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Mike Davis or Todd Gurley II

Who Should I Start? - Week 12

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Player Summaries Comparison
 
Experts' Pick
 
 
Mike Davis
RB - CAR
Mike Davis
Mike Davis
RB - CAR
at MIN, Sun 1pm EST
vs. LV, Sun 1pm EST
OUT
 
 
Expert
Recommendation

Updated: Nov 27th, 2020
100%
Recommended by
146 of 146 experts
0%
Recommended by
0 of 146 experts
Add Player
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Rankings 
    
ECR# 10-
Best Rank# 5-
Worst Rank# 15-
    
Matchup 
    
Opponent at MIN vs. LV-
Matchup RatingThis is a 3 star matchup. RBs perform close to their average vs MINThis is a 4 star matchup. RBs perform better than their average vs LV-
    
    
Stats Allowed   
Rush Att21.819.6
Rush Yds93.986.2
Rush TD0.51.2
    
Fantasy Points 
    
Season Total103.4123.2-
Avg Game9.412.3-
Avg Projection12.39.6-
Week 1113.92.9-
    
Misc 
    
Injury AlertKnee-
WeatherIndoorIndoor-
    
Expert Ranks 
Mike DavisTodd Gurley IIAdd Player
    
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Pressbox
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Richard SavillR. Savill
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40 m
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Dan HarrisD. Harris
FantasyPros
46 m
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Important Nonsense
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Nick MarianoN. Mariano
RotoBaller
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Matthew BetzM. Betz
BallBlast
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Michael PetropoulosM. Petr...
BRoto Fantasy
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Andrew SeifterA. Seifter
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The Football Girl
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The Fantasy Scout
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Punch Drunk Wonderland
2 h
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Chris RaybonC. Raybon
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Andy BehrensA. Behrens
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Breaking Football
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NFL Spinzone
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Pro Football Focus
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FTN
1 d
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Justin BooneJ. Boone
theScore
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Dave MajorD. Major
XN Sports
1 d
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David ZachD. Zach
FantasyPros
1 d
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Nathan JahnkeN. Jahnke
Pro Football Focus
1 d
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Sean KoernerS. Koerner
The Action Network
1 d
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1 d
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1 d
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1 d
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Kevin WheelerK. Wheeler
The Draft Zone
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1 d
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1 d
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Justin GeorgeJ. George
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1 d
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1 d
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Jason MooreJ. Moore
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1 d
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1 d
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1 d
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1 d
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1 d
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Justin DoddsJ. Dodds
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1 d
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1 d
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Neema HodjatN. Hodjat
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1 d
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Steven SpaccarotelliS. Spac...
SleeperWire
1 d
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Jamie CalandroJ. Cala...
Fantasy Team Advice
1 d
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Huseyin AksuH. Aksu
Fantasy Couch
1 d
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Chris KennedyC. Kennedy
The Fantasy Headliners
1 d
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Andy VandaA. Vanda
Take Your League
1 d
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Andy SingletonA. Sing...
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1 d
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Matt SchaufM. Schauf
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1 d
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Colts.com
1 d
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Eric MoodyE. Moody
FantasyData
1 d
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Brandon FunstonB. Funston
The Athletic
1 d
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Marc CavigliaM. Cavi...
Bruno Boys
1 d
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Michael HauffM. Hauff
Gridiron Experts
1 d
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Robert WaziakR. Waziak
The Fantasy Footballers
1 d
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Alex BlickleA. Blickle
Fantasy Team Advice
1 d
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Nick HumphreysN. Hump...
Fantasy Victors
1 d
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Dennis SosicD. Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
1 d
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Rich PiazzaR. Piazza
Fantasy Shed
1 d
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Fantrax
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Fantasy Football Lord
1 d
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Bill EnrightB. Enright
Sports Illustrated
1 d
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The FFGhostT. FFGhost
Dynasty League Football
1 d
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Mike HarmonM. Harmon
Swollen Dome
1 d
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Mike WrightM. Wright
The Fantasy Footballers
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Steven PintadoS. Pintado
The Fantasy Coaches
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FF Prophet
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Brian StraitB. Strait
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Matt De LimaM. De Lima
Sports Illustrated
1 d
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RotoViz
1 d
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Bleacher Report
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The Fantasy Champions
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King Fantasy Sports
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Mike RandleM. Randle
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Mundo Fantasy
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Justin SablichJ. Sablich
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Dynasty Nerds
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Michelle MagdziukM. Magd...
BallBlast
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Jason WillanJ. Willan
Gridiron Experts
1 d
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Michael TomlinM. Tomlin
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1 d
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1 d
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1 d
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1 d
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1 d
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Legion Report
1 d
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Ben WasleyB. Wasley
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2 d
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Seth KleinS. Klein
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2 d
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Christopher DellC. Dell
Betting Predators
2 d
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John FergusonJ. Ferg...
FantasyData
2 d
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Adam PfeiferA. Pfeifer
FTN
2 d
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Isaiah SiroisI. Sirois
FantasyPros
2 d
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Jason PetropoulosJ. Petr...
BRoto Fantasy
2 d
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Peter RogersP. Rogers
Fake Teams
2 d
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Dan ClasgensD. Clas...
Get Sports Info
2 d
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Walter CherepinskyW. Cher...
WalterFootball
2 d
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Scott EngelS. Engel
RotoBaller
2 d
#16-
    
