Since our last update, there has been plenty of movement in fantasy football average draft position (ADP) on Underdog. This is to be expected with organized team activities (OTAs) underway.
We’ll likely see more significant movement as mandatory mini-camps occur in the coming weeks. These are the biggest and most significant fantasy football fallers in recent weeks.
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Fantasy Football ADP Fallers
Fantasy Football ADP Fallers
It’s always worth remembering that players don’t tend to fall as easily as those who rise up draft boards. This, in part, is because of auto-drafters and the perception of getting a bargain as a player falls past ADP. Meanwhile, risers climb quickly as people reach to get what they perceive as a bargain against ADP.
Devin Neal (RB – NO) | ADP: 200 (-15)
Rookies tend to fall at this time of year. After the initial post-draft hype, we get to OTAs, and generally, it’s a learning curve for them, which leads to reports they’re lower on depth charts than we might like. Lo and behold, their ADP becomes more realistic. Devin Neal finds himself in that exact situation, behind a dart-throw quarterback and a poor offensive line.
Dylan Sampson (RB – CLE) | ADP: 199 (-14)
The same can be said mostly for Dylan Sampson.
Elic Ayomanor (WR – TEN) | ADP: 211 (-10)
The same can also be said for Elic Ayomanor, who will have to compete with Tyler Lockett for No. 2 WR snaps, at best. Also, don’t be surprised if Ayomanor climbs up draft boards as the summer goes on. Wide receivers don’t tend to have the same blockages to playing time as running backs do.
Keenan Allen (WR – FA) | ADP: 188 (-9)
In our last edition, Keenan Allen was down 15 spots to 188. This time, he falls a further nine, as he continues to be unsigned. One imagines we’ll be waiting until early July to see Allen sign anywhere.
this route by Keenan Allen ???????????? pic.twitter.com/V1VUQIxa8n
— Warren Sharp (@SharpFootball) November 28, 2024
Jonnu Smith (TE – MIA) | ADP: 102 (-6)
It emerged last week that Jonnu Smith was the subject of trade interest from the Pittsburgh Steelers, where he would link back up with his former offensive coordinator, Arthur Smith. Like most things involving Arthur Smith, people weren’t excited about that.
Smith had his first season with more than 70 targets last year (111) and smashed his previous career-high of 582 yards by recording 884 yards. Moving from Miami to Pittsburgh would be a definite downgrade on almost every level.
Caleb Williams (QB – CHI) | ADP: 105 (-6)
We may be seeing a dip in ADP for Caleb Williams after reports surfaced he wasn’t taught how to watch film in 2024 by Chicago’s poor coaching staff. If that’s the case, this fall might not be long-term, with the eventual Ben Johnson hype sure to pull Williams back up.
Pat Freiermuth (TE – PIT) | ADP: 170 (-4)
This fall is down to the Jonnu Smith rumors. If that trade were to come true, it would significantly harm Pat Freiermuth’s ceiling in 2025.
Kyle Pitts (TE – ATL) | ADP: 148 (-3)
Trade rumors. Sitting out OTAs with a foot injury. Exhaustion. Take your pick, they all make sense for this ADP drop.
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