Who Should I Draft?

Andrew Luck or Matthew Stafford (2014)

Expert Pick %
65%
37%
ECR
# 4
# 5
Best
# 3
# 1
Worst
# 21
# 15
Ave Projection (?)
18.4
20.0
Best
23.1
25.4
Worst
15.4
17.9
Expert Pick %
65%
37%
 Derek Lofland
Fantasy Football Maniax
Nick Vertucci
Sundays Are For Football
 Kyle Wachtel
Forensic Fantasy

 Kelly Smelser
Punch Drunk Wonderland
Cory Bonini
USA Today
 Brendan Donahue
EDSFootball
Site Rankings
FantasyOMatic
 Bryan Fontaine
RotoGrinders
James Hatfield
Hatty Waiver Wire Guru
 Walton Spurlin
FantasySharks
Eddie Cooley
Sundays Are For Football
 Zach Greubel
Gridiron Experts
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
 Mike Rigz
Gridiron Experts
Jason Willan
Gridiron Experts
 Akbar Gbaja-Biamila
NFL.com
Michael Fabiano
NFL.com
 Dan Clasgens
Get Sports Info
Staff Composite
NFL.com
 Jake Ciely
RotoExperts
Jason Smith
NFL.com
 Jeff Haseley
FootballGuys
Marcus Grant
NFL.com
 Justin Boone
The Score
Christopher Harris
ESPN
 Tozzi Brothers
Legion Report
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
 David Gonos
DavidGonos.com
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
 Staff Rankings
DavidGonos.com
Addison Witt
Fantasy Team Advice
 Staff Rankings
ESPN
Eric Mack
Bleacher Report
 Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
Kyle Wachtel
Forensic Fantasy
 Ken Zalis
Pressbox
Sablich Brothers
The NY Times
 Antonio DArcangelis
FFToday
Bob Henry
FootballGuys
 Staff Rankings
Fantasy Knuckleheads
Maurile Tremblay
FootballGuys
 Terrance Bridgett
ProjectRoto
Alessandro Miglio
FootballGuys
 Salvatore Stefanile
XN Sports
Austin Lee
FootballGuys
 Tom Poisal
Top Tier Football
David Dodds
FootballGuys
 Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
Brian Dezelske
Fake Pigskin
 Bill Enright
FFChamps
Seth Klein
Razzball
 Matthew Berry
ESPN
Ryan Rufe
RotoBaller
 Jim McCormick
ESPN
Staff Rankings
FFToolbox
 Brent Namejko
Fantasy Smack Talk
Matt De Lima
FFToolbox
 Adrian Pereira
eDraft
Pat Fitzmaurice
The Football Girl
 Joshua Kay
The Fantasy Fix
Neil Parker
Fantasy Sports LR
 Tony Mauriello
ProjectRoto
Kevin Roberts
Breaking Football
 Ryan Hodge
ProjectRoto
Joel Beall
Fox Sports
 Ben Standig
CSN Washington
Doug Orth
FFToday
 Russell Clay
Dynasty League Football
C.D. Carter
XN Sports
 Des Bieler
The Washington Post
Rich Hribar
XN Sports
 Paul Greco
Paul Greco Sports
Eric Karabell
ESPN
 Huseyin Aksu
Fantasy Couch
Jason Longfellow
Razzball
 Tommy Rowan
Juan Elway
Nick Raducanu
ProjectRoto
 Joseph Dolan
Fantasy Guru
Sean Morris
Bruno Boys
 Ryan Boser
LeagueSafePost
Sean Koerner
STATS
 Russ Bliss
Fantasy Football Starters
Staff
Roto Analysis
 Emil Kadlec
Football Diehards
Kevin Hanson
EDSFootball
 Jamey Eisenberg
CBS Sports
Staff Composite
Yahoo! Sports
 Dan Yanotchko
EDSFootball
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
 Sean Beazley
EDSFootball
Matt Smith
NFL.com
 Ross Miles
Pro Football Focus
Adam Rank
NFL.com
 Jeff Ratcliffe
Pro Football Focus
Sigmund Bloom
FootballGuys
 Nate Hodges
Pro Football Focus
Mike Krueger
FFToday
 Chet Gresham
The Fake Football
Terrance Bridgett
ProjectRoto
 Tom Schriner
FFLockerRoom
Marc Caviglia
Bruno Boys
 Adam Pfeifer
ProjectRoto
Jeff Collins
Fantasy Contrarians
 Staff Rankings
RosterWatch
Dave Major
XN Sports
 Matthew Hill
Fantasy Team Advice
Site Projections
scoutPRO
 Michael Pichan
Fantasy Alarm
Steve Olson
StatSims
 Mike Tagliere
Tags Fantasy Football
 
