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NFL Divisional Round Betting Odds, Picks, and Predictions (2020 Playoffs)

Jan 10, 2020

The Vikings appear to have a solid shot at covering the spread against the 49ers

After a week of much-needed rest, the heavy hitters have now entered the fray. The 49ers, Chiefs, Packers, and Ravens all return to action this week to take on the Wild Card winners. Both the Chiefs and the Ravens are the strongest favorites based on their matchups’ 9.5-point spreads. They each have the best odds of advancing to the AFC Championship, but will they be able to cover? Our BettingPros website is the perfect place to find out for every NFL game this weekend.

For this article, we’ve reached out to the most accurate sports betting experts to shed light on the teams they have the most confidence in against the spread and which over/under picks they trust the most. Continue reading to see which bets our featured analysts think are the best ones.

View picks from the entire consensus for each Divisional Round playoff game:
MIN @ SF (-7) | TEN @ BAL (-9.5)HOU @ KC (-9.5) | SEA @ GB (-4)

Q1. Which team are you most confident in against the spread and why?

“Zero — that’s the number of times the 49ers have covered in their last 11 games where they’ve been favored by a touchdown or more. San Francisco has also covered only once in their last 16 bouts as favorites by more than five points. The Niners didn’t fare well as favorites in 2019, going 4-6-1 against the spread (ATS) in those contests. Meanwhile, the Vikings (+7) have an ATS record of 15-6-1 in their last 22 games where they’ve been dogs by more than a field goal. Minnesota has also lost by more than a touchdown just three times in their last 21 road games. I’ll take the points here.”
– Elisha Twerski (FantasyPros)

“Give me the Vikings (+7) against the 49ers. I get the fact that Minnesota is at a scheduling disadvantage having to travel cross-country on a short week. I also get that the 49ers are getting healthy on defense. However, I am a believer in the rest versus rust aspect and feel they will carry their momentum off a big win in New Orleans into San Francisco. The Vikings have the pieces on defense with Eric Kendricks at linebacker and Harrison Smith at safety to neutralize the 49ers’ biggest weapon: George Kittle.”
– Mike Spector (BettingPros)

“I feel really good about the Ravens (-9.5), which isn’t something I’ve been able to say many times this season. I almost always side with the points once the spread gets past eight or nine, but the Ravens are just so much better. They ranked first in scoring with 33.2 PPG and first in both rush and pass offense DVOA while having a staggering +15.6 average margin. The Titans were able to defeat the Patriots by giving Derrick Henry the ball 35 times, but that’s not going to work against the Ravens. Baltimore is going to score at least 30 and I don’t think the Titans will get past 20.”
– Nick Zylak (Fantasy Football Advice)

“For context, I currently have the 49ers -7, Ravens -9.5, Chiefs -9.5, and Seahawks +4. I believe that the Ravens and Chiefs win their games, but I’m only moderately confident in that they cover — two score spreads can be problematic. I like the Seahawks getting points, but in Lambeau, that causes a bit of uncertainty as well. I find myself most confident in the 49ers (-7) eventually overwhelming the Vikings. The 49ers may be the most complete team in the playoffs and they’re at home with a week off to rest, while the Vikings seem a bit banged up heading into this one. I trust the balanced offensive attack and the 49ers’ defense at home to put together a complete game resulting in a win by two scores.”
– Matt MacCoy (The Next Big Thing)

“This may sound ridiculous, but it tends to work over and over again. So have you ever had the flu and tried to do something menial like the dishes or, you know, walking up the stairs? Imagine going to war with the flu! That’s what Lamar Jackson is going to do this week and he has been the most important player in the world to his team this year. The Ravens are great all around, don’t get me wrong, but Tennessee (+9.5) is on fire. They have the most efficient passing game since Ryan Tannehill took over and perhaps the best runner in Derrick Henry. I’m not saying Tennessee is going to go into Baltimore and pull off the upset, but give me +9.5 all day.”
– Bobby Sylvester (FantasyPros)

View more picks against the spread from 100+ experts >>

Q2. Which matchup are you most confident in picking the over/under for and why?

TEN at BAL: 47 – Under
“I am most confident in the UNDER at 47 in the Titans-Ravens game. Yes, the Ravens have the highest-scoring offense in the league at 33.2 PPG. The Titans are no slouch themselves, boasting a top-10 scoring offense at 25.1 PPG. However, I see this as being an old-fashioned slugfest between a battle of two extremely physical football teams. Mike Vrabel earned a lot of respect with how he coached their game against New England and I expect him to follow a similar script against Baltimore. With two teams that like to pound the rock, look for limited possessions, which will result in a lower-scoring game than these teams are accustomed to. ”
– Mike Spector (BettingPros)

MIN at SF: 44 – Over
“Of San Francisco’s last 10 games, nine have gone above 44 — including each of their last six home contests. In fact, the average total of those 10 games was a whopping 57 points. The over is 10-4-1 in the Niners’ last 15 games as favorites by a field goal or more. The under hit just three times in eight tries at home for Kyle Shanahan’s squad. In the Niners’ six games against top-12 passing offenses (in terms of DVOA), the average total was 54.2. On the other side, each of Minnesota’s last five road games went well above 44 — with an average of 57.8. At 44.0, I’m taking the over all day.”
– Elisha Twerski (FantasyPros)

HOU at KC: 51 – Over
“I love the over in Kansas City. I liked it a lot more at 48.5, but I think it still goes over its current 51 point total. The Chiefs have scored fewer than 23 points just once with Mahomes active and have scored at least 30 in 64% of those games. Andy Reid always has success coming off the bye, so I expect the Chiefs to be great on offense…and if they take an early lead, then the Texans will have to lean towards the air to catch up. That’s exactly how shootouts happen.”
– Nick Zylak (Fantasy Football Advice)

SEA at GB: 47 – Under
“This one is a slam dunk for me! I think Vegas is right on the money when it comes to 3/4 of the matchups this weekend, but one feels a bit off to me. 47 points on the over/under for Seahawks/Packers seems a bit aggressive for me. We just saw Seattle’s offense struggle in Philadelphia as they mustered just 17 points and that was against a defense with a far worse secondary than Green Bay. The way to beat Green Bay is to run the football at them and Seattle has shown a commitment to the run, which should cause longer and more time-consuming drives. The Packers’ offense has also committed to getting the ball to the running back position and has had their struggles at times as well this season. Combined, this feels like a recipe for a 21-17 type of score, ensuring an easy call on the under at 47.”
– Matt MacCoy (The Next Big Thing)

HOU at KC: 51 – Under
“So let’s think of it this way. The Texans have a strong offense and a weak defense, sure. But if they were playing the Patriots, Bills, Steelers, or 49ers, would you take the under at 51? You would bet your bottom dollar! I am too this week because the Chiefs have had the single best defense in football over the last two months. Deshaun Watson will be under pressure all day and with the way Damien Williams has been running the ball, the Chiefs should burn the clock.”
– Bobby Sylvester (FantasyPros)

View full set of consensus Over/Under game picks here >>

Thank you to the experts for taking the time to provide their picks and analysis. Please give them a follow on Twitter for more advice throughout the playoffs.

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