Who had the Most Accurate NFL Mock Draft in 2019?

Apr 29, 2019

Josh Jacobs was the first Running Back off the board.

The 2019 NFL Draft is in the books, and that means everyone is mad at their team’s management, but it also means we get to find out who the most accurate NFL Draft experts are.

Our accuracy methodology is unchanged from last year. You can read the full details here. In short, each pick is worth up to 10 points based on 4 criteria:

  1. How close the analyst was in predicting where the player would be picked overall (4 points)
  2. How close the analyst was in predicting the player’s rank among his position (3 points)
  3. Whether or not the team picked the position selected (2 points)
  4. Whether or not the analyst predicted the correct landing spot for the player (1 point)

This years results are extremely encouraging if you believe in the value of expert knowledge (rather than thinking it’s just luck). We had 3 of 2018’s top-10 experts repeated the feat – Walter Cherepinsky of Walter Football, Evan Silva of Rotoworld and Kevin Hanson of EDHFootball. (Amusingly, all 3 of them actually had the exact same rank as last year). The champion, however, was Charlie Campbell for Walter Football with an incredible mock.

Campbell started off with correctly mocking Kyler Murray to Arizona and Nick Bosa to San Francisco. “So what?” you might ask, “a lot of people got those.” Campbell didn’t stop there – he had 10 perfect picks. If you’ve never tried to make a mock you might not realize how impressive that is – 5 perfect picks would be excellent. 10 is just incredible. He almost had a perfect pick with Marquise Brown to Baltimore at 22. They did draft Brown, but traded down to do it.

2019 Mock Draft Accuracy Standings

Top 10* Mocks – Overall Leaderboard
Rank Analyst Points
1 Charlie Campbell – Walter Football 171
2 Walter Cherepinsky – Walter Football 169
T-3 Evan Silva – Rotoworld 166
T-3 Ben Standig – NBC Sports 166
5 Michael Middlehurst-Schwartz 165
6 Kevin Hanson – EDSFootball 164
T-7 Jason La Canfora – CBS Sports 163
T-7 Zach Berman – Philly.com 163
T-7 Scott Smith – RotoViz 163
T-10 Anthony Staggs – FF Statistics 161
T-10 Peter Schrager – NFL.com 161

View entire Accuracy Leaderboard (138 mocks graded)

With Campbell putting together this year’s best mock draft and Walter Cherepinsky ranking 2nd in back-to-back years, Walter Football‘s stellar reputation for NFL draft analysis is well-deserved. Behind them was a tie for 3rd place between Evan Silva from Rotoworld and Ben Standig from NBC Sports, with Michael Middlehurst-Schwartz from USA Today in 5th. Props are also due to Kevin Hanson from EDSFootball, not only for repeating his 6th-place performance from last year, but for being the only expert to correctly predict the landing spots of 13 players. The only other expert to have 12 was Scott Smith from RotoViz, who shares 7th place with Jason La Canfora from CBS Sports (who led the field in predicting positional ranks) and Zach Berman from Philly.com (who led the field in predicting Draft Spots). Our top 10 is actually a top 11, because 10th place was a tie between Antony Staggs from FF Statistics and Peter Schrager from NFL.com.

As always, you can view the full standings of 138 mock drafts graded here. Congrats again to all of the analysts the finished atop the leaderboard!

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1Saquon Barkley (NYG)RB
2Ezekiel Elliott (DAL)RB
3Christian McCaffrey (CAR)RB
4Alvin Kamara (NO)RB
5David Johnson (ARI)RB
6DeAndre Hopkins (HOU)WR
7Davante Adams (GB)WR
8Joe Mixon (CIN)RB
9Melvin Gordon (LAC)RB
10Julio Jones (ATL)WR
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11Le'Veon Bell (NYJ)RB
12James Conner (PIT)RB
13Odell Beckham Jr. (CLE)WR
14Travis Kelce (KC)TE
15Nick Chubb (CLE)RB
16Michael Thomas (NO)WR
17JuJu Smith-Schuster (PIT)WR
18Todd Gurley (LAR)RB
19Dalvin Cook (MIN)RB
20Mike Evans (TB)WR
21Antonio Brown (OAK)WR
22George Kittle (SF)TE
23T.Y. Hilton (IND)WR
24Keenan Allen (LAC)WR
25A.J. Green (CIN)WR
26Marlon Mack (IND)RB
27Amari Cooper (DAL)WR
28Damien Williams (KC)RB
29Leonard Fournette (JAC)RB
30Aaron Jones (GB)RB
1Mike Trout (LAA)CF,DH
2Christian Yelich (MIL)LF,CF
3Cody Bellinger (LAD)1B,CF
4Ronald Acuna Jr. (ATL)LF,CF
5Nolan Arenado (COL)3B
6Mookie Betts (BOS)CF,RF
7Max Scherzer (WSH)SP
8Trevor Story (COL)SS
9Francisco Lindor (CLE)SS
10Javier Baez (CHC)2B,3B
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11J.D. Martinez (BOS)LF,RF
12Alex Bregman (HOU)3B,SS
13Justin Verlander (HOU)SP
14Gerrit Cole (HOU)SP
15Freddie Freeman (ATL)1B
16Trea Turner (WSH)SS
17Jacob deGrom (NYM)SP
18Chris Sale (BOS)SP
19Charlie Blackmon (COL)CF
20Anthony Rendon (WSH)3B
21Aaron Judge (NYY)RF,DH
22Manny Machado (SD)3B,SS
23Whit Merrifield (KC)1B,2B
24Adalberto Mondesi (KC)2B,SS
25Josh Bell (PIT)1B
26Juan Soto (WSH)LF
27Xander Bogaerts (BOS)SS
28Pete Alonso (NYM)1B,DH
29Kris Bryant (CHC)3B,RF
30Bryce Harper (PHI)CF,RF
1Anthony Davis (LAL)PF,C
2James Harden (HOU)PG,SG
3Giannis Antetokounmpo (MIL)SF,PF
4Karl-Anthony Towns (MIN)C
5Kevin Durant (BKN)SF,PF
6LeBron James (LAL)SF,PF
7Stephen Curry (GSW)PG,SG
8Nikola Jokic (DEN)PF,C
9Damian Lillard (POR)PG
10Russell Westbrook (HOU)PG
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11Victor Oladipo (IND)PG,SG
12Paul George (LAC)SG,SF
13Joel Embiid (PHI)PF,C
14Kawhi Leonard (LAC)SG,SF
15Chris Paul (OKC)PG
16Jimmy Butler (MIA)SG,SF
17Kemba Walker (BOS)PG
18Ben Simmons (PHI)PG,SF
19Kyrie Irving (BKN)PG,SG
20Jrue Holiday (NOR)PG,SG
21Rudy Gobert (UTH)C
22Andre Drummond (DET)PF,C
23John Wall (WAS)PG
24Kyle Lowry (TOR)PG
25Donovan Mitchell (UTH)PG,SG
26Khris Middleton (MIL)SG,SF
27Bradley Beal (WAS)SG
28Kevin Love (CLE)PF,C
29Draymond Green (GSW)PF,C
30LaMarcus Aldridge (SAS)PF,C
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