Kyler Murray for Patrick Mahomes II (2026)
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Patrick Mahomes II QB - KC  Patrick Mahomes II QB - KC | Kyler Murray QB - MIN  Kyler Murray QB - MIN |  | |
| Most Accurate Experts | |||
| Top ExpertsTop QB ExpertsTop Player Experts |  See who the Most Accurate Experts would tradeUpgrade Now | ||
| Rankings | |||
| Rest of Season | # 13 | # 17 | - |
| Draft | ‐ | ‐ | - |
| Matchup | |||
| Opponent | vs. DEN | vs. GB | - |
| Matchup Rating | This is a 1 star matchup. QBs perform worse than their average vs DEN | This is a 3 star matchup. QBs perform close to their average vs GB | - |
| Fantasy Points | |||
| Season Total | 295.7 | 80.8 | - |
| Avg Game | 21.1 | 16.2 | - |
| Avg Projection | 302.7 | 276.1 | - |
| Schedule | |||
| SOS Rank | 28 | 2 | - |
| Misc | |||
| Injury Alert | ‐ | ‐ | - |
| Expert Ranks | |||
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Patrick Mahomes II | Kyler Murray | Add Player |
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07/07 | #15 | #21 | - |
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07/07 | #10 | #24 | - |
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07/06 | #16 | #14 | - |
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07/04 | #13 | #15 | - |
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07/06 | #13 | #17 | - |
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07/05 | #12 | #21 | - |
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07/06 | #15 | #18 | - |
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07/05 | #14 | #16 | - |
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07/05 | #14 | #22 | - |
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07/05 | #9 | #23 | - |
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07/05 | #10 | #17 | - |
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07/04 | #13 | #17 | - |
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07/04 | #12 | #20 | - |
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07/04 | #7 | #23 | - |
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07/06 | #16 | #20 | - |
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07/03 | #15 | #12 | - |
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07/03 | #14 | #16 | - |
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07/03 | #15 | #17 | - |
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07/02 | #13 | #17 | - |
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07/02 | #14 | #16 | - |
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07/01 | #15 | #14 | - |
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07/01 | #13 | #11 | - |
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07/01 | #13 | #17 | - |
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07/01 | #17 | #16 | - |
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07/06 | #16 | #17 | - |
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06/30 | #13 | #17 | - |
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07/07 | #17 | #23 | - |
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06/29 | #12 | #20 | - |
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06/28 | #17 | #15 | - |
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06/28 | #11 | #15 | - |
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06/28 | #11 | #17 | - |
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06/28 | #14 | #16 | - |
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06/28 | #13 | #18 | - |
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06/28 | #16 | #20 | - |
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06/26 | #13 | #22 | - |
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06/26 | #13 | #17 | - |
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06/25 | #15 | #16 | - |
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06/25 | #15 | #14 | - |
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06/24 | #16 | #19 | - |
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06/24 | #11 | #10 | - |
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06/24 | #16 | #7 | - |
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06/29 | #18 | #15 | - |
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06/19 | #18 | #12 | - |
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06/19 | #9 | #19 | - |
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06/18 | #15 | #12 | - |
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04/15 | #15 | #21 | - |
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06/15 | #13 | #17 | - |
