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Sony Michel or David Montgomery

Who Should I Start? - Week 15 - Half Point PPR

 
Experts' Pick
 
  David MontgomeryD. Montgomery
RB - CHI
David Montgomery
at GB, Sun 1pm EST
Sony MichelS. Michel
RB - NE
Sony Michel
at CIN, Sun 1pm EST
 
 
Expert
Recommendation

Updated: Dec 13th, 2019
98%
Recommended by
121 of 124 experts
2%
Recommended by
3 of 124 experts
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Rankings 
    
ECR# 20# 29-
Best Rank# 13# 20-
Worst Rank# 31# 38-
    
Matchup 
    
Opponent at GB at CIN-
Matchup RatingThis is a 4 star matchup. RBs perform better than their average vs GBThis is a 5 star matchup. RBs perform better than their average vs CIN-
    
    
Stats Allowed   
Rush Att21.426.1
Rush Yds99.8127.3
Rush TD0.90.9
    
Fantasy Points 
    
Season Total128.8112.0-
Avg Game9.98.6-
Avg Projection10.28.3-
Week 146.61.4-
    
Misc 
    
Injury Alert-
Weather19 F, Clear throughout the day.40 F, Possible light rain overnight.-
    
Expert Ranks 
David MontgomerySony MichelAdd Player
    
Patrick ThormanP. Thorman
Establish the Run
35 m
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Andy BehrensA. Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
47 m
#19#29-
    
Mick CiallelaM. Cial...
Fantrax
3 h
#25#29-
    
Craig PhillipsC. Phil...
FF Prophet
10 h
#22#31-
    
Jon CollinsJ. Collins
Fantasy Sports LR
10 h
#19#26-
    
Nathan JahnkeN. Jahnke
Pro Football Focus
12 h
#22#31-
    
Chris RaybonC. Raybon
The Action Network
12 h
#21#32-
    
The FFGhostT. FFGhost
Dynasty League Football
12 h
#20#29-
    
Ryan SkolrudR. Skolrud
SkullKing Football
12 h
#19#29-
    
Dalton Del DonD. Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
12 h
#31#38-
    
Andy HollowayA. Holl...
The Fantasy Footballers
12 h
#19#29-
    
12 h
#19#28-
    
Allie FontanaA. Fontana
Fighting Chance Fantasy
12 h
#18#29-
    
Michael TomlinM. Tomlin
Fantasy Six Pack
12 h
#24#31-
    
Robert WaziakR. Waziak
The Fantasy Footballers
12 h
#19#31-
    
Scott WhitfieldS. Whit...
Roto Rankings
12 h
#25#35-
    
Justin BooneJ. Boone
theScore
12 h
#18#29-
    
Heath CappsH. Capps
Fake Teams
12 h
#18#27-
    
Andrew EricksonA. Eric...
FantasyData
12 h
#20#27-
    
Andy SingletonA. Sing...
Expand The Boxscore
12 h
#21#30-
    
Dave MajorD. Major
XN Sports
12 h
#23#32-
    
Mauricio GutierrezM. Guti...
Estadio Fantasy
12 h
#19#34-
    
Derek LoflandD. Lofland
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12 h
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The Fantasy Footballers
12 h
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Dan ClasgensD. Clas...
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12 h
#19#33-
    
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White Wolf Sports
12 h
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Anthony CervinoA. Cervino
Gridiron Experts
12 h
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Brandon MurchisonB. Murc...
RotoBaller
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Sean KoernerS. Koerner
The Action Network
12 h
#24#33-
    
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SportsLine
12 h
#19#27-
    
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Eat.Sleep.Fantasy
12 h
#20#29-
    
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13 h
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Chris MeaneyC. Meaney
The Athletic
13 h
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Mundo Fantasy MXM. Fant...
Mundo Fantasy
13 h
#24#27-
    
