We have 11 games on this week’s main NFL slate. First, before breaking down every game below, allow me to note any mention of a neutral game script for running and passing rates refers to an offensive scoring margin ranging from trailing by seven points to leading by seven points. Now, let’s look at each game.
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Week 14 Matchups
Game: Seattle Seahawks at Houston Texans
Spread: SEA -7.5 Points
Over/Under: 41.5 Points
Seahawks Analysis: Yes, obviously, the Seahawks hung 30 points on the 49ers in a win last week. However, according to Pro-Football-Reference, they had only 327 total yards of offense. Pathetically, that’s 60 yards of offense more than their previous high in four games since Russell Wilson’s return. Thus, I’m wholesale fading the Seahawks.
Texans Analysis: I’m suggesting fading an entire game for the first time all year. According to the Betting Pros consensus line and over/under, Houston has a pitiful implied total of 17.0 points. Hilariously, their implied total is higher than their 32nd-ranked scoring offense mark of 13.7 points per game. Unfortunately, I’ve convinced myself to use punts from the Texans a few times this week. Nevertheless, I won’t continue to make that mistake.
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