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07/02 | #11 | #16 | - |
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06/14 | #15 | #17 | - |
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06/13 | #15 | #11 | - |
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06/05 | #14 | #16 | - |
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07/05 | #14 | #13 | - |
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06/10 | #13 | #17 | - |
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07/02 | #12 | #21 | - |
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06/08 | #15 | #18 | - |
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06/08 | #14 | #20 | - |
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06/04 | #15 | #10 | - |
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06/11 | #16 | #17 | - |
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07/07 | #14 | #16 | - |
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07/05 | #14 | #15 | - |
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06/02 | #8 | #7 | - |
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05/29 | #15 | #20 | - |
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05/26 | #13 | #30 | - |
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05/26 | #13 | #17 | - |
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07/02 | #14 | #22 | - |
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06/04 | #10 | #22 | - |
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05/21 | #12 | #11 | - |
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05/21 | #19 | #21 | - |
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05/18 | #13 | #16 | - |
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07/01 | #15 | #13 | - |
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07/02 | #12 | #15 | - |
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05/11 | #13 | #17 | - |
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05/09 | #13 | #16 | - |
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05/11 | #14 | #20 | - |
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06/16 | #13 | #15 | - |
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04/29 | #13 | #23 | - |
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05/04 | #15 | #18 | - |
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04/28 | #15 | #14 | - |
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04/27 | #15 | #18 | - |
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04/27 | #15 | #21 | - |
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06/09 | #15 | #18 | - |
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07/07 | #12 | #18 | - |
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05/20 | #10 | #18 | - |
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04/20 | #15 | #14 | - |
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04/06 | #10 | #15 | - |
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06/22 | #10 | #19 | - |
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03/24 | #13 | #21 | - |
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03/09 | #13 | #23 | - |
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01/07 | #7 | #23 | - |
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01/07 | #9 | #23 | - |
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01/07 | #9 | #23 | - |
Patrick Mahomes II QB - KC Patrick Mahomes II QB - KC | Kyler Murray QB - MIN Kyler Murray QB - MIN | |
| 2026 Schedule | ||
| Week 1 | vs. DEN | vs. GB |
| Week 2 | vs. IND | at CHI |
| Week 3 | at MIA | at TB |
| Week 4 | at LV | vs. MIA |
| Week 5 | BYE WEEK | at NO |
| Week 6 | vs. LAC | BYE WEEK |
| Week 7 | at SEA | vs. IND |
| Week 8 | at DEN | at DET |
| Week 9 | vs. NYJ | vs. BUF |
| Week 10 | at ATL | at GB |
| Week 11 | vs. ARI | at SF |
| Week 12 | at BUF | vs. ATL |
| Week 13 | at LAR | vs. CAR |
| Week 14 | at CIN | at NE |
| Week 15 | vs. NE | vs. DET |
| Week 16 | vs. SF | vs. WAS |
| Week 17 | at LAC | at NYJ |
| Week 18 | vs. LV | vs. CHI |
Patrick Mahomes II QB - KC Patrick Mahomes II QB - KC | Kyler Murray QB - MIN Kyler Murray QB - MIN | |
| Passing | ||
| Pass Att | 552.1 | 497.4 |
| Pass Cmp | 350.0 | 329.2 |
| Pass Yards | 3,832.6 | 3,472.4 |
| Pass TDs | 26.7 | 22.8 |
| Ints | 11.6 | 14.3 |
| Rushing | ||
| Rush Attempts | 63.7 | 79.6 |
| Rush Yards | 376.1 | 475.8 |
| Rush TDs | 3.4 | 3.4 |
| Misc | ||
| Fumbles | 2.0 | 3.8 |
| Points | ||
| Fantasy Points | 302.7 | 276.1 |
Patrick Mahomes II QB - KC Patrick Mahomes II QB - KC | Kyler Murray QB - MIN Kyler Murray QB - MIN | |
