Mike Evans and the Bucs will be the latest team to attempt to exploit the Saints’ defense
Week 13 went pretty well, especially for those who went with my premium stack. You can’t go wrong with stacking against the putrid New Orleans Saints defense and Cam Newton and company feasted on the hapless Saints.
Spoiler alert: I’ll be stacking against the Saints again this week, but this stack may not be as obvious. Before I reveal my Week 14 stacks, let’s take a glance at how I fared last week. All point totals come from FanDuel.
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WEEK 13 RECAP
Premium Stack
Cam Newton – 37.14 points
Jonathan Stewart – 16.8 points
Ted Ginn Jr. – 22.5 points
The Panthers were one of my best stacks of the season. Newton connected twice with Ginn for a touchdown and Stewart was more than acceptable with a solid performance. In other news, the Saints cannot stop anyone.
Value Stack
Tom Brady – 34.28 points
Brandon LaFell – 4.7 points
Scott Chandler – 14.1 points
Aside from Brady, this stack didn’t perform as well as I anticipated. In fact, the Patriots lost at home to the same Eagles’ team that got drubbed by Detroit last weekend. Brandon LaFell simply isn’t a very good player even though he’s one of Brady’s last options standing. Chandler scored a touchdown, but wasn’t quite as active in the offense as I had hoped.
Risky Stack
Ryan Tannehill – 8.54 points
Jarvis Landry – 1.5 points
The Dolphins are really bad. So bad, that they couldn’t capitalize against a secondary that has surrendered 22 passing touchdowns on the season. That’s about all I’ve got on this stack, other than that Miami is now on my list of teams I won’t be stacking the rest of the season. You’re dead to me, Miami!
Now that I’ve let go of Miami, let’s move on to hopefully another strong week of stacks. The season is coming to an end, so it’s time to make the big bucks now! As always, all price tags come from FanDuel.
WEEK 14 PREDICTIONS
Premium Stack
Seattle Seahawks @ Baltimore Ravens, (1 p.m. ET kickoff)
Players of note
Russell Wilson ($8,500), Doug Baldwin ($6,800), Seattle Seahawks D/ST ($5,300)
Rationale
I’m typically wary of West Coast teams traveling east for an early kickoff, but after seeing what Seattle did against the Minnesota Vikings in the same situation last week, I am confident in this stack. Russell Wilson is playing his best football of the season and has thrown for 879 yards and 11 touchdowns during his last three games.
Wilson has primarily honed in on Baldwin in the passing game. Baldwin has caught five touchdown passes over the last two games and faces the aforementioned Ravens secondary that has allowed 22 touchdown passes this season.
Seattle’s defense should thrive against the king of the pick-six, Matt Schaub. Expect a big day for the Seahawks, who cannot afford to drop a game against a futile foe. That’s not even my favorite stack of the week, either.
Value Stack
New Orleans Saints @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1 p.m. ET kickoff)
Players of note
Jameis Winston ($7,800), Mike Evans ($8,000), Vincent Jackson ($6,800)
Do you feel spontaneous? Do you like pirates? Then stack the Tampa Bay Buccaneers this week. In all seriousness, stacking against the Saints is always a good option these days. However, the Bucs could feast on New Orleans’ 31st ranked pass defense.
The tricky part with this stack was determining which wideout to stack. Instead, I opted to take both wideouts and patch together a backfield elsewhere. Doug Martin is also the second most expensive running back on FanDuel this week, so the value isn’t that strong.
Winston has been playing some pretty good football the past few weeks. The rookie has thrown seven touchdowns and only two interceptions during Tampa’s last three games. Winston also played well against the Saints earlier in the season in his second start of his career. He tossed 207 yards, one touchdown and rushed six times for 23 yards and a score in September.
New Orleans’s defense is putrid and the Bucs have more than something to play for as they are in the thick of the playoff race. Expect one of the best performances of the season from Winston and the possibility of a touchdown for both Evans and Jackson, who both have a trio of scores this year.
Risky Stack
Indianapolis Colts @ Jacksonville Jaguars (1 p.m. ET kickoff)
Players of note
Blake Bortles ($7,700), Allen Robinson ($8,500), T.J. Yeldon ($6,400)
Rationale
Don’t look now, but the Jacksonville Jaguars are, dare I say, a respectable on offense. Bortles threw for 322 yards and five touchdowns in a loss to Tennessee last week and 153 of those yards and three of those touchdowns went to Robinson.
Bortles and Robinson connected 11 times for 116 yards and a touchdown during the first meeting between the teams and that should continue this time around. The Colts rank 30th in the NFL with an average of 280 passing yards allowed per game.
Yeldon has been devoid in the touchdown department this season, but he put up his second-best performance of the season against the Colts earlier in the season. Yeldon ran for 105 yards on 22 carries in the first meeting between these teams. Indianapolis ranks 24th in the NFL in run defense and allows an average of 118.7 rushing yards per game.
The Jaguars should be in store for another really strong outing against a lousy Indianapolis defense. If you’re looking for a cheaper option, the Jaguars may be your best bet out there this week.
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Matt Barbato is a correspondent at FantasyPros. For more from Matt, you can view his archive or follow him @realmattbarbato.
