8 Wide Receivers Who Will Make or Break Fantasy Football Drafts

When preparing for your fantasy football drafts, knowing which players to target and others to avoid is important. The amount of information available can be overwhelming, so a great way to condense the data and determine players to draft and others to leave for your leaguemates is to use our expert consensus fantasy football rankings compared to fantasy football average draft position (ADP). In this way, you can identify players the experts are willing to reach for at ADP and others they are not drafting until much later than average.

You can also see which players create the most debate among experts by checking out the standard deviation in their rankings. The higher the standard deviation, the more disagreement there is among experts as to where a player should be ranked. These players can be the ones who make or break your fantasy football drafts. Getting these picks right can lay the foundation for a fantasy football championship. Let’s dive into a few notable fantasy football players who could make or break your draft.

Fantasy Football Advice: Make or Break Draft Picks

Here are players in our ECR top 60 fantasy football draft rankings that are causing the most disagreement among experts based on where they are going in drafts.

RK	TIERS	PLAYER NAME	TEAM	POS	BEST	WORST	AVG.	STD.DEV	ECR VS. ADP
16	3	Drake London	ATL	WR9	7	32	16.3	4.7	1
28	4	Jaxon Smith-Njigba	SEA	WR12	17	54	29.1	7.7	4
41	5	Marvin Harrison Jr.	ARI	WR18	26	68	42	8.4	-2
51	6	Jameson Williams	DET	WR24	35	95	54.8	11.7	12
53	6	Tetairoa McMillan	CAR	WR25	28	135	55.9	19	11
56	6	George Pickens	DAL	WR28	35	83	59.6	11.8	11
57	6	Calvin Ridley	TEN	WR29	42	83	59.7	11.4	13
60	6	Jaylen Waddle	MIA	WR30	38	109	61.1	13.8	13

Last year, Drake London finally had the TRUE breakout season that I’ve been forecasting for him, as he finally got to experience at least average starting quarterback play for much of the season. London finished as the WR13 in fantasy points per game while ranking third in targets (157) and securing 100 receptions. Last year, he ranked fifth in target share, 11th in receiving yards per game, and 12th in yards per route run (per Fantasy Points Data). With Michael Penix under center in 2025, London could ascend even further up the fantasy wideout ladder. His splits with Kirk Cousins and Penix were eye-popping. Yes, I know it was only a three-game sample with Penix, but it would still be impressive if London could venture even into the general neighborhood of these numbers across a full season. With Cousins, London had a 24.6% target share with 65.6 receiving yards per game and 2.24 yards per route run. Those are solid numbers, but they aren’t top-three wideout numbers like he posted with Penix. With Penix chucking him the rock, London saw his target share soar to 39% with 117.3 receiving yards per game and 3.74 yards per route run. If London can continue even a watered-down version of those numbers for the entirety of 2025, he could be contending for WR1 overall when it’s all said and done. London is a high floor and ceiling pick for 2025.
– Derek Brown

Jaxon Smith-Njigba had a big-time second-year breakout — 100 catches, 1,130 yards, six touchdowns — despite a somewhat sluggish start to the season. JSN had 53 or fewer yards in six of his first seven games, but then he caught fire down the stretch. He had a seven-game run in November and December during which he had at least 74 receiving yards in every game. JSN became a big-time target earner last season, and now he doesn’t have to compete for targets with D.K. Metcalf. The only concerns are how well JSN will mesh with new Seahawks QB Sam Darnold, and how well JSN will fare if Seattle newcomer Cooper Kupp gets most of the slot snaps and forces Smith-Njigba to line up out wide most of the time.
– Pat Fitzmaurice

Jameson Williams finally broke out in 2024, finishing as the WR19 in total points (WR20 per game) with over 1,000 receiving yards and 7 touchdowns in 15 games. Despite competing for targets in a crowded Lions offense, he shined with elite efficiency – ranking 3rd in YAC per reception – and delivered three top-6 weekly finishes. From Week 10 on (post-suspension), Williams was the WR10, averaging nearly 14 fantasy points per game while commanding a 21% target share, nearly matching Amon-Ra St. Brown down the stretch. New OC John Morton has already dubbed 2025 a “breakout year” for Jamo – and if the offense shifts away from being so Sun God-centric, Williams’ ceiling could grow even higher.
– Andrew Erickson