Fantasy Basketball Rankings: Dynasty Trade Value Chart (May 2021 Update)
It seems nearly impossible that time has flown so quickly, but we’re approaching the close of the fantasy basketball season…unless you play dynasty hoops. For diligent dynasty managers, the season never ends, and trade frequency can often ramp up as contenders ship off young guns in favor of polished players who can help them win now.
I recently made a trade in my own dynasty league that left a big smile on my face. I traded for Victor Oladipo earlier in the season and was becoming almost desperate to to trade him. After half a dozen failed offers and trade conversations, I got a trade request that was an immediate deal: Immanuel Quickley and Aaron Nesmith for Dipo. I couldn’t believe it. As a rebuilding team, the offer made a ton of sense. IQ and Nesmith are young and talented with plenty of years left. If you take a look at my Overall Trade Chart below, you’ll find that the deal was about as fair and square an offer as you can find: Dipo (23) for IQ (16) and Nesmith (8). In other words, I added one point in value in a deal that was totally even for both sides. Those values come from the overall chart.
As a rebuilding squad, youth is more valuable to me, so I consulted the “25 and Under” chart. In this chart, IQ has a value of 18, and Nesmith has a value of 10. That’s an additional four points from the valuation used in the first example. An injury-prone and nearly 30-year-old player was off my hands in favor of two young up-and-comers. Apologies for the gushing, but the real-life example illustrates how to use the charts to identify fair trades
So, how were these values calculated? My initial attempt focused on:
- Number of years remaining
- Top-10 seasons remaining
- Top-30 seasons remaining
- Top-50 seasons remaining
- Top-100 seasons remaining
There’s no way to know these things in advance, so I did my best guess work based on past success, current situation, age, skillset, and potential. After sharing these rankings with a couple of friends who really know their basketball, it was pointed out to me that I had failed to take current elite performance into account.
So, I used the initial criteria outlined above and added one more:
- Top-10 seasons within the next three years
This helped to close the gap between older guys who will put up elite numbers now (James Harden, Stephen Curry, Damian Lillard) and guys who will hit their primes after that. Each of these criteria were given a points value, totaled, and then divided by 2.5 so the final values weren’t astronomical. The value of a top-10 season is worth more than the value of a top-30 season, and so on.
Remaining seasons was also something I had to play with a bit. I settled on subtracting players’ ages from 35 — a roundabout age that might be reasonable for players to retire. Some guys had to be tweaked to account for skills like excellent shooting (Curry) and lack of extensive injury history (LeBron James) that would lend themselves to years played beyond the age of 35. There was no exact science here, but to keep things fair, the baseline retirement age was 35.
These charts are just what you got last month – an overall dynasty chart that takes win-now and future values into consideration and a chart for those teams looking to rebuild and compete in the future. For teams looking to rebuild, the “25 and Under” chart values younger players more highly, and this is the chart you should use when making deals.
So without further adieu, let’s get to the charts. Players are listed by position, team, age, and value, but you can sort and search any way you’d like. I’ll be updating the charts the first week of each month, so if you want to know how the value of a particular player has changed since the last update, be sure to check it out.
If you have any questions or comments, please hit me up on Twitter @ZaktheMonster.
This the overall trade value chart, which takes into account a player’s age, ceiling, ability to win now, and future performance.
This chart is made up of players who are 25 years old and younger and is designed to act as a guide for rebuilding teams.