Who Should I Draft?

Ben Tate or Ryan Mathews (2014)

Revise
Expert Pick %
76%
24%
ECR
# 16
# 22
Best
# 7
# 11
Worst
# 28
# 36
Ave Projection (?)
9.8
9.8
Best
15.0
14.6
Worst
5.9
7.5
Expert Pick %
76%
24%
 James Hatfield
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Dynasty League Football
 
ECR
# 16
# 22
Best
# 7
# 11
Worst
# 28
# 36
Scott Cullen
TSN
23
11
KJ
Fantasy Team Advice
17
12
Raju Byfield
Win My Fantasy League
19
12
Kelly Smelser
Punch Drunk Wonderland
24
14
Patrick Thorman
Pro Football Focus
23
15
Nathan Jahnke
Pro Football Focus
21
15
Jason Smith
NFL.com
22
15
Kyle Wachtel
Forensic Fantasy
19
16
Staff Rankings
ESPN
17
16
Pat Fitzmaurice
The Football Girl
17
16
Joel Beall
Fox Sports
20
16
Jake Ciely
RotoExperts
19
17
Salvatore Stefanile
XN Sports
21
17
James Hatfield
Hatty Waiver Wire Guru
17
18
Greg Smith
The Fake Football
23
18
Jeff Brubach
The Fake Football
21
18
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
22
18
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
14
18
Alessandro Miglio
FootballGuys
23
18
Scott Whitfield
Roto Rankings
16
18
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
19
18
Dave Major
XN Sports
23
18
Jeff Paur
RTSports
21
18
Sean Morris
Bruno Boys
14
18
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
25
18
Eddie Cooley
Sundays Are For Football
21
19
Derek Lofland
Fantasy Football Maniax
21
19
Ross Miles
Pro Football Focus
18
19
Micah James
FFMagicMan
18
19
Mike Rigz
Gridiron Experts
16
19
Sablich Brothers
The NY Times
16
19
Ryan Rufe
RotoBaller
16
19
C.D. Carter
XN Sports
15
19
Nick Raducanu
ProjectRoto
22
19
Jeff Ratcliffe
Pro Football Focus
17
20
Chet Gresham
The Fake Football
23
20
Brad Evans
Yahoo! Sports
18
20
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
16
20
Adam Rank
NFL.com
24
20
Matthew Hill
Fantasy Team Advice
22
20
Tozzi Brothers
Legion Report
17
20
Adam Meyer
Fox Sports
21
20
Rich Hribar
XN Sports
18
20
Tony Mauriello
ProjectRoto
17
20
Davis Mattek
Sports Wunderkind
19
20
Marc Caviglia
Bruno Boys
14
20
Joseph Dolan
Fantasy Guru
17
20
Mike Clay
Pro Football Focus
18
21
Dave McKay
The Fantasy Sports Brain
17
21
Maurile Tremblay
FootballGuys
16
21
Austin Lee
FootballGuys
20
21
Justin Boone
The Score
19
21
Chris Heil
Sportable
16
21
Dennis Esser
Coach Esser
16
21
David Gonos
DavidGonos.com
17
21
Staff Rankings
DavidGonos.com
16
21
Eric Karabell
ESPN
19
21
Matt De Lima
FFToolbox
17
21
Jim McCormick
ESPN
17
21
Brent Namejko
Fantasy Smack Talk
17
21
Ryan Noonan
The Fantasy Fix
19
21
Staff Rankings
2MugsFF
25
21
Wayne Bretsky
BretskyBall
25
21
Smitty
Fantasy Football Starters
23
21
Jeff Collins
Fantasy Contrarians
23
21
Staff
Roto Analysis
16
21
Staff Composite
NFL.com
20
22
Akbar Gbaja-Biamila
NFL.com
21
22
Addison Witt
Fantasy Team Advice
15
22
Eric Mack
Bleacher Report
20
22
Zach Wilkens
RotoBaller
21
22
Staff Composite
Fox Sports
17
22
Jon Collins
Fantasy Sports LR
18
22
Terrance Bridgett
ProjectRoto
19
25
Matthew Berry
ESPN
26
22
R.J. White
Fantasy Football Cafe
20
22
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
17
22
Ryan Boser
LeagueSafePost
20
22
Emil Kadlec
Football Diehards
17
22
Cory Bonini
USA Today
17
22
Dave Richard
CBS Sports
16
23
Kevin Hanson
EDSFootball
15
23
Brendan Donahue
EDSFootball
13
23
Nate Hodges
Pro Football Focus
16
23
Nathan Miller
Revelation Sports
18
23
Bob Henry
FootballGuys
17
23
Seth Klein
Razzball
18
23

