Mike Davis or Todd Gurley II
Who Should I Start? - Week 12
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Experts' Pick | |||
Mike Davis RB - CAR  Mike Davis RB - CAR at MIN, Sun 1pm EST |
Todd Gurley II RB - ATL  Todd Gurley II RB - ATL vs. LV, Sun 1pm EST OUT |
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Expert |
100% Recommended by 146 of 146 experts |
0% Recommended by 0 of 146 experts |
Add Player |
| Most Accurate Experts | |||
| Top ExpertsTop RB ExpertsTop Player Experts |  See who the Most Accurate Experts would startUpgrade Now | ||
| Rankings | |||
| ECR | # 10 | ‐ | - |
| Best Rank | # 5 | ‐ | - |
| Worst Rank | # 15 | ‐ | - |
| Matchup | |||
| Opponent | at MIN | vs. LV | - |
| Matchup Rating | This is a 3 star matchup. RBs perform close to their average vs MIN | This is a 4 star matchup. RBs perform better than their average vs LV | - |
| Stats Allowed | |||
| Rush Att | 21.8 | 19.6 | |
| Rush Yds | 93.9 | 86.2 | |
| Rush TD | 0.5 | 1.2 | |
| Fantasy Points | |||
| Season Total | 103.4 | 123.2 | - |
| Avg Game | 9.4 | 12.3 | - |
| Avg Projection | 12.3 | 9.6 | - |
| Week 11 | 13.9 | 2.9 | - |
| Misc | |||
| Injury Alert | ‐ | Knee | - |
| Weather | Indoor | Indoor | - |
| Expert Ranks | |||
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Mike Davis | Todd Gurley II | Add Player |
1 m | #13 | ‐ | - |
1 m | #13 | ‐ | - |
9 m | #12 | ‐ | - |
22 m | #13 | ‐ | - |
37 m | #12 | ‐ | - |
40 m | #12 | ‐ | - |
46 m | #12 | ‐ | - |
52 m | #13 | ‐ | - |
57 m | #12 | ‐ | - |
58 m | #12 | ‐ | - |
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3 h | #12 | ‐ | - |
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5 h | #11 | ‐ | - |
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10 h | #9 | ‐ | - |
19 h | #13 | ‐ | - |
1 d | #11 | ‐ | - |
1 d | #13 | ‐ | - |
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1 d | #12 | ‐ | - |
1 d | #11 | ‐ | - |
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1 d | #10 | ‐ | - |
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1 d | #12 | ‐ | - |
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1 d | #11 | ‐ | - |
1 d | #10 | ‐ | - |
1 d | #19 | ‐ | - |
1 d | #14 | ‐ | - |
1 d | #13 | ‐ | - |
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1 d | #10 | ‐ | - |
2 d | #12 | ‐ | - |
2 d | #12 | ‐ | - |
2 d | #6 | ‐ | - |
2 d | #10 | ‐ | - |
2 d | #13 | ‐ | - |
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2 d | #12 | ‐ | - |
2 d | #11 | ‐ | - |
2 d | #13 | ‐ | - |
2 d | #8 | ‐ | - |
2 d | #16 | ‐ | - |
2 d | #13 | ‐ | - |
2 d | #13 | ‐ | - |
2 d | #12 | ‐ | - |
2 d | #13 | ‐ | - |
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3 d | #13 | ‐ | - |
3 d | #11 | ‐ | - |
3 d | #14 | ‐ | - |
3 d | #14 | ‐ | - |
3 d | #14 | ‐ | - |
3 d | #14 | ‐ | - |
Mike Davis RB - CAR Mike Davis RB - CAR | Todd Gurley II RB - ATL Todd Gurley II RB - ATL | |
| 2020 Schedule | ||
| Week 1 | vs. LV 0 rush, 0 yds, 0 td | vs. SEA 14 rush, 56 yds, 1 td 5 tar, 2 rec, 1 yds, 0 td |
| Week 2 | at TB 1 rush, 1 yds, 0 td 8 tar, 8 rec, 74 yds, 0 td | at DAL 21 rush, 61 yds, 0 td |