 Chris Heil
Sportable
 
 John Paulsen
4for4.com
 
 Dennis Esser
Coach Esser
 
 Staff Composite
Fox Sports
 
 Adam Meyer
Fox Sports
 
 R.J. White
Fantasy Football Cafe
 
 Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
 
 Dawgmatica
Pyromaniac
 
 Mike Clay
Pro Football Focus
 
 Greg Smith
The Fake Football
 
 Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
 
 Micah James
FFMagicMan
 
 Jody Smith
Gridiron Experts
 
 Jon Collins
Fantasy Sports LR
 
 Ryan Fowler
Fox Sports
 
 Muntradamus
Beast Dome
 
 Ryan Noonan
The Fantasy Fix
 
 The FFGhost
Dynasty League Football
 
 Gene Wang
The Washington Post
 
 Staff Rankings
2MugsFF
 
 Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
 
 Jeff Paur
RTSports
 
 Smitty
Fantasy Football Starters
 
 Mike Harmon
Swollen Dome
 
 Patrick Thorman
Pro Football Focus
 
 Brad Evans
Yahoo! Sports
 
 Raju Byfield
Win My Fantasy League
 
 Zach Wilkens
RotoBaller
 
 Staff Composite
Sports Illustrated
 
 Scott Cullen
TSN
 
 Dave Richard
CBS Sports
 
 Jeff Brubach
The Fake Football
 
 Brandon Funston
Yahoo! Sports
 
 Scott Whitfield
Roto Rankings
 
 Brett Talley
The Fantasy Fix
 
 Davis Mattek
Sports Wunderkind
 
 Nathan Jahnke
Pro Football Focus
 
 Matt Waldman
FootballGuys
 
 John Halpin
Fox Sports
 
 Nathan Miller
Revelation Sports
 
 Cedric Hopkins
Field & Court
 
ECR
# 4
# 5
Best
# 3
# 1
Worst
# 21
# 15
Nick Vertucci
Sundays Are For Football
5
1

