Todd Gurley II or Ezekiel Elliott
Who Should I Start? - Week 13
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Experts' Pick | |||
Ezekiel Elliott RB - DAL  Ezekiel Elliott RB - DAL at BAL, Tue 8pm EST |
Todd Gurley II RB - ATL  Todd Gurley II RB - ATL vs. NO, Sun 1pm EST Questionable |
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Expert |
100% Recommended by 109 of 109 experts |
0% Recommended by 0 of 109 experts |
Add Player |
| Most Accurate Experts | |||
| Top ExpertsTop RB ExpertsTop Player Experts |  See who the Most Accurate Experts would startUpgrade Now | ||
| Rankings | |||
| ECR | # 15 | # 38 | - |
| Best Rank | # 9 | # 19 | - |
| Worst Rank | # 25 | # 58 | - |
| Matchup | |||
| Opponent | at BAL | vs. NO | - |
| Matchup Rating | This is a 2 star matchup. RBs perform worse than their average vs BAL | This is a 1 star matchup. RBs perform worse than their average vs NO | - |
| Stats Allowed | |||
| Rush Att | 19.5 | 18.2 | |
| Rush Yds | 87.7 | 60.2 | |
| Rush TD | 0.6 | 0.4 | |
| Fantasy Points | |||
| Season Total | 130.3 | 123.2 | - |
| Avg Game | 11.8 | 12.3 | - |
| Avg Projection | 10.6 | 5.9 | - |
| Week 12 | 1.9 | ‐ | - |
| Misc | |||
| Injury Alert | ‐ | Knee | - |
| Weather | 45 F, Clear throughout the day. | Indoor | - |
| Expert Ranks | |||
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Ezekiel Elliott | Todd Gurley II | Add Player |
1 m | #9 | #30 | - |
2 m | #17 | #53 | - |
11 m | #11 | #26 | - |
26 m | #17 | ‐ | - |
39 m | #23 | #36 | - |
42 m | #21 | #23 | - |
47 m | #16 | #44 | - |
1 h | #15 | #32 | - |
1 h | #16 | #51 | - |
1 h | #17 | #22 | - |
2 h | #15 | #33 | - |
2 h | #15 | #32 | - |
2 h | #16 | #49 | - |
3 h | #15 | #25 | - |
3 h | #16 | #54 | - |
3 h | #16 | #57 | - |
3 h | #16 | #54 | - |
3 h | #16 | #34 | - |
4 h | #12 | #37 | - |
4 h | #16 | #46 | - |
4 h | #15 | #58 | - |
5 h | #15 | #45 | - |
5 h | #10 | #23 | - |
5 h | #15 | #49 | - |
6 h | #17 | #19 | - |
7 h | #19 | #54 | - |
7 h | #16 | #46 | - |
7 h | #24 | #27 | - |
7 h | #18 | #58 | - |
7 h | #16 | #34 | - |
8 h | #18 | #37 | - |
8 h | #20 | #62 | - |
9 h | #20 | #28 | - |
11 h | #16 | #54 | - |
12 h | #17 | #27 | - |
13 h | #12 | #32 | - |
14 h | #16 | #24 | - |
15 h | #16 | #58 | - |
16 h | #22 | #29 | - |
17 h | #16 | #18 | - |
17 h | #16 | #29 | - |
17 h | #17 | #52 | - |
17 h | #10 | #20 | - |
17 h | #17 | #38 | - |
17 h | #15 | #59 | - |
18 h | #20 | #29 | - |
18 h | #15 | ‐ | - |
19 h | #17 | #73 | - |
19 h | #21 | #61 | - |
19 h | #16 | #39 | - |
19 h | #12 | #24 | - |
20 h | #16 | #40 | - |
20 h | #17 | #35 | - |
20 h | #16 | #24 | - |
21 h | #25 | #30 | - |
22 h | #11 | #19 | - |
22 h | #16 | #53 | - |
22 h | #10 | #20 | - |
23 h | #18 | #57 | - |
24 h | #11 | ‐ | - |
24 h | #16 | #36 | - |
1 d | #17 | #25 | - |
1 d | #18 | #59 | - |
1 d | #20 | #30 | - |
1 d | #17 | #25 | - |
1 d | #17 | #51 | - |
1 d | #15 | #39 | - |
1 d | #17 | #44 | - |
1 d | #16 | #22 | - |
1 d | #12 | #28 | - |
1 d | #17 | #55 | - |
1 d | #16 | #60 | - |
1 d | #16 | #59 | - |
1 d | #20 | #58 | - |
1 d | #18 | #99 | - |
1 d | #10 | #24 | - |
1 d | #17 | #52 | - |
1 d | #16 | #31 | - |
1 d | #17 | #52 | - |
1 d | #9 | #26 | - |
2 d | #32 | #46 | - |
2 d | #10 | #79 | - |
2 d | #20 | #34 | - |
2 d | #16 | #31 | - |
2 d | #18 | #52 | - |
2 d | #19 | #35 | - |
2 d | #17 | #59 | - |
2 d | #18 | #53 | - |
2 d | #18 | #52 | - |
2 d | #16 | #54 | - |
2 d | #16 | #52 | - |
2 d | #15 | #35 | - |
2 d | #22 | ‐ | - |
3 d | #17 | #42 | - |
3 d | #18 | #40 | - |
3 d | #17 | #37 | - |
3 d | #17 | #25 | - |
3 d | #12 | ‐ | - |
3 d | #16 | #35 | - |
3 d | #16 | #35 | - |
3 d | #17 | #31 | - |
3 d | #18 | #30 | - |
3 d | #15 | #35 | - |
4 d | #15 | #26 | - |
4 d | #16 | #21 | - |
4 d | #17 | #62 | - |
4 d | #10 | ‐ | - |
4 d | #16 | #25 | - |
4 d | #11 | #21 | - |
