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Tom Brady or Sam Darnold

Who Should I Start? - Week 14

 
Experts' Pick
 
  Sam DarnoldS. Darnold
QB - NYJ
Sam Darnold
vs. MIA, Sun 1pm EST
Tom BradyT. Brady
QB - NE
Tom Brady
vs. KC, Sun 4pm EST
 
 
Expert
Recommendation

Updated: Dec 8th, 2019
80%
Recommended by
111 of 139 experts
20%
Recommended by
28 of 139 experts
Add Player
Most Accurate Experts 
    
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Rankings 
    
ECR# 11# 15-
Best Rank# 6# 10-
Worst Rank# 19# 21-
    
Matchup 
    
Opponent vs. MIA vs. KC-
Matchup RatingThis is a 5 star matchup. QBs perform better than their average vs MIAThis is a 3 star matchup. QBs perform close to their average vs KC-
    
    
Stats Allowed   
Pass Comp16.917.7
Pass Yds204.9184.6
Pass TD1.91.2
    
Fantasy Points 
    
Season Total164.9225.7-
Avg Game16.517.4-
Avg Projection17.117.3-
Week 1310.525.3-
    
Misc 
    
Injury Alert-
Weather51 F, Rain54 F, Light Rain-
    
Expert Ranks 
Sam DarnoldTom BradyAdd Player
    
Huseyin AksuH. Aksu
Fantasy Couch
1 d
#11#14-
    
Husein ShabazzH. Shabazz
SleeperWire
1 d
#12#14-
    
Elisha TwerskiE. Twerski
FantasyPros
1 d
#11#15-
    
Tyler LoechnerT. Loec...
RotoViz
1 d
#11#15-
    
Bobby SylvesterB. Sylv...
FantasyPros
1 d
#12#18-
    
Matthew FreedmanM. Free...
The Action Network
1 d
#11#14-
    
Nathan JahnkeN. Jahnke
Pro Football Focus
1 d
#14#15-
    
Andy HollowayA. Holl...
The Fantasy Footballers
1 d
#10#13-
    
Allie FontanaA. Fontana
Fighting Chance Fantasy
1 d
#10#15-
    
Robert WaziakR. Waziak
The Fantasy Footballers
1 d
#11#15-
    
Marc CavigliaM. Cavi...
Bruno Boys
1 d
#11#13-
    
Rudy GambleR. Gamble
Razzball
1 d
#8#10-
    
Chris RaybonC. Raybon
The Action Network
1 d
#14#12-
    
Jake CielyJ. Ciely
The Athletic
1 d
#12#17-
    
Tozzi BrothersT. Brot...
Legion Report
1 d
#16#18-
    
Jason MooreJ. Moore
The Fantasy Footballers
1 d
#12#17-
    
Dennis SosicD. Sosic
Fantasy Six Pack
1 d
#10#13-
    
Des BielerD. Bieler
The Washington Post
1 d
#11#13-
    
Dominick PetrilloD. Petr...
Fantasy Hot Read
1 d
#13#17-
    
Matt SchaufM. Schauf
Draft Sharks
1 d
#8#18-
    
Scott BarrettS. Barrett
Pro Football Focus
1 d
#11#16-
    
Muntradamus M.
Beast Dome
1 d
#11#15-
    
Jeff RatcliffeJ. Ratc...
Pro Football Focus
1 d
#11#15-
    
Mike TagliereM. Tagl...
FantasyPros
1 d
#15#21-
    
Michael HauffM. Hauff