5
2
Cory Bonini
USA Today
5
2
Site Rankings
FantasyOMatic
13
3
James Hatfield
Hatty Waiver Wire Guru
6
4
Eddie Cooley
Sundays Are For Football
5
4
Derek Lofland
Fantasy Football Maniax
3
4
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
6
4
Jason Willan
Gridiron Experts
5
4
Michael Fabiano
NFL.com
5
4
Staff Composite
NFL.com
5
4
Jason Smith
NFL.com
8
4
Marcus Grant
NFL.com
5
4
Christopher Harris
ESPN
5
4
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
5
4
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
5
4
Addison Witt
Fantasy Team Advice
5
4
Eric Mack
Bleacher Report
5
4
Kyle Wachtel
Forensic Fantasy
5
5
Sablich Brothers
The NY Times
5
4
Kelly Smelser
Punch Drunk Wonderland
3
4
Bob Henry
FootballGuys
5
4
Maurile Tremblay
FootballGuys
5
4
Alessandro Miglio
FootballGuys
5
4
Austin Lee
FootballGuys
9
5
David Dodds
FootballGuys
5
4
Brian Dezelske
Fake Pigskin
7
4
Seth Klein
Razzball
5
4
Ryan Rufe
RotoBaller
9
4
Staff Rankings
FFToolbox
11
4
Matt De Lima
FFToolbox
5
4
Pat Fitzmaurice
The Football Girl
5
4
Neil Parker
Fantasy Sports LR
6
4
Kevin Roberts
Breaking Football
6
4
Joel Beall
Fox Sports
6
4
Doug Orth
FFToday
5
4
C.D. Carter
XN Sports
6
4
Rich Hribar
XN Sports
5
4
Eric Karabell
ESPN
5
4
Jason Longfellow
Razzball
8
4
Nick Raducanu
ProjectRoto
5
4
Sean Morris
Bruno Boys
5
4
Sean Koerner
STATS
7
4
Staff
Roto Analysis
5
4
Kevin Hanson
EDSFootball
6
5
Brendan Donahue
EDSFootball
4
5
Bryan Fontaine
RotoGrinders
4
5
Walton Spurlin
FantasySharks
4
5
Staff Composite
Yahoo! Sports
6
5
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
11
5
Zach Greubel
Gridiron Experts
4
5
Mike Rigz
Gridiron Experts
4
5
Matt Smith
NFL.com
6
5
Adam Rank
NFL.com
8
5
Akbar Gbaja-Biamila
NFL.com
4
5
Dan Clasgens
Get Sports Info
4
5
Jake Ciely
RotoExperts
4
5
Sigmund Bloom
FootballGuys
7
5
Jeff Haseley
FootballGuys
4
5
Justin Boone
The Score
4
5
Tozzi Brothers
Legion Report
4
5
David Gonos
DavidGonos.com
4
5
Staff Rankings
DavidGonos.com
4
5
Staff Rankings
ESPN
4
5
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
4
5
Ken Zalis
Pressbox
4
5
Mike Krueger
FFToday
7
5
Antonio DArcangelis
FFToday
4
5
Staff Rankings
Fantasy Knuckleheads
4
5
Terrance Bridgett
ProjectRoto
6
6
Salvatore Stefanile
XN Sports
4
5
Tom Poisal
Top Tier Football
3
5
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
4
5
Bill Enright
FFChamps
4
5
Matthew Berry
ESPN
4
5
Jim McCormick
ESPN
4
5
Brent Namejko
Fantasy Smack Talk
4
5
Adrian Pereira
eDraft
4
5
Joshua Kay
The Fantasy Fix
4
5
Tony Mauriello
ProjectRoto
4
5
Ryan Hodge
ProjectRoto
4
5
Ben Standig
CSN Washington
4
5
Russell Clay
Dynasty League Football
4
5
Des Bieler
The Washington Post
4
5
Paul Greco
Paul Greco Sports
4
5
Huseyin Aksu
Fantasy Couch
4
5
Tommy Rowan
Juan Elway
4
5
Marc Caviglia
Bruno Boys
6
5
Joseph Dolan
Fantasy Guru
4
5
Ryan Boser
LeagueSafePost
4
5
Russ Bliss
Fantasy Football Starters
4
5
Emil Kadlec
Football Diehards
4
5
Jeff Collins
Fantasy Contrarians
16
5
Jamey Eisenberg
CBS Sports
4
6
Dan Yanotchko
EDSFootball
3
6
Sean Beazley
EDSFootball
4
6
Ross Miles
Pro Football Focus
4
6
Jeff Ratcliffe
Pro Football Focus
4
6
Nate Hodges
Pro Football Focus
4
6
Chet Gresham
The Fake Football
4
6
Tom Schriner
FFLockerRoom
4
6
Adam Pfeifer
ProjectRoto
4
6
Staff Rankings
RosterWatch
4
6
Matthew Hill
Fantasy Team Advice
4
6
Michael Pichan
Fantasy Alarm
4
6
Mike Tagliere
Tags Fantasy Football
4
6
Chris Heil
Sportable
5
6
John Paulsen
4for4.com
5
6
Dennis Esser
Coach Esser
4
6
Staff Composite
Fox Sports
4
6
Adam Meyer
Fox Sports
5
6
Dave Major
XN Sports
12
6
R.J. White
Fantasy Football Cafe
4
6
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
4
6
Dawgmatica
Pyromaniac
4
6
Mike Clay
Pro Football Focus
4
7
Greg Smith
The Fake Football
4
7
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
6
7
Micah James
FFMagicMan
4
7
Jody Smith
Gridiron Experts
4
7
Jon Collins
Fantasy Sports LR
4
7
Ryan Fowler
Fox Sports
5
7
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
5
7
Ryan Noonan
The Fantasy Fix
5
7
The FFGhost
Dynasty League Football
4
7
Gene Wang
The Washington Post
3
7
Staff Rankings
2MugsFF
4
7
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
4
7
Jeff Paur
RTSports
5
7
Smitty
Fantasy Football Starters
6
7
Mike Harmon
Swollen Dome
5
7
Site Projections
scoutPRO
8
7
Patrick Thorman
Pro Football Focus
4
8
Brad Evans
Yahoo! Sports
4
8
Raju Byfield
Win My Fantasy League
4
8
Zach Wilkens
RotoBaller
4
8
Staff Composite
Sports Illustrated
4
8
Scott Cullen
TSN
3
8
Dave Richard
CBS Sports
4
9
Jeff Brubach
The Fake Football
4
9
Brandon Funston
Yahoo! Sports
7
9
Scott Whitfield
Roto Rankings
4
9
Brett Talley
The Fantasy Fix
4
9
Davis Mattek
Sports Wunderkind
6
9
Nathan Jahnke
Pro Football Focus
4
11
Matt Waldman
FootballGuys
3
11
John Halpin
Fox Sports
5
11
Nathan Miller
Revelation Sports
4
12
Cedric Hopkins
Field & Court
4
15
Steve Olson
StatSims
21
15
Ave Projection (?)
18.4
20.0
Best
23.1
25.4
Worst
15.4
17.9
Pass Yards
293.8
292.0
Pass TDs
2.0
1.7
Ints
0.9
0.8
Rush Yards
4.4
20.3
James Hatfield
Hatty Waiver Wire Guru
He can be a turnover machine, but he does put up over 4,000 yards and around 30 TDs a year.
We have to see over 30+ TDs to consider Luck elite. Reggie Wayne returns and we should finally see Luck break over 30 TDs.
  