| 2025 Points | ||
| Week 1 | 26.0 | 18.3 |
| Week 2 | 23.1 | 15.0 |
| Week 3 | 13.2 | 14.1 |
| Week 4 | 27.3 | 18.1 |
| Week 5 | 27.7 | 15.3 |
| Week 6 | 31.5 | ‐ |
| Week 7 | 26.2 | ‐ |
| Week 8 | 25.0 | ‐ |
| Week 9 | 11.5 | ‐ |
| Week 10 | ‐ | ‐ |
| Week 11 | 14.3 | ‐ |
| Week 12 | 18.1 | ‐ |
| Week 13 | 29.4 | ‐ |
| Week 14 | 8.3 | ‐ |
| Week 15 | 14.1 | ‐ |
| Week 16 | ‐ | ‐ |
| Week 17 | ‐ | ‐ |
| Week 18 | ‐ | ‐ |
| Total | 295.7 | 80.8 |
| Average | 21.1 | 16.2 |
Patrick Mahomes II QB - KC Patrick Mahomes II QB - KC | Kyler Murray QB - MIN Kyler Murray QB - MIN | |
| Expert | ||
| Derek Brown FantasyPros | Last year, we only got to see Kyler Murray for five games. In the previous six seasons, he had never finished lower than QB12 in fantasy points per game. Could he be a QB1 in 2026 with the Minnesota Vikings? Yep, it's possible. We'll see how the quarterback camp battle shakes out with Murray against J.J. McCarthy, but I'd be shocked if Murray isn't starting Week 1, with how his contract is structured and him choosing Minny over a bunch of other destinations. Last year, in his limited starting sample before being sidelined with a foot injury, Murray had the seventh-lowest yards per attempt, the fourth-lowest aDOT, and the fifth-lowest hero throw rate (per Fantasy Points Data). None of those numbers will make you feel warm and fuzzy, but the risk is essentially priced into Murray's ADP while his upside as a QB1 hasn't been. I have never been a Murray fan, but at this price point I'm willing to take the occasional late-round swing on him in 2026. | |
| Pat Fitzmaurice FantasyPros | Patrick Mahomes' fantasy appeal has diminished in recent years, and now the nine-year veteran is trying to recover from a major knee injury. Mahomes tore the ACL and LCL in his left knee late in the Chiefs' Week 15 loss to the Chargers in mid-December. Reports say he has been rehabbing aggressively in hopes of starting the Chiefs' Monday-night season opener against the Broncos on Sept. 14, which comes three days before his 31st birthday. Even if Mahomes is able to return for Week 1, his mobility could be compromised. Mahomes' rushing production helped him get off to a fast fantasy start in 2025. Through eight weeks, he was QB1 in fantasy scoring at 25 points per game, fueled in part by 280 rushing yards and four TD runs. Mahomes finished the year tied for QB2 in fantasy points per game behind Josh Allen, after finishing QB11 in FPPG (six games minimum) in both 2023 and 2024. Kansas City didn't make any significant additions to Mahomes' pass-catching arsenal in the offseason, but the Chiefs added RB Kenneth Walker III, who could make Mahomes' life easier by providing the Chiefs with a credible running threat. | After seven topsy-turvy seasons with the Cardinals, Kyler Murray will make a fresh start with the Vikings in 2026. Murray may or may not be in a quarterback competition with JJ McCarthy for Minnesota's starting job, but it's widely expected that Murray will be taking the snaps when the Vikings face the Packers in Week 1. Murray played only five games last season before sustaining a foot sprain that eventually landed him on injured reserve. Murray's yearly finishes in fantasy points per game among quarterbacks with at least five starts: QB11, QB4, QB4, QB7, QB9, QB12, QB20. Murray steps into a good situation with Kevin O'Connell as his playcaller, and he'll have Justin Jefferson, Jordan Addison and Jauan Jennings as his wide receivers. Murray has always added rushing value, having averaged at least 30 rushing per game in all seven of his NFL seasons. The perception might be that Murray is damaged goods, but he could be one of the better QB values in 2026 fantasy drafts. |
| Andrew Erickson FantasyPros | Our first report on Patrick Mahomes' return from injury came on January 15th, when he claimed that he is aiming to return for Week 1 with no restrictions. Given his mid-December surgery, Week 1 seems aggressively optimistic (less than 9 months). That's really the main question mark regarding Mahomes - when will he return and how effective will he be? Especially with his mobility. Mahomes ran a lot more in 2025 than he has in years past, hitting career-highs across the board (QB2 in PPG). But his passing has dipped in four consecutive seasons. And the injury makes it seem very much less likely we get Mahomes running nearly as much, especially to keep him out of harm's way. Low-end QB1 territory feels right for the Chiefs QB, weighing his early-season performance with a high return in the latter portion of the 2026 season. | |