Gridiron Experts
1 d
#9#13-
    
Patrick ThormanP. Thorman
Establish the Run
1 d
#11#14-
    
Joe BondJ. Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
1 d
#11#15-
    
Mike HarmonM. Harmon
Swollen Dome
1 d
#9#14-
    
Justin GeorgeJ. George
Take Your League
1 d
#11#21-
    
Todd D ClarkT. D Clark
The Fantasy Fix
1 d
#9#12-
    
Dylan ChappineD. Chap...
White Wolf Sports
1 d
#16#10-
    
Dave MajorD. Major
XN Sports
1 d
#10#13-
    
Andrew EricksonA. Eric...
FantasyData
1 d
#11#13-
    
Mike WrightM. Wright
The Fantasy Footballers
1 d
#10#15-
    
Andy SingletonA. Sing...
Expand The Boxscore
1 d
#11#13-
    
Kevin HansonK. Hanson
EDSFootball
1 d
#11#12-
    
Justin BooneJ. Boone
theScore
1 d
#11#14-
    
Jody SmithJ. Smith
FantasyData
1 d
#12#11-
    
Anthony CervinoA. Cervino
Gridiron Experts
1 d
#11#17-
    
Pierre CamusP. Camus
RotoBaller
1 d
#18#17-
    
Raju ByfieldR. Byfield
Win My Fantasy League
1 d
#13#16-
    
Ryan NoonanR. Noonan
The Quant Edge
1 d
#10#15-
    
Kyle YatesK. Yates
The Fantasy Footballers
1 d
#9-
    
Matt De LimaM. De Lima
FullTime Fantasy
1 d
#8#9-
    
The FFGhostT. FFGhost
Dynasty League Football
1 d
#10#13-
    
Greg SmithG. Smith
TwoQBs
1 d
#15#10-
    
Sean KoernerS. Koerner
The Action Network
1 d
#11#12-
    
Craig PhillipsC. Phil...
FF Prophet
1 d
#12#16-
    
Brad EvansB. Evans
Yahoo! Sports
1 d
#11#17-
    
Jacob HubmanJ. Hubman
The Fantasy Headliners
1 d
#11#17-
    
Matthew HillM. Hill
DataForce Fantasy Football
1 d
#7#11-
    
Brendan DonahueB. Donahue
EDSFootball
1 d
#11#14-
    
Mauricio GutierrezM. Guti...
Estadio Fantasy
1 d
#12#15-
    
Scott PianowskiS. Pian...
Yahoo! Sports
1 d
#6#16-
    
Kyle RichardsonK. Rich...
The Fantasy Headliners
1 d
#11#18-
    
Nick HumphreysN. Hump...
Fantasy Victors
1 d
#12#15-
    
Jason PetropoulosJ. Petr...
BRoto Fantasy
1 d
#12#15-
    
Dan HarrisD. Harris
FantasyPros
1 d
#11#14-
    
David BiggsD. Biggs
Drink Five
1 d
#11#16-
    
Christian BritoC. Brito
Eat.Sleep.Fantasy
1 d
#10#14-
    
Dan McLellanD. McLe...
WBLZ Media
1 d
#11#14-
    
Jacob GibbsJ. Gibbs
SportsLine
1 d
#13#15-
    
Kevin WheelerK. Wheeler
Draftwize
1 d
#11#18-
    
Justin SablichJ. Sablich
5th Down Fantasy
1 d
#9#15-
    
Dave RichardD. Richard
CBS Sports
1 d
#11#19-
    
Donald GibsonD. Gibson
FantasyPros
1 d
#15#10-
    
Scott SprattS. Spratt
Football Outsiders
1 d
#19#10-
    
Scott SmithS. Smith