Derek Lofland
Fantasy Football Maniax
He has been a train wreck as a NFL quarterback the last two years, but finished 11th in 2012 and 7th in 2013 among fantasy quarterbacks. He's a fantasy QB1 as long as he is paired with All-Pro WR Calvin Johnson. The addition of free agent WR Golden Tate and rookie TE Eric Ebron could help his value even more in 2014. Stafford has reportedly looked great early in training camp.
I think the perception around fantasy circles was that Andrew Luck had a disappointing season, he actually finished fourth among fantasy quarterbacks and I think he could have a breakout season in his third year against the easiest schedule in the NFL based on last year's record. The biggest concern is whether offensive coordinator Pep Hamilton will do a better job of calling the game to allow Luck to have monster games more consistently.
  
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
Stafford has all the weapons to be one of the top QB's in the game today, the only question is can he bring his ridiculous TO ratio down (52 total INT's the past 3 seasons). He should finish right around 5000 passing yards and 30 TD's this season, as new OC Joe Lombardi will ask him to throw just as often as years past.
If Luck could partner up with a head coach like Sean Peyton, he would be a top 3 fantasy QB. As it is, the Colts love to run the ball, and don't look to put up big numbers, meaning you shouldn't reach too early for Luck on draft day
  
Sablich Brothers
The NY Times
Can only get better with new OC Joe Lombardi, a legitimate WR2 in Tate and new TE Ebron.
O.C Pep Hamilton's obsession with his much weaker ground attack is a little concerning.
  
Pat Fitzmaurice
The Football Girl
Numbers have been volume-dependent, but little reason to think volume will ebb.
The ascent continues. It won't be long before he's on the top tier.
  
