Who Should I Start? - Week 16

Percy Harvin or Steve Smith

Steve Smith
Steve Smith BAL
at HOU  Sun, 1:00 ET
Indoor (dome)
Percy Harvin
Percy Harvin NYJ
vs. NE  Sun, 1:00 ET
Clear Clear, 39 F, 6 mph
Probable - Ankle
Expert Pick %
96%
4%
ECR
# 28
# 47
Best
# 19
# 23
Worst
# 41
# 80
Ave Projection (?)
9.9
5.3
Best
14.1
5.7
Worst
7.1
3.1
Ave Points / Game
9.0
6.2
Total Fantasy Points
126.6
74.0
Opponent
HOU
NE
Points Allowed (?)
26.6
20.0
Expert Pick %
96%
4%
 Christopher Harris
ESPN
Jeff Brubach
The Fake Football
 Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
Marcus Grant
NFL.com
 Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
Alessandro Miglio
FootballGuys
 Eric Mack
Bleacher Report
Scott Spratt
Pro Football Focus
 Steve Olson
StatSims
Matt Smith
NFL.com
 Sigmund Bloom
FootballGuys
 
 Nick Raducanu
ProjectRoto
 
 Walton Spurlin
FantasySharks
 
 Staff Rankings
FFLockerRoom
 
 Matthew Berry
ESPN
 
 R.J. White
Fantasy Football Cafe
 
 Zach Wilkens
RotoBaller
 
 Walter Cherepinsky
WalterFootball
 
 Mike Tagliere
Tags Fantasy Football
 
 Adam Meyer
Fox Sports
 
 Raju Byfield
Win My Fantasy League
 
 Derek Lofland
Fantasy Football Maniax
 
 Adrian Pereira
eDraft
 
 Matthew Hill
Fantasy Team Advice
 
 Emil Kadlec
Football Diehards
 
 Mike Krueger
FFToday
 
 Adam Rank
NFL.com
 
 Staff Composite
NFL.com
 
 Terrance Bridgett
ProjectRoto
 
 Zach Greubel
Gridiron Experts
 
 Staff Composite
ESPN
 
 Dan Clasgens
Get Sports Info
 
 Staff
Roto Analysis
 
 Dave Richard
CBS Sports
 
 Michael Fabiano
NFL.com
 
 Chet Gresham
The Fake Football
 
 Austin Lee
FootballGuys
 
 Jody Smith
Gridiron Experts
 
 Justin Boone
The Score
 
 Marc Caviglia
Bruno Boys
 
 David Gonos
DavidGonos.com
 
 Jake Ciely
RotoExperts
 
 Joel Beall
Fox Sports
 
 Staff Composite
Fox Sports
 
 Eric Karabell
ESPN
 
 Tristan Cockcroft
ESPN
 
 Maurile Tremblay
FootballGuys
 
 Staff Composite
Yahoo! Sports
 
 Ross Miles
Pro Football Focus
 
 Nate Hodges
Pro Football Focus
 
 Kevin Roberts
Breaking Football
 
 Mike Rigz
Gridiron Experts
 
 Jason Willan
Gridiron Experts
 
 Brent Namejko
Fantasy Smack Talk
 
 C.D. Carter
XN Sports
 
 Dave Major
XN Sports
 
 John Halpin
Fox Sports
 
 Neil Parker
Fantasy Sports LR
 
 Dawgmatica
Pyromaniac
 
 Ben Standig
CSN Washington
 
 John Paulsen
4for4.com
 
 Adam Pfeifer
ProjectRoto
 
 Ryan Noonan
The Fantasy Fix
 
 Dan Yanotchko
EDSFootball
 
 Scott Engel
RotoExperts
 
 Tozzi Brothers
Legion Report
 
 The FFGhost
Dynasty League Football
 
 Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
 
 Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
 
 Sean Morris
Bruno Boys
 
 Salvatore Stefanile
XN Sports
 
 Cedric Hopkins
Field & Court
 
 Scott Cullen
TSN
 
 Staff Rankings
2MugsFF
 
 Tommy Rowan
Juan Elway
 
 Matthew Freedman
RotoViz
 
 David Dodds
FootballGuys
 
 Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
 
 Sean Beazley
EDSFootball
 
 Kelly Smelser
Punch Drunk Wonderland
 
 Staff Rankings
DavidGonos.com
 
 Russell Clay
Dynasty League Football
 
 Sablich Brothers
The New York Times
 
 Ryan Rufe
RotoBaller
 
 Patrick Daugherty
Rotoworld
 
 Michael Pichan
Fantasy Alarm
 
 Dennis Esser
Coach Esser
 
 Davis Mattek
Sports Wunderkind
 
 Mike Harmon
Swollen Dome
 
 Muntradamus
Beast Dome
 
 Brandon Funston
Yahoo! Sports
 
 Bryan Fontaine
