 0 yds, 0 td
vs. DAL
18 rush, 79 yds, 2 td
4 tar, 3 rec, 31 yds, 0 td
Week 2 at TB
1 rush, 1 yds, 0 td
8 tar, 8 rec, 74 yds, 0 td
at PHI
11 rush, 47 yds, 0 td
Week 3 at LAC
13 rush, 46 yds, 0 td
9 tar, 8 rec, 45 yds, 1 td
at BUF
7 rush, 19 yds, 0 td
2 tar, 0 rec, 0 yds, 0 td
Week 4 vs. ARI
16 rush, 84 yds, 1 td
6 tar, 5 rec, 27 yds, 0 td
vs. NYG
9 rush, 38 yds, 0 td
6 tar, 5 rec, 19 yds, 0 td
Week 5 at ATL
16 rush, 89 yds, 0 td
10 tar, 9 rec, 60 yds, 1 td
at WAS
8 rush, 30 yds, 0 td
2 tar, 1 rec, -6 yds, 0 td
Week 6 vs. CHI
18 rush, 52 yds, 1 td
3 tar, 2 rec, 3 yds, 0 td
at SF
2 rush, 4 yds, 0 td
4 tar, 3 rec, 18 yds, 0 td
Week 7 at NO
7 rush, 12 yds, 0 td
5 tar, 5 rec, 24 yds, 0 td
vs. CHI
10 rush, 57 yds, 1 td
1 tar, 0 rec, 0 yds, 0 td
Week 8 vs. ATL
13 rush, 66 yds, 0 td
2 tar, 1 rec, 11 yds, 0 td
at MIA
10 rush, 40 yds, 0 td
2 tar, 2 rec, 17 yds, 0 td
Week 9 at KC
1 rush, 3 yds, 0 td
6 tar, 5 rec, 34 yds, 0 td
BYE WEEK
Week 10 vs. TB
7 rush, 32 yds, 0 td
5 tar, 4 rec, 12 yds, 0 td
vs. SEA
6 rush, 33 yds, 2 td
2 tar, 2 rec, 18 yds, 0 td
Week 11 vs. DET at TB
Week 12 at MIN vs. SF
Week 13BYE WEEK at ARI
Week 14 vs. DEN vs. NE
Week 15 at GB vs. NYJ
Week 16 at WAS at SEA
Week 17 vs. NO vs. ARI
Player Projections Comparison
 
Mike Davis
RB - CAR
Mike Davis
Mike Davis
RB - CAR
vs. DET, Sun 1pm EST
Malcolm Brown
RB - LAR
at TB, Mon 8pm EST
Rushing
   
Rush Attempts13.58.0
Rush Yards58.431.9
Rush TDs0.60.2
   
Receiving
   
Receptions3.71.5
Rec Yards27.010.4
Rec TDs0.20.0
   
Points
   
Fantasy Points12.75.4
   
Player Fantasy Points Comparison
 
Mike Davis
RB - CAR
Mike Davis
Mike Davis
RB - CAR
Malcolm Brown
RB - LAR
2020 Points 
Week 10.023.0
Week 27.54.7
Week 315.11.9
Week 417.15.7
Week 520.92.4
Week 69.52.2
Week 73.611.7
Week 87.75.7
Week 93.7
Week 104.417.1
Week 1113.9
Week 12
Week 13
Week 14
Week 15
Week 16
Week 17
Total103.474.4
Average9.48.3
Player Targets Comparison
 
Mike Davis
RB - CAR
Mike Davis
Mike Davis
RB - CAR
Malcolm Brown
RB - LAR
2020 Targets 
Week 104
Week 280
Week 392
Week 466
Week 5102
Week 634
Week 751
Week 822
Week 96
Week 1052
Week 112
Week 12
Week 13
Week 14
Week 15
Week 16
Week 17
Notes for Player Combination
 
Mike Davis
RB - CAR
Mike Davis
Mike Davis
RB - CAR
vs. DET, Sun 1pm EST
Malcolm Brown
RB - LAR
at TB, Mon 8pm EST
Expert 
Mike Tagliere
FantasyPros
We heard last week that McCaffrey had "a chance to play" in Week 11, but that's quickly went south as the latest reports are saying that he's likely going to be held out through their bye in Week 13. We knew the Week 10 matchup against the Bucs was going to be tough, and Davis was forced to leave with an injury to his finger, which certainly didn't help his ability to catch passes, which is where he needed to make value. In games that McCaffrey has missed, Davis has totaled 130 of the 163 available opportunities to Panthers running backs (80 percent), so when you see the Lions opponents have averaged 31.7 touches, you should be getting excited. If you take a look at the Lions competition this year and look at their points-per-game averages, you'd learn that the Lions are allowing 9.3 more fantasy points per game to those running backs than they typically average. That's the most in the NFL, as no other team is over 7.0 points per game. Of the 84.5 PPR points the Lions allow to skill-position players, 42.5 percent of them go to the running back position, which is the second-highest percentage in the league. In fact, the Packers and the Lions are the only two teams who've allowed more than 38 percent of that production go to running backs. Wide receivers facing the Lions are outscoring running backs by just 1.2 PPR points per game, which is the lowest mark in the league, while the Packers are the only other team with a number less than 6.1 points per game. When you add all of this together, you get a matchup that's produced a league-leading 35.9 PPR points per game. That's a full 4.3 PPR points per game than the closest team (Packers). They've allowed more rushing (13) and receiving (5) touchdowns to running backs than any team in the league. The best part is that they've allowed more fantasy points per game through the air (14.1) to running backs than any other team in the league, which is where Davis has really shined. Whew, that was a lot of ways to say, "start Mike Davis this week as an RB1."In case you needed a reminder about why I've been saying to sell your shares of Henderson, last week highlighted my concerns. Sean McVay has legitimately told us he wants to model the Rams run game after Kyle Shanahan's offense in San Francisco. What better way to do that than start a three-way timeshare? The snaps were Brown 29, Henderson 23, and Akers 18, while the touches were Akers 10, Brown 8, and Henderson 8. Yeah, not great. The Bucs have not only seen a minuscule 19.0 carries per game on the ground, but even when running backs get carries, they don't amount to much. They've allowed just 3.01 yards per carry on the season, which is easily the best mark in the NFL and a repeat of what they did last year. Production has been rare to come by on the ground against the Bucs (4th-fewest fantasy points allowed on the ground), but running backs are averaging a rather-high 22.9 percent target share against them, which ranks fourth in the league. That's the reason they've allowed a league-high 66 receptions to the running back position. On the season, Brown has run 170 routes, while Henderson has run 85, and Akers has run 21, so this is clearly a benefit to Brown. The Bucs have allowed 13.4 PPR points per game through the air alone to running backs, which is the third-most in the league. It's odd to say but Brown might have the most value this week, though Henderson is right there, as he's still involved in the passing game a little bit and gets 47.1 percent of the carries inside the five-yard line, but both are just RB3-type options this week. Akers is moving up the board, but given his lack of involvement through the air, he's just a RB4/5.
Derek Lofland
FantasyPros
Davis has slowed in his recent games, even before CMC returned to action 2 weeks ago. CMC has already been ruled out for this week, which makes Davis a great play against the Lions 32nd ranked fantasy RB defense. 
Kyle Yates
FantasyPros
With Christian McCaffrey out another week, Davis will get the nod as the starter yet again. Davis left last week's contest early with an injury, but he did return later on in the game. Davis should be viewed as a great play this week against the Lions run defense. Plug him into your lineup as a low-end RB1 with upside yet again.