NFL PrizePicks Strategy: Tips to Ace Your Picks

PrizePicks is rapidly becoming a fan favorite in the fantasy sports community. Instead of the traditional fantasy football setup, PrizePicks offers a unique twist: bet on individual player performances, choosing the “Over” or “Under” for their predicted stats. If you’re eager to elevate your NFL PrizePicks game, look no further. Here’s your comprehensive guide.

Our PrizePicks Cheat Sheet helps bettors by comparing lines from PrizePicks vs. our weekly NFL projections

NFL PrizePicks Strategy

The Power of Research

Before you even think about making a pick, immerse yourself in data.

  • Injuries Matter: Regularly scanning injury reports is a must. An injured starter could open the door for a backup to shine, offering a potential under-the-radar “Over” bet.
  • Matchups: Some defenses are notoriously tough against running backs but weak against wide receivers, and vice versa. Understand each team’s strengths and vulnerabilities.
  • Weather Conditions: Wind, rain, and snow can significantly impact a player’s performance, especially quarterbacks and kickers. Always check the forecast for game day.

Volume Equals Opportunity

In fantasy sports, opportunities often translate to points. Focus on:

  • Running Back Touches: RBs who get 20 or more touches (carries + receptions) per game are golden, as they have more chances to rack up yards and scores.
  • Wide Receiver Targets: The more times a QB throws to a specific WR, the more chances they have to make a big play.

Don’t Forget the Vegas Odds

Sportsbooks spend a lot of money hiring experts to set game lines and player prop bets. These can be a valuable resource.

  • High Over/Under Games: Games with a high expected point total might mean more scoring opportunities for key players.
  • Check BettingPros for Consensus Odds: Compare the lines at PrizePicks to the lines at other major sportsbooks for discrepancies. BettingPros.com shows you the odds for every major sportsbook in one convenient location.

Diversify Your Picks

Just as with any form of betting or fantasy sports:

  • Avoid Going All-In: Diversify your picks. Don’t risk your entire bankroll on a single player or game.
  • Mix Up Player Types: Don’t just focus on quarterbacks or star players. Sometimes, a lesser-known tight end or defense/special teams play can be the difference-maker.

Trust Your Instincts, But Stay Informed

While stats, trends, and expert opinions are essential, sometimes, your gut feeling can lead you to victory. However, always back up your instincts with some level of informed decision-making.

NFL PrizePicks offers an interesting alternative to traditional fantasy football. While no strategy guarantees victory, staying informed, understanding the nuances of matchups, and keeping a keen eye on trends can greatly enhance your chances. Dive deep into research, stay updated, and most importantly, keep a close eye on the odds because they change by the minute.


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