13
23
John Paulsen
4for4.com
18
23
Doug Orth
FFToday
28
23
Antonio DArcangelis
FFToday
17
23
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
16
23
Adrian Pereira
eDraft
17
23
Ryan Hodge
ProjectRoto
17
23
Tommy Rowan
Juan Elway
24
23
Staff Composite
Sports Illustrated
17
23
Russ Bliss
Fantasy Football Starters
17
23
Sean Koerner
STATS
16
23
Dan Yanotchko
EDSFootball
17
24
Bryan Fontaine
RotoGrinders
17
24
Walton Spurlin
FantasySharks
16
24
Staff Composite
Yahoo! Sports
15
24
Marcus Grant
NFL.com
16
24
Mike Tagliere
Tags Fantasy Football
16
24
Brian Dezelske
Fake Pigskin
17
24
Kevin Roberts
Breaking Football
23
24
Ryan Fowler
Fox Sports
17
24
John Halpin
Fox Sports
16
24
Mike Krueger
FFToday
26
24
Ben Standig
CSN Washington
20
24
The FFGhost
Dynasty League Football
16
24
Des Bieler
The Washington Post
17
24
Dawgmatica
Pyromaniac
17
24
Nick Vertucci
Sundays Are For Football
19
25
Jody Smith
Gridiron Experts
18
25
Michael Fabiano
NFL.com
17
25
Matt Smith
NFL.com
20
25
David Dodds
FootballGuys
17
25
Bill Enright
FFChamps
17
25
Cedric Hopkins
Field & Court
17
25
Huseyin Aksu
Fantasy Couch
17
25
Adam Pfeifer
ProjectRoto
21
26
Brandon Funston
Yahoo! Sports
12
26
Michael Pichan
Fantasy Alarm
23
26
Sigmund Bloom
FootballGuys
17
26
Staff Rankings
Fantasy Knuckleheads
18
26
Staff Rankings
FFToolbox
21
26
Mike Harmon
Swollen Dome
15
26
Sean Beazley
EDSFootball
18
27
Staff Rankings
RosterWatch
21
27
Zach Greubel
Gridiron Experts
21
27
Christopher Harris
ESPN
15
27
Dan Clasgens
Get Sports Info
15
27
Ken Zalis
Pressbox
16
27
Paul Greco
Paul Greco Sports
13
27
Jamey Eisenberg
CBS Sports
20
28
Jason Willan
Gridiron Experts
16
28
Matt Waldman
FootballGuys
19
28
Brett Talley
The Fantasy Fix
19
28
Steve Olson
StatSims
11
28
Tom Schriner
FFLockerRoom
21
29
Jeff Haseley
FootballGuys
23
29
Tom Poisal
Top Tier Football
22
29
Jason Longfellow
Razzball
7
30
Site Rankings
FantasyOMatic
21
31
Neil Parker
Fantasy Sports LR
20
32
Gene Wang
The Washington Post
16
32
Joshua Kay
The Fantasy Fix
16
33
Site Projections
scoutPRO
17
33
Russell Clay
Dynasty League Football
9
36
Ave Projection (?)
9.8
9.8
Best
15.0
14.6
Worst
5.9
7.5
Rush Yards
65.4
61.8
Rush TDs
0.3
0.2
Receptions
2.0
2.8
Rec Yards
15.3
20.0
Rec TDs
0.0
0.2
Ave Targets / Game
2.1
3.5
Total Targets
33.0
49.0
Raju Byfield
Win My Fantasy League
Ryan Mathews rumbled his way to a post-hype breakout last season and should see 250 plus touches though he will lose work on valuable passing downs.
Ben Tate when healthy has RB1 skills but as has become the case with other talented yet oft injured running backs he gets knocked down a couple of tiers until he can prove he can handle 250 plus touches; he also has ideal schematic fit Terrance West and fellow rookie Isaiah Crowell to contend with for snaps and may see himself Arian Foster’d once again.
  