Kyle Cunningham-RhoadsK. Cunn...
STATS
13 h
#31#30-
    
Matt SchaufM. Schauf
Draft Sharks
13 h
#18#27-
    
Tozzi BrothersT. Brot...
Legion Report
13 h
#21#27-
    
Mike RandleM. Randle
BettingPros
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Greg SmithG. Smith
TwoQBs
13 h
#23#32-
    
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QB List
13 h
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Pro Football Focus
13 h
#17#32-
    
Jason WillanJ. Willan
Gridiron Experts
13 h
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Rich PiazzaR. Piazza
Fantasy Shed
13 h
#22#35-
    
David BiggsD. Biggs
Drink Five
13 h
#20#32-
    
Matt CampM. Camp
Bleacher Report
13 h
#19#28-
    
Bart WheelerB. Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
13 h
#24#30-
    
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RotoBaller
13 h
#21#20-
    
Kevin WheelerK. Wheeler
Draftwize
13 h
#18#30-
    
Tyler LoechnerT. Loec...
RotoViz
13 h
#20#27-
    
Scott SprattS. Spratt
Football Outsiders
13 h
#25#37-
    
Richard SavillR. Savill
Fantasy Six Pack
13 h
#19#28-
    
Mike HarmonM. Harmon
Swollen Dome
13 h
#17#27-
    
Justin GeorgeJ. George
Take Your League
13 h
#19#28-
    
Husein ShabazzH. Shabazz
SleeperWire
13 h
#24#25-
    
Eric MoodyE. Moody
FantasyData
13 h
#22#29-
    
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Fantasy Six Pack
13 h
#23#31-
    
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Pressbox
13 h
#20#32-
    
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The Football Girl
13 h
#17#27-
    
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FantasyPros
13 h
#19#27-
    
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The Fantasy Footballers
13 h
#21#26-
    
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Gridiron Experts
13 h
#22#33-
    
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Fantasy Team Advice
13 h
#30#35-
    
Walter CherepinskyW. Cher...
WalterFootball
13 h
#23#26-
    
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The Fantasy Fix
13 h
#20#28-
    
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EDSFootball
13 h
#21#29-
    
Michael HauffM. Hauff
Gridiron Experts
14 h
#19#27-
    
Seth McKinleyS. McKi...
FF Fellas
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Zach BrunnerZ. Brunner
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14 h
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BRoto Fantasy
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The Action Network
15 h
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Jason PetropoulosJ. Petr...
BRoto Fantasy
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Jody SmithJ. Smith
FantasyData
15 h
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ProjectRoto
16 h
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4for4.com
16 h
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17 h
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18 h
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Bruno Boys
18 h
#19#28-
    
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FantasyPros
18 h
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Andy VandaA. Vanda
Take Your League
19 h
#19#28-
    
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The Athletic
19 h
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Ryan NoonanR. Noonan
The Quant Edge
19 h
#21#30-
    
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Yahoo! Sports
20 h
#20#28-
    
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The Fantasy Fix
20 h
#19#27-
    
Kelly SmelserK. Smelser
Punch Drunk Wonderland
21 h
#20#28-
    
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Fantasy Football Advice
21 h
#21#29-
    