Ezekiel Elliott RB - DAL Ezekiel Elliott RB - DAL | Todd Gurley II RB - ATL Todd Gurley II RB - ATL | |
| 2020 Schedule | ||
| Week 1 | at LAR 22 rush, 96 yds, 1 td 4 tar, 3 rec, 31 yds, 1 td | vs. SEA 14 rush, 56 yds, 1 td 5 tar, 2 rec, 1 yds, 0 td |
| Week 2 | vs. ATL 22 rush, 89 yds, 1 td 7 tar, 6 rec, 33 yds, 0 td | at DAL 21 rush, 61 yds, 0 td |
| Week 3 | at SEA 14 rush, 34 yds, 1 td 11 tar, 6 rec, 24 yds, 0 td | vs. CHI 14 rush, 80 yds, 1 td 2 tar, 1 rec, 2 yds, 0 td |
| Week 4 | vs. CLE 12 rush, 54 yds, 0 td 8 tar, 8 rec, 71 yds, 0 td | at GB 16 rush, 57 yds, 2 td 1 tar, 1 rec, 6 yds, 0 td |
| Week 5 | vs. NYG 19 rush, 91 yds, 2 td 2 tar, 1 rec, 14 yds, 0 td | vs. CAR 14 rush, 121 yds, 1 td 5 tar, 4 rec, 29 yds, 0 td |
| Week 6 | vs. ARI 12 rush, 49 yds, 0 td 10 tar, 8 rec, 31 yds, 0 td | at MIN 20 rush, 47 yds, 0 td 4 tar, 3 rec, 20 yds, 0 td |
| Week 7 | at WAS 12 rush, 45 yds, 0 td 2 tar, 1 rec, 6 yds, 0 td | vs. DET 23 rush, 63 yds, 2 td 3 tar, 2 rec, 19 yds, 0 td |
| Week 8 | at PHI 19 rush, 63 yds, 0 td 2 tar, 1 rec, 10 yds, 0 td | at CAR 18 rush, 46 yds, 1 td |
| Week 9 | vs. PIT 18 rush, 51 yds, 0 td 3 tar, 2 rec, 18 yds, 0 td | vs. DEN 19 rush, 53 yds, 1 td 2 tar, 2 rec, 2 yds, 0 td |
| Week 10 | BYE WEEK | BYE WEEK |
| Week 11 | at MIN 21 rush, 103 yds, 0 td 2 tar, 2 rec, 11 yds, 1 td | at NO 8 rush, 26 yds, 0 td 2 tar, 1 rec, 3 yds, 0 td |
| Week 12 | vs. WAS 10 rush, 32 yds, 0 td 3 tar, 1 rec, 7 yds, 0 td | vs. LV |
| Week 13 | at BAL | vs. NO |
| Week 14 | at CIN | at LAC |
| Week 15 | vs. SF | vs. TB |
| Week 16 | vs. PHI | at KC |
| Week 17 | at NYG | at TB |
Ezekiel Elliott RB - DAL Ezekiel Elliott RB - DAL at BAL, Tue 8pm EST |
Todd Gurley II RB - ATL Todd Gurley II RB - ATL vs. NO, Sun 1pm EST Questionable |
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| Rushing | ||
| Rush Attempts | 16.6 | 9.0 |
| Rush Yards | 67.9 | 34.0 |
| Rush TDs | 0.3 | 0.3 |
| Receiving | ||
| Receptions | 2.7 | 1.3 |
| Rec Yards | 19.2 | 8.9 |
| Rec TDs | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| Points | ||
| Fantasy Points | 10.6 | 5.9 |
Ezekiel Elliott RB - DAL Ezekiel Elliott RB - DAL | Todd Gurley II RB - ATL Todd Gurley II RB - ATL | |
| 2020 Points | ||
| Week 1 | 24.7 | 11.7 |
| Week 2 | 16.2 | 6.1 |
| Week 3 | 11.8 | 14.2 |
| Week 4 | 12.5 | 18.3 |
| Week 5 | 22.5 | 21.0 |
| Week 6 | 4.0 | 6.7 |
| Week 7 | 5.1 | 20.2 |
| Week 8 | 7.3 | 10.6 |
| Week 9 | 6.9 | 11.5 |
| Week 10 | ‐ | ‐ |
| Week 11 | 17.4 | 2.9 |
| Week 12 | 1.9 | ‐ |
| Week 13 | ‐ | ‐ |
| Week 14 | ‐ | ‐ |
| Week 15 | ‐ | ‐ |
| Week 16 | ‐ | ‐ |
| Week 17 | ‐ | ‐ |
| Total | 130.3 | 123.2 |
| Average | 11.8 | 12.3 |
Ezekiel Elliott RB - DAL Ezekiel Elliott RB - DAL | Todd Gurley II RB - ATL Todd Gurley II RB - ATL | |
| 2020 Targets | ||
| Week 1 | 4 | 5 |
| Week 2 | 7 | 0 |
| Week 3 | 11 | 2 |
| Week 4 | 8 | 1 |
| Week 5 | 2 | 5 |
| Week 6 | 10 | 4 |
| Week 7 | 2 | 3 |
| Week 8 | 2 | 0 |
| Week 9 | 3 | 2 |
| Week 10 | ‐ | ‐ |
| Week 11 | 2 | 2 |
| Week 12 | 3 | ‐ |
| Week 13 | ‐ | ‐ |
| Week 14 | ‐ | ‐ |
| Week 15 | ‐ | ‐ |
| Week 16 | ‐ | ‐ |
| Week 17 | ‐ | ‐ |
Ezekiel Elliott RB - DAL Ezekiel Elliott RB - DAL at BAL, Tue 8pm EST |
Todd Gurley II RB - ATL Todd Gurley II RB - ATL vs. NO, Sun 1pm EST Questionable |
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| Expert | ||
| Kyle Yates FantasyPros | Things were looking up for Zeke a couple of weeks ago, but he disappointed fantasy managers yet again against Washington. There's just no guarantee that Zeke's going to see 15+ touches any given week and with the state of the offensive line in Dallas currently, it's probably wise to downgrade him significantly. Zeke should be viewed as a low-end RB2 this week. | |