RotoViz
1 d
#15#9-
    
Seth McKinleyS. McKi...
FF Fellas
1 d
#13#14-
    
Pat FitzmauriceP. Fitz...
The Football Girl
1 d
#13#16-
    
Derek LoflandD. Lofland
FantasyPros
1 d
#10#20-
    
Scott WhitfieldS. Whit...
Roto Rankings
1 d
#18#13-
    
Nick MarianoN. Mariano
RotoBaller
1 d
#12#11-
    
Chris MeaneyC. Meaney
The Athletic
1 d
#10#13-
    
Jason WillanJ. Willan
Gridiron Experts
1 d
#12#13-
    
Mike RandleM. Randle
BettingPros
1 d
#6#16-
    
Brett TalleyB. Talley
Fantasy Alarm
1 d
#10#12-
    
Heath CappsH. Capps
Fake Teams
1 d
#11#14-
    
Brandon MurchisonB. Murc...
RotoBaller
1 d
#11#19-
    
Bill EnrightB. Enright
FFChamps
1 d
#11#12-
    
Kelly SmelserK. Smelser
Punch Drunk Wonderland
1 d
#10#14-
    
Jared SmolaJ. Smola
Draft Sharks
1 d
#10#18-
    
Andy VandaA. Vanda
Take Your League
1 d
#13#17-
    
Brian StraitB. Strait
FTLS Fantasy Football
1 d
#15#11-
    
Eric MoodyE. Moody
FantasyData
1 d
#16#12-
    
Nick ZylakN. Zylak
Fantasy Football Advice
1 d
#11#17-
    
Tim JablonskiT. Jabl...
The Hateful 8
1 d
#11#15-
    
Mick CiallelaM. Cial...
Fantrax
1 d
#11#17-
    
DailyRotoD.
DailyRoto
1 d
#9#8-
    
Zach GreubelZ. Greubel
Gridiron Experts
1 d
#10#14-
    
Kyle Cunningham-RhoadsK. Cunn...
STATS
1 d
#24#13-
    
Michael FlorioM. Florio
Fantrax
1 d
#8#21-
    
Michael TomlinM. Tomlin
Fantasy Six Pack
1 d
#13#17-
    
Zach BrunnerZ. Brunner
FantasyPros
1 d
#11#12-
    
Jeff PaurJ. Paur
RTSports
1 d
#18#14-
    
Rich PiazzaR. Piazza
Fantasy Shed
1 d
#17#12-
    
Ken ZalisK. Zalis
Pressbox
1 d
#9#19-
    
Staff RankingsS. Rank...
FullTime Fantasy
1 d
#13#17-
    
Bart WheelerB. Wheeler
Hail to Fantasy Football
1 d
#7#22-
    
Jamey EisenbergJ. Eise...
CBS Sports
1 d
#15#12-
    
Ryan Hodge R. Hodge
ProjectRoto
1 d
#12#8-
    
Dan ClasgensD. Clas...
Get Sports Info
1 d
#11#14-
    
Andrew SeifterA. Seifter
FantasyPros
1 d
#13#18-
    
Heath CummingsH. Cumm...
CBS Sports
1 d
#15#16-
    
Alan HarrisonA. Harr...
The Fantasy Fix
1 d
#7#15-
    
Michael PetropoulosM. Petr...
BRoto Fantasy
1 d
#8#17-
    
Staff RankingsS. Rank...
QB List
1 d
#15#12-
    
Kyle AugustK. August
FF Fellas
1 d
#16#22-
    
Jon CollinsJ. Collins
Fantasy Sports LR
1 d
#13#12-
    
1 d
#11#18-
    
Jeff BoggisJ. Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
1 d
#12#15-
    
Dalton Del DonD. Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
1 d
#14#12-
    