Pro Football Focus
 
 Patrick Thorman
Pro Football Focus
 
 Nathan Jahnke
Pro Football Focus
 
 Kyle Wachtel
Forensic Fantasy
 
 Tom Poisal
Top Tier Football
 
 Jeff Collins
Fantasy Contrarians
 
 Kevin Hanson
EDSFootball
 
 Ryan Fowler
Fox Sports
 
 Ken Zalis
Pressbox
 
 Jeff Paur
RTSports
 
 Jason Longfellow
Razzball
 
 Scott Whitfield
Roto Rankings
 
 Jon Collins
Fantasy Sports LR
 
 Staff Rankings
RosterWatch
 
 Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
 
 Chris Heil
Sportable
 
 Rich Hribar
XN Sports
 
 Jeff Ratcliffe
Pro Football Focus
 
 Pat Fitzmaurice
The Football Girl
 
 Greg Smith
The Fake Football
 
 Brett Talley
The Fantasy Fix
 
 Nathan Miller
Revelation Sports
 
 Brad Evans
Yahoo! Sports
 
 Bill Enright
FFChamps
 
 Site Projections
scoutPRO
 
 Mike Clay
Pro Football Focus
 
 Staff Rankings
FFToolbox
 
 R.C. Fischer
Fantasy Football Metrics
 
 Joseph Dolan
Fantasy Guru
 
 Site Rankings
Bloomberg Sports
 
 Akbar Gbaja-Biamila
NFL.com
 
 Brian Dezelske
Fake Pigskin
 
 Site Projections
numberFire
 
 Tony Mauriello
ProjectRoto
 
 Jamey Eisenberg
CBS Sports
 
 James Hatfield
Hatty Waiver Wire Guru
 
ECR
# 28
# 47
Best
# 19
# 23
Worst
# 41
# 80
Jeff Brubach
The Fake Football
38
23
Marcus Grant
NFL.com
54
31
Alessandro Miglio
FootballGuys
32
31
Scott Spratt
Pro Football Focus
35
32
Matt Smith
NFL.com
52
33
Christopher Harris
ESPN
26
35
Scott Pianowski
Yahoo! Sports
21
36
Dalton Del Don
Yahoo! Sports
29
37
Eric Mack
Bleacher Report
23
37
Steve Olson
StatSims
20
37
Sigmund Bloom
FootballGuys
31
38
Nick Raducanu
ProjectRoto
30
38
Walton Spurlin
FantasySharks
28
39
Staff Rankings
FFLockerRoom
29
39
Matthew Berry
ESPN
26
39
R.J. White
Fantasy Football Cafe
31
39
Zach Wilkens
RotoBaller
34
39
Walter Cherepinsky
WalterFootball
20
40
Mike Tagliere
Tags Fantasy Football
29
40
Adam Meyer
Fox Sports
23
40
Raju Byfield
Win My Fantasy League
32
40
Derek Lofland
Fantasy Football Maniax
27
41
Adrian Pereira
eDraft
32
41
Matthew Hill
Fantasy Team Advice
27
41
Emil Kadlec
Football Diehards
19
41
Mike Krueger
FFToday
15
42
Adam Rank
NFL.com
30
42
Staff Composite
NFL.com
31
42
Terrance Bridgett
ProjectRoto
29
42
Zach Greubel
Gridiron Experts
29
42
Staff Composite
ESPN
19
42
Dan Clasgens
Get Sports Info
26
42
Staff
Roto Analysis
27
42
Dave Richard
CBS Sports
28
43
Michael Fabiano
NFL.com
28
43
Chet Gresham
The Fake Football
27
43
Austin Lee
FootballGuys
21
43
Jody Smith
Gridiron Experts
28
43
Justin Boone
The Score
35
43
Marc Caviglia
Bruno Boys
27
45
David Gonos
DavidGonos.com
26
45
Jake Ciely
RotoExperts
29
45
Joel Beall
Fox Sports
17
46
Staff Composite
Fox Sports
24
46
Eric Karabell
ESPN
21
46
Tristan Cockcroft
ESPN
17
46
Maurile Tremblay
FootballGuys
39
47
Staff Composite
Yahoo! Sports
27
47
Ross Miles
Pro Football Focus
28
47
Nate Hodges
Pro Football Focus
28
47
Kevin Roberts
Breaking Football
33
47
Mike Rigz
Gridiron Experts
27
47
Jason Willan
Gridiron Experts
29
47
Brent Namejko
Fantasy Smack Talk
34
47
C.D. Carter
XN Sports
27
47
Dave Major
XN Sports
28
47
John Halpin
Fox Sports
32
47
Neil Parker
Fantasy Sports LR
29
47
Dawgmatica
Pyromaniac
32
47
Ben Standig
CSN Washington
30
47
John Paulsen
4for4.com
29
48
Adam Pfeifer
ProjectRoto
19
48
Ryan Noonan
The Fantasy Fix
29
48
Dan Yanotchko
EDSFootball
29
48
Scott Engel
RotoExperts
24
48