| Week 3 | at LAC 13 rush, 46 yds, 0 td 9 tar, 8 rec, 45 yds, 1 td | vs. CHI 14 rush, 80 yds, 1 td 2 tar, 1 rec, 2 yds, 0 td |
| Week 4 | vs. ARI 16 rush, 84 yds, 1 td 6 tar, 5 rec, 27 yds, 0 td | at GB 16 rush, 57 yds, 2 td 1 tar, 1 rec, 6 yds, 0 td |
| Week 5 | at ATL 16 rush, 89 yds, 0 td 10 tar, 9 rec, 60 yds, 1 td | vs. CAR 14 rush, 121 yds, 1 td 5 tar, 4 rec, 29 yds, 0 td |
| Week 6 | vs. CHI 18 rush, 52 yds, 1 td 3 tar, 2 rec, 3 yds, 0 td | at MIN 20 rush, 47 yds, 0 td 4 tar, 3 rec, 20 yds, 0 td |
| Week 7 | at NO 7 rush, 12 yds, 0 td 5 tar, 5 rec, 24 yds, 0 td | vs. DET 23 rush, 63 yds, 2 td 3 tar, 2 rec, 19 yds, 0 td |
| Week 8 | vs. ATL 13 rush, 66 yds, 0 td 2 tar, 1 rec, 11 yds, 0 td | at CAR 18 rush, 46 yds, 1 td |
| Week 9 | at KC 1 rush, 3 yds, 0 td 6 tar, 5 rec, 34 yds, 0 td | vs. DEN 19 rush, 53 yds, 1 td 2 tar, 2 rec, 2 yds, 0 td |
| Week 10 | vs. TB 7 rush, 32 yds, 0 td 5 tar, 4 rec, 12 yds, 0 td | BYE WEEK |
| Week 11 | vs. DET 19 rush, 64 yds, 1 td 2 tar, 2 rec, 15 yds, 0 td | at NO 8 rush, 26 yds, 0 td 2 tar, 1 rec, 3 yds, 0 td |
| Week 12 | at MIN | vs. LV |
| Week 13 | BYE WEEK | vs. NO |
| Week 14 | vs. DEN | at LAC |
| Week 15 | at GB | vs. TB |
| Week 16 | at WAS | at KC |
| Week 17 | vs. NO | at TB |
Mike Davis RB - CAR Mike Davis RB - CAR at MIN, Sun 1pm EST |
Todd Gurley II RB - ATL Todd Gurley II RB - ATL vs. LV, Sun 1pm EST OUT |
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| Rushing | ||
| Rush Attempts | 14.6 | 14.3 |
| Rush Yards | 60.1 | 56.0 |
| Rush TDs | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Receiving | ||
| Receptions | 3.6 | 2.3 |
| Rec Yards | 24.5 | 16.0 |
| Rec TDs | 0.1 | 0.1 |
| Points | ||
| Fantasy Points | 12.3 | 9.6 |
Mike Davis RB - CAR Mike Davis RB - CAR | Todd Gurley II RB - ATL Todd Gurley II RB - ATL | |
| 2020 Points | ||
| Week 1 | 0.0 | 11.7 |
| Week 2 | 7.5 | 6.1 |
| Week 3 | 15.1 | 14.2 |
| Week 4 | 17.1 | 18.3 |
| Week 5 | 20.9 | 21.0 |
| Week 6 | 9.5 | 6.7 |
| Week 7 | 3.6 | 20.2 |
| Week 8 | 7.7 | 10.6 |
| Week 9 | 3.7 | 11.5 |
| Week 10 | 4.4 | ‐ |
| Week 11 | 13.9 | 2.9 |
| Week 12 | ‐ | ‐ |
| Week 13 | ‐ | ‐ |
| Week 14 | ‐ | ‐ |
| Week 15 | ‐ | ‐ |
| Week 16 | ‐ | ‐ |
| Week 17 | ‐ | ‐ |
| Total | 103.4 | 123.2 |
| Average | 9.4 | 12.3 |
Mike Davis RB - CAR Mike Davis RB - CAR | Todd Gurley II RB - ATL Todd Gurley II RB - ATL | |
| 2020 Targets | ||
| Week 1 | 0 | 5 |
| Week 2 | 8 | 0 |
| Week 3 | 9 | 2 |
| Week 4 | 6 | 1 |
| Week 5 | 10 | 5 |
| Week 6 | 3 | 4 |
| Week 7 | 5 | 3 |
| Week 8 | 2 | 0 |
| Week 9 | 6 | 2 |
| Week 10 | 5 | ‐ |
| Week 11 | 2 | 2 |
| Week 12 | ‐ | ‐ |
| Week 13 | ‐ | ‐ |
| Week 14 | ‐ | ‐ |
| Week 15 | ‐ | ‐ |
| Week 16 | ‐ | ‐ |
| Week 17 | ‐ | ‐ |
Mike Davis RB - CAR Mike Davis RB - CAR at MIN, Sun 1pm EST |
Todd Gurley II RB - ATL Todd Gurley II RB - ATL vs. LV, Sun 1pm EST OUT |
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| Expert | ||