| Mike Tagliere FantasyPros | The loss of Dak Prescott was the start of his nightmare, but it's only gotten worse, losing left tackle Tyron Smith, and then both Zack Martin and Cam Erving in the first quarter of the Thanksgiving game. At some point, it doesn't even matter who the running back is; they're going to struggle playing behind backups. The only good news is that he leads the NFL with 19 carries inside the five-yard line. Elliott has now finished with fewer than 55 rushing yards in six of the last nine games. He's also failed to record more than 18 receiving yards in six of the last seven games. Did I mention that he's scored one touchdown over his last six games? It's bad, guys. And now he has to go on the road to play against the Ravens. They've been without interior linemen Brandon Williams and Calais Campbell over the last couple weeks, which has led to them allowing a bit more production, but they've still allowed just the 11th-fewest fantasy points to running backs. With that being said, there have been eight running backs who've seen at least 12 carries against the Ravens, and each of them have finished as top-24 running backs, including Damien Harris. I suppose the 4.34 yards per carry they've allowed isn't anything to be scared of when it comes to Elliott's floor. Because of that, you can keep Elliott in lineups as an RB2, albeit a low-end RB2. | Raheem Morris said they're "hopeful" to get Gurley back this week, though that's hardly a guarantee. With him out of the lineup Hill and Smith shared the touches, though it was Smith who was more efficient, finishing with 75 total yards and a touchdown on 16 touches compared to Hill's 55 total yards on 13 touches. We could sit here and talk about what this timeshare is without Gurley, but it won't make much of a difference in Week 13, as you really don't want to play either of them against the Saints, who've allowed the fewest fantasy points to running backs. The competition they've played isn't in question either, as running backs have averaged 6.9 fewer half-PPR points against the Saints than they do in non-Saints games. That's easily the biggest gap in the league. Of the production the Saints have allowed to skill-position players (63.0 PPR points per game), just 26.6 percent of it goes to running backs, which is the second-lowest percentage in football. There are just three teams in the NFL who've allowed fewer than 10.0 fantasy points per game on the ground to running backs. The Falcons, Saints, and Bucs. We know that touchdowns are important to production in this backfield by now, right? Well, the Saints have allowed just five total touchdowns to running backs this year, or one every 53.8 touches. Both of those are the best numbers in the league. They've allowed just 27 percent of carries inside the five-yard line be converted into touchdowns, which is the third-lowest percentage in the league, so even if Gurley plays, his touchdown-dependent stat lines are problematic. That should be enough for you to worry, but what about when I tell you they've allowed a league-low 1,049 total yards to running backs this year (95.4 per game)? When you factor in weighted opportunity, the Saints have allowed 8.6 percent fewer points per opportunity than any other team in the league. The average RB1 performance in 2019 was 17.2 PPR points. The Saints are the only team in the league who've yet to allow a running back hit that mark. Even if Gurley suits up, he's just a boring RB3 who will bust if he doesn't score. |
| Derek Lofland FantasyPros | Elliott is hard to trust given the quarterback situation, he is a low-upside RB2 against the Ravens on a game that will be played on Tuesday Night. | Gurley should be able to play through his knee issue this week, but the Saints are the best fantasy running back defense in the NFL. Gurley is a low-upside flex option. |