Matt CampM. Camp
Bleacher Report
1 d
#19#15-
    
Scott EngelS. Engel
RotoBaller
1 d
#17#13-
    
Frank StampflF. Stampfl
RotoExperts
1 d
#10#16-
    
Davis MattekD. Mattek
RotoExperts
1 d
#10#16-
    
Jason LongfellowJ. Long...
Razzball
1 d
#11#15-
    
Andy BehrensA. Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
1 d
#19#15-
    
Dan YanotchkoD. Yano...
EDSFootball
1 d
#8#13-
    
Jamie CalandroJ. Cala...
Fantasy Team Advice
1 d
#14#9-
    
Richard SavillR. Savill
Fantasy Six Pack
1 d
#9#14-
    
John PaulsenJ. Paulsen
4for4.com
2 d
#11#15-
    
Site ProjectionsS. Proj...
numberFire
2 d
#10#15-
    
Matthew BoweM. Bowe
Razzball
2 d
#14#11-
    
Liz LozaL. Loza
Yahoo! Sports
2 d
#13#14-
    
Brad ZieglerB. Ziegler
The Athletic
2 d
#6#19-
    
Chet GreshamC. Gresham
DK Nation
2 d
#13#16-
    
Mike KruegerM. Krueger
FFToday
2 d
#15#17-
    
Walter CherepinskyW. Cher...
WalterFootball
2 d
#17#10-
    
Matt OkadaM. Okada
Redshirts Fantasy Football
2 d
#14#18-
    
Mundo Fantasy MXM. Fant...
Mundo Fantasy
3 d
#9#14-
    
Mike RigzM. Rigz
Gridiron Experts
3 d
#12#13-
    
Ryan SkolrudR. Skolrud
SkullKing Football
4 d
#10#14-
    
Dale DeMottD. DeMott
Eat.Sleep.Fantasy
4 d
#10#14-
    
Brandon FunstonB. Funston
The Athletic
4 d
#19#7-
    
Peter RogersP. Rogers
Fake Teams
4 d
#7#20-
    
Kevin RobertsK. Roberts
Breaking Football
4 d
#6#14-
    
SmittyS.
SleeperU
5 d
#13#14-
    
Bill DubielB. Dubiel
RotoBaller
6 d
#13#15-
    
  Sam DarnoldS. Darnold
QB - NYJ
Sam Darnold
Tom BradyT. Brady
QB - NE
Tom Brady
2019 Schedule 
Week 1 vs. BUF
28/41, 175 pass yds, 1 td, 0 int
1 rush, 0 yds, 0 td
vs. PIT
24/36, 341 pass yds, 3 td, 0 int
Week 2 vs. CLE
at MIA
20/28, 264 pass yds, 2 td, 0 int
2 rush, 1 yds, 1 td
Week 3 at NE
vs. NYJ
28/42, 306 pass yds, 2 td, 0 int
2 rush, -1 yds, 0 td
Week 4BYE WEEK at BUF
18/39, 150 pass yds, 0 td, 1 int
3 rush, -3 yds, 0 td
Week 5 at PHI
at WAS
28/42, 348 pass yds, 3 td, 1 int
Week 6 vs. DAL
23/32, 338 pass yds, 2 td, 1 int
5 rush, 1 yds, 0 td
vs. NYG
31/41, 334 pass yds, 0 td, 1 int
7 rush, 6 yds, 2 td
Week 7 vs. NE
11/32, 86 pass yds, 0 td, 4 int
2 rush, -1 yds, 0 td
at NYJ
31/45, 249 pass yds, 1 td, 1 int
Week 8 at JAC
21/30, 218 pass yds, 2 td, 3 int
1 rush, -1 yds, 0 td
vs. CLE
20/36, 259 pass yds, 2 td, 0 int
Week 9 at MIA
27/39, 260 pass yds, 1 td, 1 int
2 rush, 1 yds, 0 td
at BAL
30/46, 285 pass yds, 1 td, 1 int
Week 10 vs. NYG
19/30, 230 pass yds, 1 td, 0 int
3 rush, 25 yds, 1 td
BYE WEEK
Week 11 at WAS
19/30, 293 pass yds, 4 td, 1 int
2 rush, -3 yds, 0 td
at PHI
26/47, 216 pass yds, 0 td, 0 int
1 rush, -1 yds, 0 td
Week 12 vs. OAK
20/29, 315 pass yds, 2 td, 0 int
4 rush, 16 yds, 1 td
vs. DAL
17/37, 190 pass yds, 1 td, 0 int
2 rush, -3 yds, 0 td
Week 13 at CIN
28/48, 239 pass yds, 0 td, 0 int
2 rush, 9 yds, 0 td
at HOU
24/47, 326 pass yds, 3 td, 1 int
1 rush, 13 yds, 0 td
Week 14 vs. MIA vs. KC
Week 15 at BAL at CIN
Week 16 vs. PIT vs. BUF
Week 17 at BUF vs. MIA
  Sam DarnoldS. Darnold
QB - NYJ
Sam Darnold
vs. MIA, Sun 1pm EST
Tom BradyT. Brady
QB - NE
Tom Brady
vs. KC, Sun 4pm EST
Passing
   