| Mike Tagliere FantasyPros | With Christian McCaffrey ruled out for another week, it'll be Davis' backfield. We've had to dial back expectations for him after that hot start, as he's failed to crack 66 yards on the ground or 34 yards through the air since Week 5. He's scored just twice since that time, so maybe the workload caught up with him? There have been three running backs who've topped 75 yards on the ground against the Vikings, but all of them totaled 20-plus carries, which is a mark that Davis hasn't gotten to this season. Unfortunately, the Vikings have also limited production through the air to running backs as well, as there's been no running back who's topped 36 yards through the air against them. When you start factoring those things in with Davis' lack of ceiling over the last six weeks, it's a bit problematic. On top of that, the Vikings have allowed just seven total touchdowns to running backs, which ranks as the fifth-fewest in the league. In terms of efficiency, the Vikings have allowed the 11th-fewest fantasy points per weighted opportunity to running backs, but the good news is that they've had to face 28.7 running back touches per game. That's where Davis gets his value, as he's locked into 15-plus touches in this game, and maybe 20 of them. Because of that, he belongs in the mid-to-high-end RB2 territory. | I mentioned last week that if he didn't score, he'd bust. That was certainly the case against the Saints. He's now failed to top 63 yards on the ground in 8-of-10 games, and he's failed to reach 30 receiving yards in any game this year, so again, you're relying on those touchdowns. How has Gurley kept it up with the touchdowns? Well, he plays in a high-scoring offense, and he ranks No. 2 in red zone carries (43), behind only Derrick Henry. The Raiders have allowed a touchdown every 16.5 carries, which makes this matchup heaven for the touchdown-dependent Gurley. It doesn't get any better than that. When looking at efficiency, the Raiders have allowed the third-most fantasy points per opportunity to running backs, behind only the Packers and Lions. The odd part is that they've faced just 19.8 carries per game by running backs, which is odd when you think about how generous they've been on the ground. Gurley gets 70 percent of the team's carries and all the goal-line work, so it's not a kill shot or anything, but it's worth noting that teams have chosen to run the ball just 39.4 percent of the time against them, which is the seventh-lowest rate in football. Gurley should deliver an RB2 performance this week with a good shot to score, as there have been four running backs who've scored multiple rushing touchdowns against the Raiders this year. |
| Derek Lofland FantasyPros | CMC is not expected to play this week, which puts Mike Davis on the RB1 bubble against the Vikings 16th ranked fantasy RB defense. | The Raiders are 29th against fantasy backs, Gurley is a high-end RB2 with RB1 upside. |
| Kyle Yates FantasyPros | What an absolute mess of a situation here in Atlanta. Gurley's inefficiencies continued in week 11 even on eight carries and he's losing some work to Brian Hill. This is a fantastic matchup for opposing RBs, but it's going to be hard to trust Gurley as anything more than a touchdown-dependent RB2. He's a very risky play this week. | |