Tozzi Brothers
Legion Report
29
48
The FFGhost
Dynasty League Football
29
48
Jeff Boggis
Fantasy Football Empire
28
48
Joe Bond
Fantasy Six Pack
29
48
Sean Morris
Bruno Boys
28
49
Salvatore Stefanile
XN Sports
34
49
Cedric Hopkins
Field & Court
28
49
Scott Cullen
TSN
28
49
Staff Rankings
2MugsFF
28
49
Tommy Rowan
Juan Elway
29
49
Matthew Freedman
RotoViz
28
49
David Dodds
FootballGuys
26
50
Alan Harrison
The Fantasy Fix
29
50
Sean Beazley
EDSFootball
29
50
Kelly Smelser
Punch Drunk Wonderland
28
50
Staff Rankings
DavidGonos.com
29
50
Russell Clay
Dynasty League Football
34
50
Sablich Brothers
The New York Times
25
50
Ryan Rufe
RotoBaller
32
50
Patrick Daugherty
Rotoworld
33
50
Michael Pichan
Fantasy Alarm
29
50
Dennis Esser
Coach Esser
29
50
Davis Mattek
Sports Wunderkind
29
50
Mike Harmon
Swollen Dome
32
50
Muntradamus
Beast Dome
32
50
Brandon Funston
Yahoo! Sports
27
51
Bryan Fontaine
Pro Football Focus
26
51
Patrick Thorman
Pro Football Focus
27
51
Nathan Jahnke
Pro Football Focus
29
51
Kyle Wachtel
Forensic Fantasy
27
51
Tom Poisal
Top Tier Football
32
51
Jeff Collins
Fantasy Contrarians
29
51
Kevin Hanson
EDSFootball
27
52
Ryan Fowler
Fox Sports
29
52
Ken Zalis
Pressbox
27
52
Jeff Paur
RTSports
30
52
Jason Longfellow
Razzball
28
52
Scott Whitfield
Roto Rankings
33
53
Jon Collins
Fantasy Sports LR
31
53
Staff Rankings
RosterWatch
23
53
Andy Behrens
Yahoo! Sports
31
54
Chris Heil
Sportable
28
54
Rich Hribar
XN Sports
32
54
Jeff Ratcliffe
Pro Football Focus
30
55
Pat Fitzmaurice
The Football Girl
22
56
Greg Smith
The Fake Football
39
57
Brett Talley
The Fantasy Fix
30
57
Nathan Miller
Revelation Sports
25
57
Brad Evans
Yahoo! Sports
25
59
Bill Enright
FFChamps
23
59
Site Projections
scoutPRO
24
60
Mike Clay
Pro Football Focus
25
60
Staff Rankings
FFToolbox
33
66
R.C. Fischer
Fantasy Football Metrics
21
70
Joseph Dolan
Fantasy Guru
28
78
Site Rankings
Bloomberg Sports
26
79
Akbar Gbaja-Biamila
NFL.com
24
N/A
Brian Dezelske
Fake Pigskin
25
N/A
Site Projections
numberFire
26
N/A
Tony Mauriello
ProjectRoto
30
N/A
Jamey Eisenberg
CBS Sports
32
N/A
James Hatfield
Hatty Waiver Wire Guru
32
N/A
Ave Projection (?)
9.9
5.3
Best
14.1
5.7
Worst
7.1
3.1
Receptions
4.7
3.7
Rec Yards
64.1
40.3
Rec TDs
0.6
0.0
Ave Points / Game
9.0
6.2
Total Fantasy Points
126.6
74.0
Week 15
3.7   vs. JAC
1.0   at TEN
Week 14
13.0   at MIA
18.7   at MIN
Week 13
0.2   vs. SD
3.3   vs. MIA
Week 12
14.9   at NO
0.2   at BUF
Week 11
BYE  
BYE  
Week 10
1.7   vs. TEN
5.6   vs. PIT
Week 9
3.6   at PIT
13.7   at KC
Week 8
3.5   at CIN
5.0   vs. BUF
Week 7
6.7   vs. ATL
  at NE
Week 6
17.0   at TB
-0.1   vs. DEN
Week 5
1.4   at IND
3.4   at SD
Week 4
25.9   vs. CAR
  vs. DET
Week 3
10.1   at CLE
4.2   vs. CHI
Week 2
7.1   vs. PIT
9.0   at GB
Week 1
17.8   vs. CIN
10.0   vs. OAK
Ave Targets / Game
7.9
6.2
Total Targets
110.0
74.0
Week 15
5.0
3.0
Week 14
11.0
9.0
Week 13
4.0
3.0
Week 12
6.0
5.0
Week 11
BYE
BYE
Week 10
7.0
5.0
Week 9
8.0
13.0
Week 8
9.0
9.0
Week 7
5.0
Week 6
6.0
4.0
Week 5
7.0
5.0
Week 4
10.0
Week 3
7.0
10.0
Week 2
10.0
1.0
Week 1
15.0
7.0
Derek Lofland
Fantasy Football Maniax
Smith has basically been a boom / bust WR3 the second half of the season. The Texans have allowed the third most points to fantasy receivers this year, so he does have upside in a favorable matchup.