Next up in our sleeper series is a look at the QB position. For those who missed it, we previously covered RBs and WRs so feel free to check out those write-ups if you’re curious about additional positions.

Before we dive in, let’s quickly review our “sleeper” methodology. As with our previous posts, this analysis looks at every player the experts have ranked and compares their rankings to each player’s expert consensus rank (ECR) as well as the player’s average draft position (ADP). Whenever the expert’s rank is better than the player’s ECR and ADP, we take note since it’s an indication that the expert is higher on the player than everyone else. We then add each player to our sleeper list if they meet the specific criteria outlined in our RB post.

This sounds great but the only problem is that when we ran the numbers using the guidelines outlined by our definition, it netted us 0 QB sleepers. D’oh! As a result, we’ve loosened up our requirements and what follows below represents the closest guys to meeting our sleeper criteria (nice save, right?).

Whew, with that explained, let’s take a look at the list:

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Hey all, you might be interested in this guest post that The Fifth Down ran for us today. It gives a little background on our approach to accuracy and why we think it’s important for the industry. As the post discusses, hopefully our tools and content can help reduce some of the time and stress involved in getting a leg up on your competition!

Have you ever wondered how frequently the top experts gamble and go against the popular opinion with their weekly rankings and projections? What about how often they’re correct with those risky predictions?

Earlier in the week, we examined the accuracy of the advice from two of the most popular experts covering fantasy football: Matthew Berry (ESPN) and David Dodds (FootballGuys). Today, we thought it would be interesting to answer the two questions above related to the gambling tendencies of each expert at the RB position.

We’re simply taking a test drive here so we’ll be sure to include additional positions (and experts) in future posts if you find this info useful. And, yes, that sentence is absolutely code for “Hey guys, this data is a beast to pull so we want to make sure you really like it before we take a deeper dive.”

Ok, with that admission out of the way, let’s take a look at the table below. It summarizes the 2009 accuracy results related to the key betting tendencies for Dodds and Berry at the RB position.

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Based off of the positive feedback from our RB Sleepers post last week, we’ve decided to open up our analysis to additional positions. The top request for our next report was the wide receiver position so we’ll tackle (horrible pun, I know) that one today and be sure to follow up with a look at the other key positions of interest in the coming days.

So, let’s take a look at the list! Who are the wide receivers that the experts are predicting to outperform the common expectations?

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A Heads-up comparison of two heavyweights from ESPN and FootballGuys

Well, if you’ve been studying our accuracy scores, the answer is obvious. After slugging it out over 16 weeks in 2009, David Dodds beat out Matthew Berry in the key categories of RB, WR, QB, and TE accuracy. They split on DST and K, but this is the last time I’ll ever mention the word kicker in the first paragraph of a fantasy football post.

Here’s how high their PAY™ (Prediction Accuracy Yield) was for the four key positions in 2009:

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