Pat Fitzmaurice
The Football Girl
Productive when healthy, and he actually stayed healthy last season.
Yes, injury-prone, but fits Browns' new scheme perfectly and will get good blocking.
  
James Hatfield
Hatty Waiver Wire Guru
He is such a risky pick due to his injury history. He has upside, but don't draft him too early.
Tate will lose carries to West so if you do draft Tate you have to target West as a backup as Tate has been known to be injured.
  
Derek Lofland
Fantasy Football Maniax
Mathews had a surprising season with 1,444 yards from scrimmage and seven total touchdowns, making him the 12th ranked fantasy back in 2013. An awful injury history makes me skeptical that he will repeat that in 2014, but the Chargers offense is on the rise and he has a boatload of talent. The signing of free agent RB Donald Brown could also zap his fantasy upside.
The worst kept secret in free agency was Tate ending up in Cleveland. Tate tallied only 771 yards and four touchdowns last year, but the Browns are in desperate need of a starting running back. He is a monster upgrade over the backs they started there last year. Keep an eye on third-round pick, RB Terrance West. He could eat into Tate's carries.
  
Sablich Brothers
The NY Times
Set career-highs in carries (285), games played (16) and yards (1255) in 2013.
Has performed well enough this summer to distance himself from West.
  
Chet Gresham
The Fake Football
Mathews talked about there being a 3 headed monster in the backfield, which must have scared him since he fumbled at the goal line in their first preseason game. I still like him in a run first offense, but his upside is limited.
There's been much hype for Terrence West and Isaiah Crowell, but Tate is still the lead back and as long as he's healthy should remain. Running QBs help running backs, so if Manziel wins the job I like Tate to be helped by him.
  
Tozzi Brothers
Legion Report
“Ryan is as tough as a runner as I’ve been around,” says Chargers OC Frank Reich. “He’s just a physically dominating runner. And he brings a physical presence to the game, which we love. The offensive line senses it, and they love blocking for him because of his physicality.” Mathews is clearly the workhorse back in a heavy run Offensive Scheme, however, the addition of RBs Donald Brown and Marion Grice will reduce Mathews early season workload. Mathews ran the ball over 26 times per game the last 4 games of the season last year which resulted in his poor playoff performance. This season, the Chargers take on 5 teams that rank below 20th in the league against the Run.
Browns.com’s Vic Carucci considers Ben Tate “at least a slight favorite” at RB, but expects third-round pick Terrance West to pose serious competition. Ben Tate was recently quoted saying, “I’m not worried about that because I know when I’m on my game, there’s no one that can really touch me or that’s close to what I do.” Tate has had a colorful injury history that make many hesitant including us. Cleveland will employ a heavy rushing attack in 2014 and Terrance West will pose as a serious threat to Tate. If you decide to draft Tate, surround yourself with the handcuff and additional backs to support this pick. Regardless, Cleveland will be implementing a heavy rushing attack. The Browns play 8 teams that ranked in the bottom half against the run in 2013.
  
Smitty
Fantasy Football Starters
 
Health is the only concern. He competed against Arian Foster in practice every day in HOU, competition isn't scaring him off. Health is his only battle.
  
Kevin Roberts
Breaking Football
Mathews might suddenly be one of the most underrated RBs in the league. Odd how that worked out.
There is real upside here, but Tate has an injury history and there's actually some fine talent behind him.
  
Tom Schriner
FFLockerRoom
Ryan Mathews proved to the fantasy community that he can be the player everyone thought he could be. It only took a few years and countless tears from fantasy owners. All signs point to good things... but you know the risk is still there.
Ben Tate is now a Cleveland Brown. But I'm not sure if this hurts or helps him. In Houston he had a great system and knew how to run with it. In Cleveland he has to deal with... well... Cleveland. Not to bash the fans, who are some of the most die-hard, but that entire team struggles. Tate has a chance to prove himself just don't bit on him early.