Kevin Roberts
Breaking Football
There is another level for Stafford if he can refine sloppy mechanics. Until that happens, he will struggle with consistency. Still, he's easily a top-10 fantasy QB.
Luck was awesome last year, even without Reggie Wayne and despite bad play-calling. Imagine what he can do with Wayne and more passes.
  
Tozzi Brothers
Legion Report
We like Stafford to take an even bigger step forward this year. With the acquisition of Golden Tate and Eric Ebron, Stafford adds more sizzle to an arsenal that already included Calvin Johnson, Reggie Bush and Joique Bell. Reggie Bush stated that the Lions New Offensive Scheme is “exactly the same” as the one he learned with the Saints. With new OC Joe Lombardi aboard (Previously spending his last 7 seasons in New Orleans) look for him to bring an up-tempo look to the Detroit Offense in 2014. During Lombardi’s time in the NOLA, their offense ranked: 1st, 2nd, 6th, 1st, 1st & 4th in Total Offense. We’re buying the Detroit Offense and recommending Stafford as a no doubt QB for 2014.
This is the next tier according to fantasy football standards and one where you lose the monstrous numbers of the “Big 4?. With another year of development under his belt, Luck continues to grow as an offensive mastermind. OC Pep “Stubborn” Hamilton and his run-first attack kept Luck from over-performing last season. Enter Rob Chudzinski “personal assistant to the Head Coach.” Pagano hired Chud in hopes to influence less of a run game in the Indi offense, as well as his outstanding QB production. Lets not forget Chud is an aggressive aerial attack type of commander who groomed a Pro Bowl berth out of Derek Anderson in Cleveland and a massive record setting rookie year with Cam Newton in Carolina. With the addition of Hackeem Nicks and a healthy Dwayne Allen, Luck’s 2014 Fantasy Potential is mammoth. Luck has averaged 598 Passing Attempts per season and is a generational talent, just not quite in the Tier 1 category on a fantasy football perspective, yet. We said YET!
  
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
Draft with confidence, especially after Manning, Rodgers, and Brees are off the board.
 
  
Chet Gresham
The Fake Football
The addition of Golden Tate is going to be a huge one for Stafford, but getting a more efficient offense from Joe Lombardi is going to help even more.
Pep Hamilton doesn't like your fake football team and would rather run the ball than let his top QB throw it, but the Colts defense might not be on board with that plan. I think Luck will have to air it out more than Pep would like.
  
Tom Schriner
FFLockerRoom
We really believe that Stafford makes the jump this year into a prime-time fantasy football quarterback. We can't give him a top-tier rating just yet, but with Calvin Johnson and company to throw to and a backfield loaded with running backs who can catch the ball, Stafford should produce explosive numbers. He comes in at a positive 0.375 on the FFLockerRoom True Proficiency Game Average. http://fflockerroom.com/2014/07/25/2014-fantasy-football-draft-preparation-quarterback-proficiency/
Hakeem Nicks was added to an already solid receiving group giving the young quarterback a full-stable of capable hands. While Luck didn't have the greatest of statistical seasons last year, putting up a total of 4,300+ yards and 27 touchdowns, he did cut his interceptions in half and will be leaned on heavier this season to carry the Colts' offense. He did end up with a negative -0.125 FFLockerRoom True Proficiency Game Average last year, but his consistency should continue to head north. http://fflockerroom.com/2014/07/25/2014-fantasy-football-draft-preparation-quarterback-proficiency/
  
Jon Collins
Fantasy Sports LR
In the only three full seasons in his career, Stafford is averaging 4885 yards and sees a massive upgrade in context this season. Pass catching backs, improving TE/WR positions, Calvin Johnson presumed healthy... Detroit should still be in its share of shootouts, leaving lots of scoring for Stafford and co.
 
  
Staff Rankings
2MugsFF
 
Bumped ahead of Foles. Passing volume on a weekly basis will be there to propel him ahead.
  
Brandon Funston
Yahoo! Sports
346 pass yards, 2 TDs in W1 and played w/ high efficiency (0 TOs, only 32 passes); DET oozing skill position talent