Marvin Mims: Dynasty Rookie Draft Advice (2023 Fantasy Football)

The 2023 NFL Draft is in the books, and now it’s time for dynasty rookie drafts. Landing spots and draft capital have been determined, and we’re here with your dynasty rookie draft outlooks. Let’s take a look at what Derek Brown expects of Marvin Mims.

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Dynasty Rookie Draft Picks & Predictions: Marvin Mims

Marvin Mims (Oklahoma)

Marvin Mims has the 2nd-best analytics profile of any WR in this class

Yes, I double-checked. No, I'm not engagement farming

Speaking only of his analytics profile, he's a historically great prospect worthy of a mid-R1 pick

So yeah, I have no idea why he's not consensus top-75

— Scott Barrett (@ScottBarrettDFB) April 5, 2023

Stats:

2022 (286 FBS WRs, minimum 50 targets)
- Yards per route run: 23rd
- PFF receiving grade: 63rd
2021 (251 FBS WRs, minimum 50 targets)*
- Yards per route run: 41st
- PFF receiving grade: 85th
2020 (286 FBS WRs, minimum 50 targets)**
- Yards per route run: 4th
- PFF receiving grade: 7th

(*only 41 targets **only 49 targets)

Career
- 65.8-68.7% snaps on the perimeter in two of his last three seasons
- 63rd percentile collegiate target share
- 96th percentile college breakout age

Scouting report:

Marvin Mims is a smooth run after the catch field chewer. His long, striding open field speed sneaks up on corners. He transitions from receiver to runner well. His fluid hips serve him well with subtle direction changes on posts and working underneath with stop routes and quick outs.
Mims was tasked with a limited route tree at Oklahoma, with stops, screens, crossers, and posts making up most of his repertoire. Miims should be utilized as a slot option in the NFL from the outset. His best reps come inside against off-coverage, where he can win with his speed and after the catch ability. He looks clunky when saddled with go routes and double moves on the outside. Corners that can run with him have no problem staying in his back pocket. He routinely leaves corners unstacked on the perimeter, which leads to problems at the catch point. Mims can beat man or press coverage with speed if the opposing corner isn’t up to the foot race.
Mims isn’t a 50/50 ball dominator, but his strong vertical jump (89th percentile) shows up when asked to high-point balls. He also flashes impressive body control on these throws and near the boundary.

Player Comp: Mark Clayton

Dynasty Outlook: Sean Payton traded up in the second round to get his guy, Marvin Mims. Mims could be a part-time player this season, with Courtland Sutton, Jerry Jeudy, and Tim Patrick filling out three-wide sets. He may beat out Patrick in camp for the final starting spot. Patrick can be cut after this year, saving the Broncos nearly 11 million against the cap. The current coaching staff has no allegiances to Patrick, so Mims starting in Week 1 wouldn’t be a shock. Mims is a borderline first-round pick, but in many drafts, he’ll still be available in the early second round.