Greg SmithG. Smith
TwoQBs
2 d
#13-
    
2 d
#13-
    
Liz LozaL. Loza
Yahoo! Sports
2 d
#12-
    
Wolf of Roto StreetW. of R...
Roto Street Journal
2 d
#13-
    
Matt MacCoyM. MacCoy
Fantasy Team Advice
2 d
#13-
    
Ryan SkolrudR. Skolrud
SkullKing Sports
3 d
#13-
    
SmittyS.
SleeperU
3 d
#11-
    
Zachary HanshewZ. Hanshew
FantasyPros
3 d
#14-
    
Matt HarmonM. Harmon
Yahoo! Sports
3 d
#14-
    
Matthew BoweM. Bowe
Razzball
3 d
#14-
    
Chet GreshamC. Gresham
DK Nation
3 d
#14-
    
Player Game Logs Comparison
 
Mike Davis
RB - CAR
Mike Davis
Mike Davis
RB - CAR
2020 Schedule 
Week 1 vs. LV
0 rush, 0 yds, 0 td
vs. SEA
14 rush, 56 yds, 1 td
5 tar, 2 rec, 1 yds, 0 td
Week 2 at TB
1 rush, 1 yds, 0 td
8 tar, 8 rec, 74 yds, 0 td
at DAL
21 rush, 61 yds, 0 td
Week 3 at LAC
13 rush, 46 yds, 0 td
9 tar, 8 rec, 45 yds, 1 td
vs. CHI
14 rush, 80 yds, 1 td
2 tar, 1 rec, 2 yds, 0 td
Week 4 vs. ARI
16 rush, 84 yds, 1 td
6 tar, 5 rec, 27 yds, 0 td
at GB
16 rush, 57 yds, 2 td
1 tar, 1 rec, 6 yds, 0 td
Week 5 at ATL
16 rush, 89 yds, 0 td
10 tar, 9 rec, 60 yds, 1 td
vs. CAR
14 rush, 121 yds, 1 td
5 tar, 4 rec, 29 yds, 0 td
Week 6 vs. CHI
18 rush, 52 yds, 1 td
3 tar, 2 rec, 3 yds, 0 td
at MIN
20 rush, 47 yds, 0 td
4 tar, 3 rec, 20 yds, 0 td
Week 7 at NO
7 rush, 12 yds, 0 td
5 tar, 5 rec, 24 yds, 0 td
vs. DET
23 rush, 63 yds, 2 td
3 tar, 2 rec, 19 yds, 0 td
Week 8 vs. ATL
13 rush, 66 yds, 0 td
2 tar, 1 rec, 11 yds, 0 td
at CAR
18 rush, 46 yds, 1 td
Week 9 at KC
1 rush, 3 yds, 0 td
6 tar, 5 rec, 34 yds, 0 td
vs. DEN
19 rush, 53 yds, 1 td
2 tar, 2 rec, 2 yds, 0 td
Week 10 vs. TB
7 rush, 32 yds, 0 td
5 tar, 4 rec, 12 yds, 0 td
BYE WEEK
Week 11 vs. DET
19 rush, 64 yds, 1 td
2 tar, 2 rec, 15 yds, 0 td
at NO
8 rush, 26 yds, 0 td
2 tar, 1 rec, 3 yds, 0 td
Week 12 at MIN vs. LV
Week 13BYE WEEK vs. NO
Week 14 vs. DEN at LAC
Week 15 at GB vs. TB
Week 16 at WAS at KC
Week 17 vs. NO at TB
Player Projections Comparison
 