Jeff PaurJ. Paur
RTSports
22 h
#20#41-
    
Davis MattekD. Mattek
RotoExperts
22 h
#21#34-
    
Brad ZieglerB. Ziegler
The Athletic
23 h
#22#27-
    
Jeff BoggisJ. Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
1 d
#17#28-
    
Dan YanotchkoD. Yano...
EDSFootball
1 d
#20#27-
    
Liz LozaL. Loza
Yahoo! Sports
1 d
#19#28-
    
Michael FlorioM. Florio
Fantrax
1 d
#21#33-
    
Scott BarrettS. Barrett
Pro Football Focus
1 d
#19#27-
    
Matt OkadaM. Okada
Redshirts Fantasy Football
2 d
#23#27-
    
Des BielerD. Bieler
The Washington Post
2 d
#19#27-
    
Scott EngelS. Engel
RotoBaller
2 d
#15#38-
    
SmittyS.
SleeperU
2 d
#19#27-
    
Brian StraitB. Strait
FTLS Fantasy Football
2 d
#19#27-
    
Mike RigzM. Rigz
Gridiron Experts
2 d
#20#27-
    
Kyle YatesK. Yates
The Fantasy Footballers
2 d
#17#46-
    
Dominick PetrilloD. Petr...
Fantasy Hot Read
2 d
#19#36-
    
Brett TalleyB. Talley
Fantasy Alarm
2 d
#27#29-
    
Matthew BoweM. Bowe
Razzball
2 d
#17#26-
    
Pierre CamusP. Camus
RotoBaller
3 d
#18#28-
    
Bill DubielB. Dubiel
RotoBaller
3 d
#18#28-
    
Kevin RobertsK. Roberts
Breaking Football
3 d
#18#28-
    
Chet GreshamC. Gresham
DK Nation
4 d
#22#33-
    
  David MontgomeryD. Montgomery
RB - CHI
David Montgomery
Sony MichelS. Michel
RB - NE
Sony Michel
2019 Schedule 
Week 1 vs. GB
6 rush, 18 yds, 0 td
1 tar, 1 rec, 27 yds, 0 td
vs. PIT
15 rush, 14 yds, 0 td
Week 2 at DEN
18 rush, 62 yds, 1 td
3 tar, 1 rec, 6 yds, 0 td
at MIA
21 rush, 83 yds, 1 td
Week 3 at WAS
13 rush, 67 yds, 0 td
3 tar, 3 rec, 14 yds, 0 td
vs. NYJ
9 rush, 11 yds, 1 td
1 tar, 0 rec, 0 yds, 0 td
Week 4 vs. MIN
21 rush, 53 yds, 0 td
5 tar, 3 rec, 14 yds, 0 td
at BUF
17 rush, 63 yds, 0 td
Week 5 at OAK
11 rush, 25 yds, 1 td
1 tar, 1 rec, 11 yds, 0 td
at WAS
16 rush, 91 yds, 1 td
3 tar, 3 rec, 32 yds, 0 td
Week 6BYE WEEK vs. NYG
22 rush, 86 yds, 0 td
3 tar, 2 rec, 27 yds, 0 td
Week 7 vs. NO
2 rush, 6 yds, 0 td
2 tar, 2 rec, 13 yds, 0 td
at NYJ
19 rush, 42 yds, 3 td
2 tar, 1 rec, -8 yds, 0 td
Week 8 vs. LAC
27 rush, 135 yds, 1 td
5 tar, 4 rec, 12 yds, 0 td
vs. CLE
21 rush, 74 yds, 0 td
Week 9 at PHI
14 rush, 40 yds, 2 td
4 tar, 3 rec, 36 yds, 0 td
at BAL
4 rush, 18 yds, 0 td
2 tar, 1 rec, 12 yds, 0 td
Week 10 vs. DET
17 rush, 60 yds, 0 td
BYE WEEK
Week 11 at LAR
14 rush, 31 yds, 0 td
3 tar, 1 rec, 19 yds, 0 td
at PHI
10 rush, 33 yds, 0 td
4 tar, 2 rec, 11 yds, 0 td
Week 12 vs. NYG
13 rush, 22 yds, 0 td
3 tar, 2 rec, 9 yds, 0 td
vs. DAL
20 rush, 85 yds, 0 td
Week 13 at DET
16 rush, 75 yds, 0 td
2 tar, 2 rec, 12 yds, 1 td
at HOU
10 rush, 45 yds, 0 td
Week 14 vs. DAL
20 rush, 86 yds, 0 td
1 tar, 0 rec, 0 yds, 0 td
vs. KC
5 rush, 8 yds, 0 td
1 tar, 1 rec, 1 yds, 0 td
Week 15 at GB at CIN
Week 16 vs. KC vs. BUF
Week 17 at MIN vs. MIA
  David MontgomeryD. Montgomery
RB - CHI
David Montgomery
at GB, Sun 1pm EST
Sony MichelS. Michel
RB - NE
Sony Michel
at CIN, Sun 1pm EST
Rushing
   
