Start em or sit em? Fantasy football start or sit decisions can be excruciating. While it feels great to make the right call and cruise to fantasy glory, it hurts just as much when you have someone erupt while on your bench. You can use our Who Should I Start? tool to gauge advice from fantasy football experts as you make your lineup decisions. And you can also sync your fantasy football league for free using our My Playbook tool for custom advice, rankings and analysis.
Let’s take a look at a few polarizing players and what fantasy football expert Derek Brown advises. And you can find all of DBro’s fantasy football outlook in this week’s fantasy football primer.
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Fantasy Football Start em, Sit em Lineup Advice: Week 11
Valdes-Scantling is the only New Orleans wide receiver that makes the Primer this week. He is the only Saints’ wide receiver who had at least a 50% route share last week. Last week, Valdes-Scantling had only a 59% route share, a 12% target share (30.7 aDOT), and an 18.8% first-read share. Valdes-Scantling converted his three targets into big plays. Threading a low-volume needle like that is tough weekly, but he might be able to do it again in Week 11. The Browns have been burnt by deep passing, allowing the fifth-highest passing yards and the seventh-highest passer rating to deep passing. Cleveland has allowed the sixth-most fantasy points per game and the 11th-most receiving yards per game to perimeter wide receivers.
Since Week 7, Pearsall has had a 16.1% target share, 1.63 YPRR, and a 19% first-read share. Last week, he finished as the WR13 in weekly scoring, which was the first time he’s cracked the top 36 wide receivers in weekly scoring. Among 131 qualifying wide receivers, he ranks 60th in separation and 61st in route win rate as a perimeter wide receiver. Since Week 2, Seattle has had the tenth-highest rate of single-high (56.5%). Since Week 7 against single-high, Pearsall has had a 16% TPRR and 1.93 YPRR (both fourth on the team). Pearsall will be fourth or fifth in the target pecking order this week, but considering the matchup, he could still walk away with a nice week. Since Week 4, Seattle has allowed the fourth-most fantasy points per game and the third-most receiving yards per game to perimeter wide receivers.
Last week, Estime led the way for the Denver rushing attack, playing 45% of the snaps with 14 carries and 53 rushing yards. He didn’t see a target in the passing game. Estime handled two of the three backfield red zone rushing attempts last week. He posted a forgettable 2.21 yards after contact per attempt and didn’t force a missed tackle, but it’s a small sample. Overall this season, his 3.07 yards after contact per attempt has been impressive (29 carries). Atlanta is a perfect matchup for Estime to pop off with a big game if Denver can keep the score close because I do worry about Estime’s ability to get game scripted out. Atlanta has allowed the 11th-highest explosive run rate, the 12th-most rushing yards per game, and the sixth-highest success rate to gap runs (Estime 55.2% gap).
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