Mike Davis
RB - CAR
Mike Davis
Mike Davis
RB - CAR
at MIN, Sun 1pm EST
vs. LV, Sun 1pm EST
OUT
Rushing
   
Rush Attempts14.614.3
Rush Yards60.156.0
Rush TDs0.60.4
   
Receiving
   
Receptions3.62.3
Rec Yards24.516.0
Rec TDs0.10.1
   
Points
   
Fantasy Points12.39.6
   
Player Fantasy Points Comparison
 
Mike Davis
RB - CAR
Mike Davis
Mike Davis
RB - CAR
2020 Points 
Week 10.011.7
Week 27.56.1
Week 315.114.2
Week 417.118.3
Week 520.921.0
Week 69.56.7
Week 73.620.2
Week 87.710.6
Week 93.711.5
Week 104.4
Week 1113.92.9
Week 12
Week 13
Week 14
Week 15
Week 16
Week 17
Total103.4123.2
Average9.412.3
Player Targets Comparison
 
Mike Davis
RB - CAR
Mike Davis
Mike Davis
RB - CAR
2020 Targets 
Week 105
Week 280
Week 392
Week 461
Week 5105
Week 634
Week 753
Week 820
Week 962
Week 105
Week 1122
Week 12
Week 13
Week 14
Week 15
Week 16
Week 17
Notes for Player Combination
 
Mike Davis
RB - CAR
Mike Davis
Mike Davis
RB - CAR
at MIN, Sun 1pm EST
vs. LV, Sun 1pm EST
OUT
Expert 
Mike Tagliere
FantasyPros
With Christian McCaffrey ruled out for another week, it'll be Davis' backfield. We've had to dial back expectations for him after that hot start, as he's failed to crack 66 yards on the ground or 34 yards through the air since Week 5. He's scored just twice since that time, so maybe the workload caught up with him? There have been three running backs who've topped 75 yards on the ground against the Vikings, but all of them totaled 20-plus carries, which is a mark that Davis hasn't gotten to this season. Unfortunately, the Vikings have also limited production through the air to running backs as well, as there's been no running back who's topped 36 yards through the air against them. When you start factoring those things in with Davis' lack of ceiling over the last six weeks, it's a bit problematic. On top of that, the Vikings have allowed just seven total touchdowns to running backs, which ranks as the fifth-fewest in the league. In terms of efficiency, the Vikings have allowed the 11th-fewest fantasy points per weighted opportunity to running backs, but the good news is that they've had to face 28.7 running back touches per game. That's where Davis gets his value, as he's locked into 15-plus touches in this game, and maybe 20 of them. Because of that, he belongs in the mid-to-high-end RB2 territory.I mentioned last week that if he didn't score, he'd bust. That was certainly the case against the Saints. He's now failed to top 63 yards on the ground in 8-of-10 games, and he's failed to reach 30 receiving yards in any game this year, so again, you're relying on those touchdowns. How has Gurley kept it up with the touchdowns? Well, he plays in a high-scoring offense, and he ranks No. 2 in red zone carries (43), behind only Derrick Henry. The Raiders have allowed a touchdown every 16.5 carries, which makes this matchup heaven for the touchdown-dependent Gurley. It doesn't get any better than that. When looking at efficiency, the Raiders have allowed the third-most fantasy points per opportunity to running backs, behind only the Packers and Lions. The odd part is that they've faced just 19.8 carries per game by running backs, which is odd when you think about how generous they've been on the ground. Gurley gets 70 percent of the team's carries and all the goal-line work, so it's not a kill shot or anything, but it's worth noting that teams have chosen to run the ball just 39.4 percent of the time against them, which is the seventh-lowest rate in football. Gurley should deliver an RB2 performance this week with a good shot to score, as there have been four running backs who've scored multiple rushing touchdowns against the Raiders this year.
Derek Lofland
FantasyPros
CMC is not expected to play this week, which puts Mike Davis on the RB1 bubble against the Vikings 16th ranked fantasy RB defense.The Raiders are 29th against fantasy backs, Gurley is a high-end RB2 with RB1 upside.
Kyle Yates
FantasyPros
 What an absolute mess of a situation here in Atlanta. Gurley's inefficiencies continued in week 11 even on eight carries and he's losing some work to Brian Hill. This is a fantastic matchup for opposing RBs, but it's going to be hard to trust Gurley as anything more than a touchdown-dependent RB2. He's a very risky play this week.