Pass Att34.838.4
Pass Cmp22.124.8
Pass Yards254.2272.6
Pass TDs1.91.8
Ints1.10.5
   
Rushing
   
Rush Attempts2.61.0
Rush Yards8.71.9
Rush TDs0.10.1
   
Misc
   
Fumbles0.10.1
   
Points
   
Fantasy Points17.117.3
   
  Sam DarnoldS. Darnold
QB - NYJ
Sam Darnold
Tom BradyT. Brady
QB - NE
Tom Brady
2019 Points 
Week 113.025.6
Week 224.7
Week 320.1
Week 44.7
Week 524.9
Week 620.623.0
Week 7-2.713.0
Week 815.618.4
Week 913.514.4
Week 1021.7
Week 1126.48.5
Week 1228.211.3
Week 1310.525.3
Week 1418.111.8
Week 15
Week 16
Week 17
  Sam DarnoldS. Darnold
QB - NYJ
Sam Darnold
vs. MIA, Sun 1pm EST
Tom BradyT. Brady
QB - NE
Tom Brady
vs. KC, Sun 4pm EST
Expert 
Bobby Sylvester
FantasyPros
If you need a streaming quarterback in place of Tom Brady or Drew Brees this week, Darnold just so happens to be taking on the Dolphins which should lead to another 20+ point performance. Besides last week's flop, he has been great over the past 6 weeks.Brady is dealing with an elbow injury and just hasn't looked the same lately. Add in the fact that both Edelman and Sanu are questionable, and it is difficult to trust him as a fantasy start versus a strong Chiefs secondary.
Donald Gibson
FantasyPros
Darnold is the exact reason why player evaluations during the regular season and playoffs are vastly different. In the regular season, Darnold was worth a stash and a spot-start. Since then, he's proven that he's going to be inconsistent no matter the matchup. Even against the Dolphins in Week 14, you should look for more consistent options unless you're desperate for some upside in your lineup.Brady has been fairly inconsistent from a fantasy perspective, but his matchup with the Chiefs looks primed to be a shootout, and the Chiefs are in the bottom half of defenses against fantasy quarterbacks. Consider him a low-end QB1.
Mike Tagliere
FantasyPros
Coming off a game where he may have cost his owners the matchup, Darnold has another great matchup on his plate. Can you trust him against a Dolphins team that's allowed 10-of-12 quarterbacks to finish as top-16 options against them? It's a good question, though the answer the last time they played would've been "no." He finished that game completing 27-of-39 passes for 260 yards, one touchdown, and one interception. There should be an asterisk next to that, though, as he should've been 28-of-38 for 263 yards, two touchdowns, and no interceptions. Why? He threw a touchdown pass to Ryan Griffin that was overturned because the ball moved a bit when he hit the wall (it was a horrendous call). The next play, Darnold threw an interception. It's a game of inches and that one play had a six-plus point swing in fantasy football. There was just one other game this year where a quarterback failed to throw multiple touchdowns. There's plenty of risk with Darnold and the Jets team as a whole, but if you're playing the percentages, he should be able to finish as a top-16 option and a decent streamer. He reportedly suffered a knee injury and bruised ribs in the loss to the Bengals, so you have to pass attention to his status throughout the week.Dating back to Week 6, Brady has completed just 59.9 percent of his passes while averaging just 6.2 yards per attempt with eight touchdowns and four interceptions. That's over a span of seven games. By comparison, Mitch Trubisky has completed 63.1 percent of his passes for 6.3 yards per attempt with 10 touchdowns and five interceptions over his last seven games. Both have not been particularly good. But will Brady turn it on for this matchup against the Chiefs? He played against them twice last year, throwing for 340-plus yards in each game but also throwing just one touchdown in each game. The matchup against Kansas City hasn't been as great as some make it out to be every week, as they've held 7-of-12 quarterbacks to less than 6.9 yards per attempt, while allowing 18 passing touchdowns and 12 interceptions over 12 games. That's the definition of an average matchup, though quarterback rushing totals have propped-up the overall numbers. The Chiefs have pressured the opposing quarterback at least 40 percent of the time in four of their last six games, which is what kills Brady, as he's the third-worst passer in the league when under pressure, behind only Jameis Winston and Mason Rudolph. Brady looks like nothing more than a middling QB2 in this matchup.
Derek Lofland
FantasyPros
The Dolphins are 29th against fantasy quarterbacks, Darnold is a roll of the dice, but he should be a QB1 at home in a great matchup. 
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