Rush Attempts15.014.5
Rush Yards58.058.3
Rush TDs0.40.3
   
Receiving
   
Receptions1.70.7
Rec Yards13.65.1
Rec TDs0.10.0
   
Points
   
Fantasy Points10.28.3
   
  David MontgomeryD. Montgomery
RB - CHI
David Montgomery
Sony MichelS. Michel
RB - NE
Sony Michel
2019 Points 
Week 15.01.4
Week 213.312.5
Week 39.67.1
Week 48.26.3
Week 510.119.8
Week 612.3
Week 70.921.9
Week 822.77.4
Week 921.13.5
Week 106.0
Week 115.55.4
Week 124.18.5
Week 1315.74.5
Week 146.61.4
Week 15
Week 16
Week 17
  David MontgomeryD. Montgomery
RB - CHI
David Montgomery
Sony MichelS. Michel
RB - NE
Sony Michel
2019 Targets 
Week 110
Week 230
Week 331
Week 450
Week 513
Week 63
Week 722
Week 850
Week 942
Week 100
Week 1134
Week 1230
Week 1320
Week 1411
Week 15
Week 16
Week 17
  David MontgomeryD. Montgomery
RB - CHI
David Montgomery
at GB, Sun 1pm EST
Sony MichelS. Michel
RB - NE
Sony Michel
at CIN, Sun 1pm EST
Expert 
Zach Brunner
FantasyPros
The Packers are a bottom 10 defense against RBs and the Bears have given Montgomery his touches lately. His floor is a flex option this week, but he has high RB2 upside, if he gets red zone work this week. 
Mike Tagliere
FantasyPros
Keeping our sample size recent, we'll look at the touch splits over the last four weeks between these two. Montgomery has received 68 touches (63 carries, 5 receptions) while Cohen has received 43 touches (21 carries, 22 receptions). So, we're looking at a 61/39 split, though opportunity is closer to 55/45 when you consider the fact that targets are worth more than carries. The Packers are a team you can run the ball on, though the question is about gamescript. The Packers almost refuse to blow teams out, allowing opposing running backs to rack up the touches, as they've faced an average of 28.6 per game. They've allowed a massive 4.89 yards per carry but just 5.39 yards per target to running backs, so it's one that clearly favors Montgomery's role. The worst a running back has finished against the Packers with 12-plus carries is RB26, which is obviously high-end RB3 territory. There have been six running backs who've finished in the top-12 against the Packers, and oddly enough, four of them were on losing teams. Knowing Montgomery has totaled at least 13 carries and 15 touches in each of the last seven games, he should be in lineups as a middling RB2 who's getting all goal-line work for the Bears.This is the worst part of the fantasy playoffs. It's win or go home. If you made it through last week with Michel, you should be counting your lucky stars. However, how do you not consider him against the Bengals, a team that's been constantly abused by running backs, particularly on the ground. Opposing running backs have combined to average 24.4 carries per game against them, which is the third highest mark in the league. On those carries, they've allowed 4.74 yards per carry. There have been 10 running backs who've totaled at least 12 carries against the Bengals, and every one of them finished as a top-20 performer on the week. While Michel has only received 15 carries the last two weeks combined, the gamescript has been negative throughout both games. In the 18 games the Patriots have won over the last two years, Michel has averaged 17.3 carries. In the eight losses, he's averaged 10.9 carries. The Patriots are going to win this game, which is what brings up the tough question of what to do with Michel this week. Despite the bad performance in Week 14, Michel should be back in fantasy lineups as a low-end RB2 who should fare much better.
Derek Lofland
FantasyPros
The Packers are 28th against fantasy running backs, Montgomery has a great matchup on the road in Week 15.The Bengals are 26th against fantasy running backs, Michel is a flex option on a struggling Patriots offense.
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