With the most meaningful preseason games behind us, some wide receivers have shined, others have disappointed and some have yet to play a single snap. With draft weekend upon us, many owners have at least one draft coming up before the start of the season. At this point, owners should have players that they feel good about, and players that make them grimace with the thought of having them on their roster at the current ADP. Here are WRs to avoid on draft day.
DeAndre Hopkins (HOU): ADP 8, WR4
There’s no doubt that Hopkins is an elite WR and that his QB situation has improved over last season with the signing of Brock Osweiler. The thing that worries me is that, towards the end of the season, when the Texans’ defense began to play better, Hopkins targets per game and overall numbers took a hit. With J.J. Watt looking like he might be ready for the season opener I think the Texans will look to play defense and run and throw the ball to newly signed RB Lamar Miller. The Texans also added WR depth with Jalen Strong, Will Fuller, and Braxton Miller this offseason, which could mean even fewer targets for Hopkins.
I would love to have Hopkins on my teams this season, just not at the current ADP. He is being drafted over Miller, who I think is going to have a monster season filling the Arian Foster role in the Texans’ offense and A.J. Green who should get over 150 targets this season.
Jordy Nelson (GB): ADP 18, WR8
Many owners are hoping for the return of 2014 Nelson when he had 98 receptions, 1,519 receiving yards, and 13 touchdowns. Having the best QB in the game in Aaron Rodgers definitely gives him a chance to return to an elite WR level. But Jordy is 31 years old and coming off surgeries on his hip and knee. To make matters worse, this offseason he had a “hiccup” with his previously healthy knee and just participated in his first 11-on-11 workouts the other day.
Alshon Jeffery (CHI): ADP 26, WR12
When he’s on the field, Jeffery is extremely productive and is QB Jay Cutler‘s favorite WR to target. The problem is him staying on the field. It seems like Jeffery is susceptible to soft tissue issues, especially to his hamstrings. He has already missed time during training camp with a slight tweak. Simply put, Jeffery is a good player on a bad team with an inconsistent QB that likes to make bad decisions.
Jeffery is currently being drafted ahead of young talents like Amari Cooper and Brandin Cooks who play for more prolific offenses. As well as Demaryius Thomas who, despite terrible QB play last season, still finished as the 13th best WR in fantasy football.
Kelvin Benjamin (CAR): ADP 45, WR21
Reports out of Panthers camp is that Benjamin has been outplayed by Devin Funchess. Not good news for a player returning from a torn ACL. Owners should also keep in mind that Carolina is a run-first team that loves to run in the red zone.
With a current ADP of 137, Funchess is the better value pick and is the Panthers’ WR that I have on many of my rosters. I would target Golden Tate one round later, or potential breakout candidate Donte Moncrief and let another owner reach for Benjamin on draft day.
Goodluck to everyone drafting this weekend!